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re: R+29 in Florida Election Day voting so far.

Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:34 am to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
133812 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:34 am to
quote:

It’s pretty amazing. Just a few elections ago Florida was a swing state


It was never a swing state, but I get your point.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5529 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:35 am to
quote:

It was never a swing state, but I get your point.



It was a state that could be flipped, and now I don't think it is.

Maybe kind of like Minnesota is now. Unlikely to flip, but not impossible.
Posted by OBReb6
Memphissippi
Member since Jul 2010
41553 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:36 am to
quote:

I'm talking about not compared to 2016. You could help rather than being rude.


I’ll reiterate it. It has the raw numbers on that site.
Posted by OBReb6
Memphissippi
Member since Jul 2010
41553 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:38 am to
quote:

There’s no need to worry about Florida. It’s red.


No shite

People are watching it to observe larger trends that might bleed over into the rest of the country (like how is Democrat voter turnout on Election Day, this is the cope liberals are currently using to explain away terrible early numbers)
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13879 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:42 am to
Correct. There are raw numbers of voters by each party at that link.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
75376 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:43 am to
I see it now.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
738 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:07 am to
quote:

There’s no need to worry about Florida. It’s red.


The theory is that if Florida “day of election“ voters surpass 20% for Republicans , Trump wins. 15% and below, he’s in trouble.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13580 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:09 am to
quote:

The theory is that if Florida “day of election“ voters surpass 20% for Republicans , Trump wins. 15% and below, he’s in trouble.


Just in Florida, or is this an extrapolation to the entire election? It seems odd that Republicans would dominate the early vote, then need an advantage of more than 20% on election day to win Florida.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45961 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:10 am to
It's an extrapolation
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13580 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:10 am to
Good to hear. Had a WTF moment.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
120722 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Georgia needs a Desantis-like governor to clean their elections up. Georgia, in reality, is red state.


:correct.gif:
Posted by JinFL
Duuuval
Member since Oct 2004
4209 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:14 am to
Just did my duty, showed my ID and a paper ballot. Purple Duval gonna go red. No line at all.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
90090 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:14 am to
Any idea what kind of day of voting is expected?
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
20388 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:15 am to
Extrapolation, but I think even those numbers are too pessimistic. If Republicans are winning in raw numbers in some early voting while early voting was something like +13 to Kamala, he doesn't need to be >20% to win. FL+20% Election Day would be a blowout nationally, imo
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
738 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to
Extrapolating the Florida numbers to the whole nation.
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13580 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to
One other measure of enthusiasm is determining who got there early. We have the answer in Florida.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5529 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:25 am to
I do think Florida is a unique case because we have very competent leadership in the state that has more or less convinced the skeptical to support the GOP based on results. I would be hesitant to take a whole lot away nationally from Florida.
Posted by conservativewifeymom
Mid Atlantic
Member since Oct 2012
13150 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:27 am to
I am not in the least worried about FL. It will be a huge win there!

I'd love to hear from people in some of the iffy-er states, so please post if you're in one of those.

I'm in a deep blue state so it won't matter, sadly! Yes, we voted early anyway.
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
33743 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:31 am to
Sitting at 22.13 right now!
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
738 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:34 am to
quote:

Sitting at 22.13 right now!


Too close... Higher!! Higher!!
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