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Started By
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re: Which states that are traditionally blue may shock us and go red?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:57 am to CajunTiger78
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:57 am to CajunTiger78
Nevada, NH
0
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:58 am to Gifman
quote:
Minnesota is getting tight
If Minnesota goes red, it's over. MN was the only state that voted against Reagan when he beat Mondale.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:59 am to CajunTiger78
I don’t think there will be any real surprises unless that lady got lucky with her Iowa poll so it will come down to the same handful of states
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:03 am to CajunTiger78
I think NH will be the closest. It's a small state with an independent streak.
Another thing that people are ignoring is that inflation impacts different areas in different ways. Some of these people in New England and rural swing states can't adjust for inflation the same way the rest of us do. They don't have the options.
A person in Atlanta who can't afford a home can rent an apartment, which are ubiquitous there. Not very many apartments in NH.
A person in Atlanta who can't afford to shop at their favorite store can just go to a big box store or a discount mart or whatever. Again, far fewer options in places like NH.
Basically they are locked into high prices with little opportunity to move down the ladder to alleviate the pain.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:03 am to CajunTiger78
NH would be awesome.
CO is too far gone in Denver, Boulder, and CO Springs. Unless they crushed it in early voting and no Dem turnout.
NJ would be so awesome. But I don't see it.
GA and PA scare the crap out of me.
CO is too far gone in Denver, Boulder, and CO Springs. Unless they crushed it in early voting and no Dem turnout.
NJ would be so awesome. But I don't see it.
GA and PA scare the crap out of me.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:04 am to East Coast Band
Only the urban "men". The rest of us will not.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:05 am to CajunTiger78
quote:only way that happens is the election gets called early and Portland suys it out and dramatically underperforms traditionalist turnout
I also think Oregon is closer than everyone may think.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:18 am to doya2
quote:
Not Oregon
Correct. The machine is permanent in Eugene, Portland, Astoria, etc..
Oregon is lost.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:20 am to Gifman
quote:
Minnesota is getting tight
We will see the 49 other states all go red long before Minnesota is anything but Blue.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:23 am to AUFANATL
quote:
A person in Atlanta who can't afford to shop at their favorite store can just go to a big box store or a discount mart or whatever. Again, far fewer options in places like NH.
There are plenty of wal marts in New Hampshire. Have you ever been to New England?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:26 am to UnclePat76
The somilian leaders came out for Trump.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 10:27 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:28 am to Proximo
quote:
I think New Hampshire is the surprise of this election
i don't know if it will actually happen but the based side of the Libertarian party has been courting people to come there for a while and they just endorsed Trump over Oliver this week.
i don't know if they'll win, but i bet it'll be closer than ever before.
Tons of libertarian people i follow have just said "F it... Trump. The other side is just so bad."
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:36 am to CajunTiger78
Sean Spicer refers to VA, NM, MN and NH as tier 2 battleground states.
My thoughts are:
New Mexico always gives us a poll that implies some hope. The demographics just aren't there to support Trump. I see it +4-5 for Kackles.
Minnesota is very similar, just not enough votes to overcome the Twin Cities
Which leaves Virginia and New Hampshire as the two to really watch. If the Fairfax and Arlington votes are down this year, anything is possible.
The most likely will be New Hampshire, IMO.
My thoughts are:
New Mexico always gives us a poll that implies some hope. The demographics just aren't there to support Trump. I see it +4-5 for Kackles.
Minnesota is very similar, just not enough votes to overcome the Twin Cities
Which leaves Virginia and New Hampshire as the two to really watch. If the Fairfax and Arlington votes are down this year, anything is possible.
The most likely will be New Hampshire, IMO.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:37 am to CajunTiger78
Trump lost NH by a whisker in 2020, I bet he takes it this year. I have hopes for NC, NV, VA, and NM. Hope WI and MI sticks too.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:37 am to CajunTiger78
Rhode Island
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:40 am to LSUGrad2024
Nevada
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:44 am to troyt37
He lost by close to 70,000 votes in 2020, I think he did much better in 2016.
If Dem turnout is really down, I can see him squeaking out a victory in NH, hell of a lot more probable than CT , RI or Vermont.
What would really be great is to see Tang-Williams upset Jake Sullivan's neo lib wife, Maggie Goodlander.
If Dem turnout is really down, I can see him squeaking out a victory in NH, hell of a lot more probable than CT , RI or Vermont.
What would really be great is to see Tang-Williams upset Jake Sullivan's neo lib wife, Maggie Goodlander.
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