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As Predicted: Biden now favored in Texas Primary according to 538

Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:12 am
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:12 am


GET YO POPCORN READY, WE GOING TO CONVENTION FLOOR LOSERS!!!

BIDEN ON SUPER TUESDAY IS NOW PREDICTED TO WIN:

ALABAMA
ARKANSAS
NORTH CAROLINA
OKLAHOMA
TENNESSEE
TEXAS
VIRGINA











This post was edited on 3/1/20 at 2:23 am
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
7149 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:19 am to
This a quality post about a shiteshow primary. Whoever comes out of this hilarious bloodbath will get destroyed in November and all I can do is sit back and laugh.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:25 am to
Enjoy!

Bernie probably wins but at a huge price. Democrats love and hate chaos. This is gonna be fun to watch.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
35029 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:30 am to
I guess that last debate swayed favor away from Sanders, while Biden's prediction-busting showing in S.C. swayed favor in Biden's direction. Large swing there.

I know, thanks Captain Obvious.

ETA....I sorta take it back. Sanders is still on the rise per 538, but Biden has narrowed the gap, a stark upward trend beginning on Feb. 25th, the date of last week's S.C. debate. I think the Latinos still put Sanders on top on Texas.
This post was edited on 3/1/20 at 3:43 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100227 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:39 am to
I'm in - still rooting for Bernie but this got way more interesting tonight
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:50 am to
The idea of establishment Democrats getting their hopes up tonight only for Bernie to crush them 3 days later is just so funny.

And the thing is, that is not surprising at all.
Posted by QboveTopSecret
America
Member since Feb 2018
3473 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:58 am to


Trump wins again
Posted by Northwestern tiger
Long Island NY
Member since Oct 2005
23750 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 3:16 am to
I think Bernie takes TX. Bloomberg being on the ballot will siphon lots of votes from Biden
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
9866 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 3:53 am to
I have been saying it, Butt and Bernie are going to have problems in the South. I am praying this goes to a brokered convention.
Posted by Rock the Casbah
Member since Dec 2014
940 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 5:07 am to
Pretty sure 538 just changed Biden’s national black voter share to what he got in SC and then re-ran the numbers.

But i don’t think it translates. Dem-E twisted every dark arm in SC - they don’t have the time to replicate that effort for Super Tuesday.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
35633 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:28 am to
Once the deep south primaries are out of the way . Joe can't hang
Posted by bbeck
Member since Dec 2011
15206 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:29 am to
I don’t understand their polling
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44716 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:31 am to
quote:

Once the deep south primaries are out of the way . Joe can't hang

He doesn’t have to. He only needs to keep Bernie from getting a majority.
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
119513 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 8:32 am to
Primary voters in Texas are urban white liberals and Hispanics. Biden will not win.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Primary voters in Texas are urban white liberals and Hispanics. Biden will not win.


I get the same feeling but I also think there is a reason for black voters to get motivated about Biden. The scary part was even Obama couldn’t overtake Hillary in Texas. Although It’s a completely different animal this time.

2016 Votes % Delegates
Hillary Clinton........935,080......65.2%......147
Bernie Sanders.....475,567......33.2%......75.

2008
Hillary Rodham Clinton.....1,459,814....50.9%...94
Barack Obama.....1,358,785.....47.4 .....99

How epic was 2008!?!?


My point though is that 2016 model in total vote is probably closer than 2008. Bloomberg and Pete would get out if they truly wanted to help stop Bernie.

Bernie has advantages of money and grassroots. He’s gonna turnout his base and grab 25%. The question is can Biden do the same in 3 days?
This post was edited on 3/1/20 at 1:57 pm
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
13405 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:03 pm to
Texas will be close but Bernie will crush Biden in California.

I see Biden coming in worse than 3rd in California.

Posted by CaptSpaulding
Member since Feb 2012
6948 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 2:32 pm to
We are already starting to get an encore of 2016 when Bernie bro’s show their true racist colors as African Americans don’t turn out and vote for him.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 3:58 pm to
Oh they already posting shite like this

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
162039 posts
Posted on 3/1/20 at 4:03 pm to
You supported Obama, Jebra! how is your $200 beat OMB guac bowl holding up? and now Biden.
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