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Interesting look at what Rasmussen considers SWING states. Polling begins next week

Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:19 am
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53503 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:19 am
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60744 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:20 am to
Georgia is a swing state the same way Stacey Abrams is a runway model.
Posted by AmishSamurai
Member since Feb 2020
2670 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:21 am to
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
21316 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:26 am to
Why not, TX and FL are key for the Rs. CA and NY are key for the Ds

TX and FL will not be in doubt, so think of it as a baseline for the other actual battleground states.
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17515 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:30 am to
If you take Texas, Iowa, Georgia and Colorado out, the Map is correct. I would almost argue at this point that Nevada is firm Democrat, while Ohio is firm Republican.
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
16496 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:37 am to
Don't have the link to the article this came from, but your post does not support your title.

The content of the graph clearly states they are targeting at least 14 key Senate races. This has nothing to do with whether or not these are SWING states, just that they are looking at Senate races that happen to be in these 14 states.
Posted by GatorReb
Dallas GA
Member since Feb 2009
9282 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:38 am to
Doesn’t bode well for Biden that most of the Midwest is seen as a “swing state”
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96506 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:39 am to
One of these things is not like the others
One of these things just doesn’t belong
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 9:42 am to
I firmly believe CO, NV, ME are going blue again.

Trump was actually very close in Nevada in 2016 but I think it's blue.

OH, IA, TX, GA, NC are red.

The only swing states are: FL, AZ, MI, MN, PA, WI

Sucks they didn't put NH because trump only lost it by 2k votes in 2016.
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
25084 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:29 am to
Whoda thunk allll those blue rust belt states would be considered swing states.

Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22275 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 10:50 am to
These are swing states for US Senate, which is why you have TX, FL, and GA shown.

For example, John Cornyn is up for reelection in TX. This is considered a swing state due to how close the 2018 Senate race was, but that election cycle did not include Trump.
Posted by seawolf06
NH
Member since Oct 2007
8159 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:28 am to
They are asking for contributions to create polls which they then sell to the candidates.

Why wouldn't they include as many states as possible?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17793 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:41 am to
They forgot NH
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
52926 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:02 pm to
I guess that will make Joe look pretty bad when he can only win 2 or 3 of the 14 swing states.
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 8/21/20 at 12:13 pm to
Technically they are swing if the margin of victory is expected to be less than 5%, which it could be for all of those states. However, New Hampshire should be considered swing as well, if that’s the metric they are using.
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