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Posted on 11/10/16 at 2:01 am to Cosmo
quote:
Honestly VA being that close shocked me. I knew it was over when she only won by 1-2%
Thanks for all the shite you gave me
Posted on 11/10/16 at 2:32 am to DupontsCircle
Your username reminds me of a trip more than a decade ago when I had a hotel room with a window facing Dupont Circle. The drum circle and incoherent electric guitar noodling kept me awake most of the night. I can only imagine what kind of soulful wailing might have gone on there tonight.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 3:51 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
The absolute blow out in Ohio still has me stunned. Second is just winning PA know that 5 to 10 percent of the vote there is fraudulent.
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 6:27 am
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:00 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan?
I have a friend in Philadelphia who told me it was absolutely flooded at 9:30am.
I figured the Philly vote was too strong. It wasn't until later on at night, when the NYTimes prediction reached 50%+ for Trump that I started to think he had an actual chance to win.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:05 am to Cosmo
quote:
Honestly VA being that close shocked me. I knew it was over when she only won by 1-2%
This
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:22 am to SquirrelyBama
Trump lost Virginia by 5%. Romney lost it by less than 4%. Both times northern Virginia votes came in late.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:48 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Given the outcome? Nevada and NH
Which state result caused your jaw to drop the most?
In my mind those were MUST haves if Trump was going to win. Had someone given me 1000:1 odds Tuesday morning that Trump would win, but would lose NV/NH, I'd have turned the bet down.
KAC noted their internal poll modeling was different though.
For example, I'd said for months the fact polls showed HRC up in NC by 4, 5 , or 6 points gave me real hope there was an unsampled Trump group. Common sense held HRC should be nowhere near those numbers here. How could HRC have increased Obama's best margin of victory 10-fold in a state where she held no innate popularity?
KAC saw what she believed to be the same trend elsewhere in states like PA. E.g., One NC-like question was how can Iowa/Ohio be so supposedly different from MI/WI/PA? It didn't seem to make sense. Apparently it was at her insistence Trump went so hard after PA from Day1. What a stroke of genius that turned out to be.
So
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:51 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wisconsin has to be it and I was honestly surprised about VA. To come within 60k votes in VA I don't think anyone saw that it would be that close...
Posted on 11/10/16 at 5:19 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wisconsin and Minnesota. Minn has been among the bluest states in the country for decades. Trump lost by one percent.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:14 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Pennsylvania.
Republican fool's gold - but it wasn't this time.
Republican fool's gold - but it wasn't this time.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:26 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Virginia
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:36 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
PA. Never thought he'd get it.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:43 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I agree - sort of. But not a surprise if you harken back to Scott Walker vs. The Unions. I underestimated the lingering strength of the Walker effect. Damn that guy has a pair and I think Trump, at least in some way, benefited from Walker going up against the Union thugs - and winning. To me, what he did with the teachers union was a watershed moment for the entire nation. 
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:47 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wisconsin.
I expected Michigan. The jobs have dried up, and the dems have offered nothing useful for decades.
I expected Michigan. The jobs have dried up, and the dems have offered nothing useful for decades.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:51 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Pennsylvania and Minnesota were the shockers. Wisconsin and Michigan have been trending red over the past 6 years in state elections. It was just a matter of time for a Republican presidential candidate, with the right jobs message, to get them to flip.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:59 am to baytiger
quote:
Minnesota. That state voted for Mondale, and still took hours to call.
i agree with this ... if minnesota's thinking about voting R, then the rest of the country is, also ...
Posted on 11/10/16 at 6:59 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wisconsin for sure. Because it was the one that was called while the issue was still in doubt and the narrow and twisted pathway was still all ahead of us.
Wisconsin opened up a whole new super-highway around all the traffic jams and I felt a wind at my back.
I was jazzed when they announced Wisconsin - that was the moment when I first felt = "this is going to happen."
Wisconsin opened up a whole new super-highway around all the traffic jams and I felt a wind at my back.
I was jazzed when they announced Wisconsin - that was the moment when I first felt = "this is going to happen."
Posted on 11/10/16 at 7:00 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wisconsin. Never in a million years did I think they would go Trump.
Posted on 11/10/16 at 7:01 am to tigerpawl
quote:
I underestimated the lingering strength of the Walker effect. Damn that guy has a pair and I think Trump, at least in some way, benefited from Walker going up against the Union thugs - and winning. To me, what he did with the teachers union was a watershed moment for the entire nation.
Precisely why Scott Walker was my very first pick for POTUS - I was quite disappointed when he dropped out so early.
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