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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:12 pm to Klark Kent
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:12 pm to Klark Kent
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 2:57 pm
0
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:15 pm to rds dc
Here we go again!
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:16 pm to Klark Kent
quote:
I feel like a tropical storm could be off the coast of South Carolina and project towards the East Coast and some of our TD wishcasters would tell us it’s definitely hitting Louisiana
Hurricane Betsy, 1965
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:16 pm to TxWadingFool
WadingFool did y’all ever recover from the last storm? Was it Harvey?
And it’s super nice and breezy here and a bit overcast.
And it’s super nice and breezy here and a bit overcast.
This post was edited on 9/19/20 at 2:19 pm
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:18 pm to TypoKnig
hey, I believe it. Beta is definitely on its way to Louisiana. So is Teddy and Wilfred. Line Em up!
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:26 pm to Klark Kent
Certainly looking like a Beta on IR right now.
This post was edited on 9/19/20 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:42 pm to Duke
quote:
That's not great to hear. It does make sense to weaken on final coastal approach but I sure as shite wouldn't be banking on it.
Not this season, anyway.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 2:56 pm to Duke
The cone, the cone expanding within hours. The 500 mile long wide cone covering the entire TX and LA coast into MS .............
This post was edited on 9/19/20 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:00 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Not this season, anyway.
This isn't the obvious RI set up for Laura or what was a good one for Sally.
My concern is that as the shear lifts away some that the dry air that's been pulled in ends up not quite getting entrained in the core and you get a smaller core of heavier convection. So a little tight windfield under a smallish blob of intense convection.
Good news would be the small size in such a scenario, bad news would be if you live where it goes in.
Hopefully it just eats dry air and remains pretty sloppy.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:16 pm to Duke
Generally what I want to see on our two best ensemble packages. NHC path should continue inland on the next update seeing this plus the general western progression on the models. Not out of the woods yet in Louisiana or Houston, but I'm not seeing anything to make me more concerned at this time. Which, counts as a win after the last month.
Also, tropics look like they're about to quiet down for a good week or two after this wave of systems. Busy October looks likely, but historically that's more of a Florida problem at least. *inserts joke about cancelling football game*
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:19 pm to Duke
More inland seems like it's more problematic for houston rainfall potential. Keeps houston on the east side.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:22 pm to LSUJuice
quote:
More inland seems like it's more problematic for houston rainfall potential. Keeps houston on the east side.
But weakens it and there's quite a bit of dry air hanging around. It's better than it running the coast and having Houston west but just barely with what's going on around it. Still a flash flooding risk obviously, but in this case it's a little bit better to just bury it inland.
It isn't Harvey which had a biblical feed of moisture to work with.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:25 pm to Duke
quote:
bury it inland
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:26 pm to Duke
quote:
tropics look like they're about to quiet down for a good week or two after this wave of systems
best thing you've said in months dude
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:27 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:
best thing you've said in months dude
Agree with that 100%.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:51 pm to Duke
Teddy is out there showing off with finishing up an EWRC and we don't have a plane in it to catch the new eye forming. That would have been nice.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 3:53 pm to LegendInMyMind
Canada can't send a plane? He's headed for NS. Or do they just rely on us like they do with everything else?
Posted on 9/19/20 at 4:00 pm to LSUJuice
quote:Their plane is in the shop for repairs...
Canada can't send a plane?
Posted on 9/19/20 at 4:02 pm to PUB
quote:The cone will soon include everything between the Panama Canal and Kansas City.
The cone, the cone expanding within hours.
Posted on 9/19/20 at 4:07 pm to LSURussian
I haven’t really been paying attention to this storm. Why are the parishes around Vermilion Bay under a tropical storm warning?
Isn’t going to Texas and then maybe, in 5 days, SW LA?
Isn’t going to Texas and then maybe, in 5 days, SW LA?
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