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Devil’s Advocate
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:28 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:28 am
The early voting numbers were a rope a dope. A lot of Election Day voters in 2020 voted early this time and the Election Day numbers aren’t going to be as strong for Republicans as in previous elections.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:29 am to Allthatfades
Quite the opposite to everything you’re saying is actually happening
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:30 am to Allthatfades
Certainly possible. But it’s more likely a sign of a motivated voter base.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:30 am to Allthatfades
quote:
Election Day numbers aren’t going to be as strong for Republicans as in previous elections.
In that case, they will be about 95% less strong for Democrats as well in your shitty scenario so it's a win win regardless
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:30 am to SlowFlowPro
No we need to have at least one realistic thread. There’s evidence on both sides that things are going well. No need to put our heads in the sand regarding the negatives.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:31 am to Allthatfades
quote:not what’s happening here… not only strong early voting #s but republicans also turning out on Election Day too. Philadelphia lines this morning are nonexistent too
A lot of Election Day voters in 2020 voted early this time and the Election Day numbers aren’t going to be as strong for Republicans as in previous elections.
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Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:31 am to Allthatfades
The fact that republicans voted early is only half the story. The real story is that democrats did not come out. And they always come out early.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:31 am to Golgi Apparatus
quote:
No we need to have at least one realistic thread. There’s evidence on both sides that things are going well. No need to put our heads in the sand regarding the negatives.
Do you have any idea where you are at? lol
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:31 am to Golgi Apparatus
The dem early numbers are way down from 2020 and trump barely lost some swing states.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:33 am to Allthatfades
From what I understand, in PA Republicans only slightly exceeded their early vote totals from 2020. It was the dems who under performed by 400k. So, dems may have another 400k show up today but Republicans can still show up with the same number or more as they did in 2020 today. How many of those missing 400k for dems will actually show up?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:35 am to Allthatfades
I’m nervous about this too but it’s go time now
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:39 am to Allthatfades
quote:I would like to know what numbers the Dems are pointing at to feel like they're gonna win. I would like to know what the other side is saying right now, but have no interest in going to the DU.
Devil’s Advocate
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:40 am to Allthatfades
quote:
Election Day numbers aren’t going to be as strong for Republicans as in previous elections.
Do you think that only republicans will be affected by the early vote? It will affect both parties but maybe the Libtard’s know how to find votes late in the night better than republicans
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:45 am to StrongOffer
quote:
I would like to know what numbers the Dems are pointing at to feel like they're gonna win. I would like to know what the other side is saying right now, but have no interest in going to the DU.
I think their argument is that their election day GOTV is solid, that Republicans are cannibalizing their vote with EV, and that women - particularly older women - are going heavily Kamala, even Independents and Republicans.
The part about Republican women breaking for Kamala, and even seeing some huge win with Independents - seems like wishful thinking rather than an actual belief - but we will soon see.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:47 am to Jake88
quote:Dems underperformed by 700k.
It was the dems who under performed by 400k
Posted on 11/5/24 at 10:49 am to Scruffy
Yeah. My mistake. 400k is their firewall now.
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