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Started By
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Nate Silver gives Biden a 55% chance to win Georgia.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:38 pm
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:38 pm
What in the hell 
21
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:39 pm to _Hurricane_
Nate Saran Wrap
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:39 pm to _Hurricane_
This guy should lose his platform after this election.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:39 pm to _Hurricane_
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:40 pm to _Hurricane_
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:44 pm to _Hurricane_
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:45 pm to _Hurricane_
Nate Silver = Lee Corso
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:46 pm to _Hurricane_
I think a lot of you are going to be very surprised at a lot of results this go round.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:47 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
I think a lot of you are going to be very surprised at a lot of results this go round.
sounds like you are pulling shite out of your arse like ol Nate
Wow 55%! in other words a coin flip in other words he cannot be wrong
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:48 pm to _Hurricane_
There is zero chance - they are gaslighting the American public so badly
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:48 pm to Big Scrub TX
Lol. Sure baws.
I'll be surprised when Trump wins NY cause there is a zero percent chance Biden wins GA.
I'll be surprised when Trump wins NY cause there is a zero percent chance Biden wins GA.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:52 pm to _Hurricane_
yeah sure Nate. and Trump has a 55% chance of winning New York. frick this clown, how do people even take him seriously?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:53 pm to Big Scrub TX
Target smart uses early voting data to predict the election and has Biden down 7 points in Georgia. Trump just held a Rally in Rome Ga with 40k people. Enthusiasm
Is off the charts. Biden/Kamala held a rally today with 100 people in Ga.
Is off the charts. Biden/Kamala held a rally today with 100 people in Ga.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:54 pm to AmishSamurai
quote:
Lol. Sure baws. I'll be surprised when Trump wins NY cause there is a zero percent chance Biden wins GA.
There is actually a scenario of Trump winning NY. Deblasio and Cuomo have screwed NYC so hard.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:55 pm to AmishSamurai
If Obama couldn't even come close to carrying Georgia in 2012, Joe fricking Biden isn't going to pull out that state in 2020. Georgia hasn't gone blue since 1992, and it went blue by half a point. It ain't happening this year.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:57 pm to Mrtommorrow1987
quote:It's not like I don't understand the latent vote argument based on enthusiasm. But let's not ignore the massive turnout numbers already. It's crazy to believe that that's all in Trump's favor - or maybe even to assume it's net in his favor at all. Literally MILLIONS of people despise him and are motivated to vote - but not necessarily to go to some ridiculous "rally".
Target smart uses early voting data to predict the election and has Biden down 7 points in Georgia. Trump just held a Rally in Rome Ga with 40k people. Enthusiasm
Is off the charts. Biden/Kamala held a rally today with 100 people in Ga.
I'd like to think it's as simple as just assuming he won't lose Georgia, but I just don't know. And certainly you can't be nearly as confident about the GA Senate race - which arguably matters even more.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:59 pm to gthog61
quote:I mean, what are you supposed to say when it's a close race?
Wow 55%! in other words a coin flip in other words he cannot be wrong
I think the race is much closer than the polls are indicating right now nationwide. But it's still probably 60/40 in favor of Biden at least. That means Trump has a lot of avenues he can win by - but it's an uphill climb.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:00 am to Big Scrub TX
People don't go out to vote against candidates
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:02 am to _Hurricane_
This dude also has Biden tied with trump in Texas
Posted on 11/2/20 at 12:03 am to TigerCruise
quote:That's wonderful conventional wisdom taken from a small sample size of elections over the past half century or so.
People don't go out to vote against candidates
But your head is in the sand if you don't think Trump is at least possibly the exception to this "rule".
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