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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:35 am to GumboPot
quote:
It was never a swing state, but I get your point.
It was a state that could be flipped, and now I don't think it is.
Maybe kind of like Minnesota is now. Unlikely to flip, but not impossible.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:36 am to Jake88
quote:
I'm talking about not compared to 2016. You could help rather than being rude.
I’ll reiterate it. It has the raw numbers on that site.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:38 am to whowasbert
quote:
There’s no need to worry about Florida. It’s red.
No shite
People are watching it to observe larger trends that might bleed over into the rest of the country (like how is Democrat voter turnout on Election Day, this is the cope liberals are currently using to explain away terrible early numbers)
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:42 am to OBReb6
Correct. There are raw numbers of voters by each party at that link.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 7:43 am to GeneralLee
I see it now.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:07 am to whowasbert
quote:
There’s no need to worry about Florida. It’s red.
The theory is that if Florida “day of election“ voters surpass 20% for Republicans , Trump wins. 15% and below, he’s in trouble.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:09 am to 1putt
quote:
The theory is that if Florida “day of election“ voters surpass 20% for Republicans , Trump wins. 15% and below, he’s in trouble.
Just in Florida, or is this an extrapolation to the entire election? It seems odd that Republicans would dominate the early vote, then need an advantage of more than 20% on election day to win Florida.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:10 am to armtackledawg
It's an extrapolation
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:10 am to joshnorris14
Good to hear. Had a WTF moment.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:12 am to Gifman
quote:
Georgia needs a Desantis-like governor to clean their elections up. Georgia, in reality, is red state.
:correct.gif:
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:14 am to GeneralLee
Just did my duty, showed my ID and a paper ballot. Purple Duval gonna go red. No line at all.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:14 am to the808bass
Any idea what kind of day of voting is expected?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:15 am to armtackledawg
Extrapolation, but I think even those numbers are too pessimistic. If Republicans are winning in raw numbers in some early voting while early voting was something like +13 to Kamala, he doesn't need to be >20% to win. FL+20% Election Day would be a blowout nationally, imo
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to armtackledawg
Extrapolating the Florida numbers to the whole nation.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:18 am to Ingeniero
One other measure of enthusiasm is determining who got there early. We have the answer in Florida.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:25 am to armtackledawg
I do think Florida is a unique case because we have very competent leadership in the state that has more or less convinced the skeptical to support the GOP based on results. I would be hesitant to take a whole lot away nationally from Florida.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:27 am to GeneralLee
I am not in the least worried about FL. It will be a huge win there!
I'd love to hear from people in some of the iffy-er states, so please post if you're in one of those.
I'm in a deep blue state so it won't matter, sadly! Yes, we voted early anyway.
I'd love to hear from people in some of the iffy-er states, so please post if you're in one of those.
I'm in a deep blue state so it won't matter, sadly! Yes, we voted early anyway.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:31 am to OBReb6
Sitting at 22.13 right now!
Posted on 11/5/24 at 8:34 am to im4LSU
quote:
Sitting at 22.13 right now!
Too close... Higher!! Higher!!
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