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Playoff Picture/Ping-Pong Balls Thread

Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:07 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18139 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:07 pm
[Update 5/6/21]

Alright, Pels -- you sucked me back in.

With the Spurs loss last night to the Jazz, we now sit 1.5 games back of making the play-in tournament (though the Spurs have the tiebreaker). We have six games left to be played and the Spurs have seven. Here are the current standings:

5. Mavericks 37-28 10.5 GB
6. Lakers 37-28 10.5 GB
7. Blazers 37-29 11 GB
8. Grizzlies 33-32 14.5 GB
9. Warriors 33-33 15 GB
10. Spurs 31-34 16.5 GB
11. Pelicans 30-36 18 GB
12. Kings 29-37 19 GB

It seems that we now have three tiers:

* The Mavs, Lakers, and Blazers are fighting to avoid the #7 seed and the play-in tournament.
* The Grizzlies and Warriors are fighting for the #8 seed and the opportunity to only need one win in the play-in.
* The Spurs, Pels, and Kings are fighting for the #10 seed.

The Kings have won four straight, and, even though their odds are still small, they are not completely out of the running -- which makes tomorrow night's Spurs vs Kings game very interesting.

Pelicans schedule
at PHI
at CHA
at MEM
at DAL
at GS
LAL

Spurs schedule
at SAC
at POR
MIL
at BKN
at NYK
PHO
PHO

The Spurs won't be favored in any of their remaining games, and it's really hard to see them winning more than two, unless the Suns just sit their starters at the end to rest up for the playoffs. Right now, though, the Suns sit just one game behind the Jazz, and I'm sure that they would rather be the #1 seed and likely play MEM/GSW instead of playing DAL/LAL/POR, so we'll have to see how the race at the top goes.

When I look at our remaining schedule, none of the games look unwinnable, but the 76ers game on Friday will really be a tough one without BI. But the Charlotte game might be the only one in which we are favored -- if we are even favored in that one (we likely won't be if BI isn't back for that game).
This post was edited on 5/8/21 at 8:55 am
Posted by Baron
Member since Dec 2014
1718 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:10 pm to


Obligatory
This post was edited on 4/11/21 at 9:15 pm
Posted by Sorrento Muddbugs
Member since Sep 2011
1794 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:15 pm to
Memphis has 7 road games in a row starting this weekend, while the Pels have 5 in a row later in May. The Spurs have 2 sets of 4 in a row on the road in the next few weeks, so things will definitely get interesting if we can win 3 of these next 4 winnable games. 3 games against GSW to close the season will be huge if we stay healthy.
Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:22 pm to
This seems like a good thread to ask a question I've been wondering about:

How does the playoff paradigm mesh with the lottery rules? In other words, are all of the play in teams automatically excluded from the lottery? None of them? Only the team that wins the play in?
Posted by WicKed WayZ
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
31705 posts
Posted on 4/11/21 at 10:32 pm to
It’s very possible we make the play in.


But let’s be real here. We are really inconsistent so most of the fan base is being pretty guarded here


Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61670 posts
Posted on 4/12/21 at 8:48 am to
The team is 19-19 since that game against the Wizards where Point Zion debuted. They have 19 games left. Assuming they went 10-9 in those 19, that would give them a 34-38 record at the end of the season which would equal the .472 winning percentage Golden State currently has.

To make the Play In the Pels need some intentional tanking or injuries from other teams, or they need to step up and be better than .500.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18139 posts
Posted on 4/13/21 at 4:56 am to
OP updated
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
26018 posts
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:04 am to
SPurs have a crazy hard schedule to close the season out, and they have won 4 of their last 14 games.
There's no way they don't drop to the 11 spot.

The Grizzlies are about to go on a 7 game road trip against 6 elite teams.

Warriors have a pretty easy schedule from here on out. Unless they get an injury to Steph, it'll be tough to pass them up but we do play them 3x's, so the ball is in our hands.



I think it's going to come down to what we do in that 5 game road trip (Philly, Hornets, Grizz, Mavs, GSW) to close the season out before the last game at home against the Lakers, who i would think aren't going to play Lebron or AD.
Posted by Pistol44
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2019
1915 posts
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:09 am to
Interesting..... GSW strength of schedule built substantially on playing Pels 3 times
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
22548 posts
Posted on 4/13/21 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

and the Warriors three more times



Well we cant blame anyone but ourselves if we cant pull it off.

I like the way we are playing though.
Posted by Pistol44
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2019
1915 posts
Posted on 4/13/21 at 3:35 pm to
I low key like Cubans proposal Top 20 in .... next eight fight for play in
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
34804 posts
Posted on 4/15/21 at 6:32 pm to
Looks like Cleveland will have Sexton back tonight, hopefully they can upset GS. GS doesn't have Wiseman or Oubre but I saw a stat on Twitter today that show Steph is a decent amount better with both of them off the floor.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18388 posts
Posted on 4/21/21 at 6:37 pm to
Somebody start a Tank Picture Thread. Pels need a lottery slot and BIG LUCK to get another impact player
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18139 posts
Posted on 4/24/21 at 7:53 am to
I thought we might get some help last night, because I would have bet on the Nuggets against the Warriors and the Blazers against the Grizzlies, but alas, t'was not to be.

If we lose tonight, then, it's basically over, because we aren't going to catch the Grizzlies or Warriors -- our only hope is to beat out the Spurs for the 10th spot, and that's almost impossible unless we win tonight.
Posted by lsutigers718
Member since Mar 2015
1243 posts
Posted on 4/29/21 at 10:33 pm to
After tonight, 3 games away from 10 (Warriors)

We play warriors 3 more times still.

Win all 3 of those and we have a chance
Posted by Pistol44
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2019
1915 posts
Posted on 4/30/21 at 2:03 pm to
Team being in this position is due primarily to guard play. Team’s priority to me is at point. If you believe a 23 yr. old Zo can develop into the role you sign him at a fair value 18-21. If you don’t, who’d be available on the market at that price? You certainly don’t draft a point that you’d have to develop along with Kira. Or you feel good enough about Kira (defensively and offensively) to let him take the reins and add a vet backup.
This post was edited on 4/30/21 at 2:07 pm
Posted by Pistol44
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2019
1915 posts
Posted on 5/2/21 at 9:56 pm to
Pels 2.5 behind Spurs and 3 behind Warriors
Posted by BowDownToLSU
Livingston louisiana
Member since Feb 2010
19320 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 9:22 pm to
Spurs losing tonight Down 24 to Jazz in the third
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18139 posts
Posted on 5/6/21 at 5:07 am to
OP now updated. Like Charlie Brown trying to kick the football while Lucy holds it, I'll flap onward.
Posted by Pistol44
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2019
1915 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 3:29 pm to
Spurs have the Blazers who want to stay ahead of the Lakers and-out of the play in. Pels have Hornets and Ball Brothers II ....
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