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re: Storm Watch- Gulf- Tropical Depression- Northward Miss. Valley

Posted on 6/5/20 at 7:59 am to
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120449 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 7:59 am to
Line for gas at costco 10 cars deep
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41748 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:00 am to
I’m anxiously awaiting the point in time where the HRR shows what happens here during the event. The HRR is usually pretty accurate but I’m not sure of its track record with tropical events.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164354 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:01 am to
The HRRR saves my arse on my short range forecasts.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41748 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:05 am to
So what’s your official forecast for Baton Rouge for this?
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 8:06 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17683 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:06 am to
The HRRR can be hit or miss I've found. The last thunderstorm event we had here it seemed like the WRF-ARW had them nailed more than the HRRR.
Posted by paperwasp
11x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
23252 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:06 am to
quote:

crankyweatherguy
@crankywxguy

Screams oddball.

More of an extra-tropical development aloft in this second stage, akin to Cindy.

Size of system & structures aloft may bring thoughts of Issac coming over Cuba/Keys as a large tropical, with cold-core tendencies and low winds.


Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164354 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:08 am to
Let’s first see what it looks like when it pops back over water tonight.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:10 am to
quote:

So what’s your official forecast for Baton Rouge for this?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41748 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:10 am to
*this afternoon*

I’m betting it’s back over water closer to 2:00-3:00 our time.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56131 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:12 am to
So dry air will make this asymmetrical. Hopefully it takes more of an east jog over the gulf coast so we get the dry side.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
19016 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:17 am to
Cristobal taking that Carnival cruise route back to New Orleans
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41748 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:18 am to
quote:

So dry air will make this asymmetrical.

100%
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17683 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:19 am to
This thread is going pretty slow considering we have a relatively high confidence Louisiana landfallalling tropical storm in 3 days.
Posted by CrossroadDawg
Ms Delta
Member since Mar 2019
206 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:21 am to
Weatherman Frankie is always right.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41748 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:23 am to
That’s because
1. It’s still a little early. People are just waking up or getting to work.
2. It’s just forecast to be a lopsided tropical storm. If the NHC were forecasting a cat 1 this thread would be cuttin up more than a lesbian meet & greet.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164354 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:24 am to
The Barry thread went 594 pages
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
3765 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:26 am to
Generator check
Gas Check
Food Check
Another lost weekend
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17683 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:27 am to
There's also nobody asking about their flights getting messed up
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18476 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:30 am to
What's up with the XTRP and the CLP5 swinging this guy to the east of Mobile?
Posted by kojak
Member since Apr 2020
531 posts
Posted on 6/5/20 at 8:32 am to
quote:

There's also nobody asking about their flights getting messed up


Will my monday flight get messed up
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