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How much of a concern is it that Texas will turn Blue?
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:56 pm
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:56 pm
It seems far fetched to me, but some Dems are counting on it.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:57 pm to AMac
Very concerned because we know the Dems are getting away with voter fraud.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:57 pm to AMac
Dems count on a lot of shite that never transpires for them.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:57 pm to AMac
Don't think it happens this cycle. But it could happen 2024 depending on the candidates.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 3:58 pm to AMac
This year? 0
In the future? Very
In the future? Very
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:02 pm to AMac
Zero percent chance it turns blue.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:02 pm to AMac
quote:
How much of a concern is it that Texas will turn Blue?
This year? None
In 5-10 years? A big one
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:04 pm to AMac
I think Trump should win Texas easily but not by as much as he should.
MJ Hegar doesn't have near the excitement of the all the liberal soy that Robert Francis O'Rourk did 2 years ago & that is good. Cornyn is Republican Establishment filth but I will take him over Hegar any day of the week. His vote in the Senate is crucial for so many reasons. Just take a look at Hegar & listen to hear speak & that tells you all you need to know about her. I thank her for her military service but she is an absolute disgrace.
MJ Hegar doesn't have near the excitement of the all the liberal soy that Robert Francis O'Rourk did 2 years ago & that is good. Cornyn is Republican Establishment filth but I will take him over Hegar any day of the week. His vote in the Senate is crucial for so many reasons. Just take a look at Hegar & listen to hear speak & that tells you all you need to know about her. I thank her for her military service but she is an absolute disgrace.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:06 pm to Hetfield
Texas has been “turning purple/blue” for at least 20 years and it never happens. It never gets close either.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:07 pm to AMac
In 2020 the answer is zero
The next 20 years or so it probably will happen though
The next 20 years or so it probably will happen though
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:08 pm to SmithsAuFan
In spite of decades of voter suppression and gerrymandering, the rule of law will eventually turn Texas blue, unless of course the trumplicans pull off that coup they are planning.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:08 pm to AMac
Yet ANOTHER reason the GOP needs to sink billions into the Latino vote.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:15 pm to AMac
Just copying & pasting from my previous posts:
A large portion of the Hispanic population in Texas aren’t eligible to vote. Of those who are eligible, the Hispanic vote has a notoriously abysmal turnout rate for elections while non-Hispanic voters have high turnout. On top of all that Texas Hispanic immigrants have the highest home ownership rates in the country with a median income much higher than Hispanic immigrants in NM (for example). First generation Hispanics tend to vote overwhelmingly blue but 2nd & 3rd generations begins moving more republican.
So while the demographics are surely changing, it hasn’t had any meaningful impact on Texas elections.
For example, “the share of the electorate with a Spanish surname [in Texas] increased from 17.2 percent in 2012 to 19.4 percent in 2016. Latinos make up 38 percent of the Texas population, but historically vote at lower rates than Latinos in other states and other groups in Texas.“
This is the reason people saying that Texas will turn blue are wrong. Latinos make up 38% of Texas population but, in their highest turnout year (2016), only 19.4% of the Latino population actually voted. LINK
“ Some 28% of Texas eligible voters are Hispanic, the second largest Hispanic statewide eligible voter share nationally. New Mexico ranks first with 40%.”
“Some 46% of Hispanics in Texas are eligible to vote, ranking Texas 23rd nationwide in the share of the Hispanic population that is eligible to vote. By contrast, 79% of the state’s white population is eligible to vote.“
So, while the number of Hispanics in TX continue to rise, less than 1/2 of them are eligible to vote. Also, Hispanics who are eligible to vote in Texas have a larger % who own their homes than the rest of the eligible Hispanic voters nationwide combined.
Pew Research
“Among Hispanics, Biden has a 47.4% to 37.9% advantage, but 13.2% remain undecided.“
“ Naturalized and first-generation Hispanics favored Biden by wider marks, but those whose families had been in the country two or more generations favored the Democrat by a narrow margin of 45% to 44.6%.”
Dallas Morning News
This is likely largely influenced by the success and high home ownership of 2nd+ generation Hispanics in Texas.
A large portion of the Hispanic population in Texas aren’t eligible to vote. Of those who are eligible, the Hispanic vote has a notoriously abysmal turnout rate for elections while non-Hispanic voters have high turnout. On top of all that Texas Hispanic immigrants have the highest home ownership rates in the country with a median income much higher than Hispanic immigrants in NM (for example). First generation Hispanics tend to vote overwhelmingly blue but 2nd & 3rd generations begins moving more republican.
So while the demographics are surely changing, it hasn’t had any meaningful impact on Texas elections.
For example, “the share of the electorate with a Spanish surname [in Texas] increased from 17.2 percent in 2012 to 19.4 percent in 2016. Latinos make up 38 percent of the Texas population, but historically vote at lower rates than Latinos in other states and other groups in Texas.“
This is the reason people saying that Texas will turn blue are wrong. Latinos make up 38% of Texas population but, in their highest turnout year (2016), only 19.4% of the Latino population actually voted. LINK
“ Some 28% of Texas eligible voters are Hispanic, the second largest Hispanic statewide eligible voter share nationally. New Mexico ranks first with 40%.”
“Some 46% of Hispanics in Texas are eligible to vote, ranking Texas 23rd nationwide in the share of the Hispanic population that is eligible to vote. By contrast, 79% of the state’s white population is eligible to vote.“
So, while the number of Hispanics in TX continue to rise, less than 1/2 of them are eligible to vote. Also, Hispanics who are eligible to vote in Texas have a larger % who own their homes than the rest of the eligible Hispanic voters nationwide combined.
Pew Research
“Among Hispanics, Biden has a 47.4% to 37.9% advantage, but 13.2% remain undecided.“
“ Naturalized and first-generation Hispanics favored Biden by wider marks, but those whose families had been in the country two or more generations favored the Democrat by a narrow margin of 45% to 44.6%.”
Dallas Morning News
This is likely largely influenced by the success and high home ownership of 2nd+ generation Hispanics in Texas.
This post was edited on 10/2/20 at 4:18 pm
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:23 pm to LSUGrrrl
Also, Texas Hispanics tend to be far more conservative than those in other states.
It’s the urban areas that cause the blue “blips” on the Texas map—and those voters are usually either black and/or academicians.
It’s the urban areas that cause the blue “blips” on the Texas map—and those voters are usually either black and/or academicians.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:24 pm to EKG
It's way more on Cali whites, college students, and suburban losers turning Texas blue than it is on Mexicans.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:25 pm to ecb
0% ever. People like Rogan are openly saying they’ll vote with the people keeping Texas from becoming California. That influx of Californians will largely vote red to prevent having to deal with the living hell that is democrat run politics ever again.
Posted on 10/2/20 at 4:25 pm to AMac
zero this year
probably gonna happen eventually
probably gonna happen eventually
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