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Started By
Message
I posted before about UF-Auburn spread and Tiger Rant was wildly off
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:00 am
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:00 am
The consensus was the line would be -10 Auburn and they'll win by a couple TD's. The line in reality opened at Auburn as 2.5 favorites and has only moved to -3. Im wondering how handicappers of Tiger Rant could be off by a full touchdown and also what you're prediction is in considering the real line
This post was edited on 10/4/19 at 12:01 am
12
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:04 am to greasegrease
quote:
greasegrease
Technically you are “wrong”
In actuality the line opened up a long time ago with the Gators being favored by at least 3 pts if my memory serves me correctly, it might have been more.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:05 am to greasegrease
I think the only reason the line is so small is because it's in the swamp. Auburn should win this by 10 easy. But the swamp (as we at LSU know) can make things interesting.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:05 am to Dudebro2
[/quote]
All the more reason
quote:
Technically you are “wrong” In actuality the line opened up a long time ago with the Gators being favored by at least 3 pts if my memory serves me correctly, it might have been more.
All the more reason
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:08 am to greasegrease
If I only have to lay 2.5 or 3, I'm taking the Barn.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 12:17 am to greasegrease
Auburn/Florida
Link shows hundreds of line movements from 20 different Vegas sports books - with exact time and date
LINK
Link shows hundreds of line movements from 20 different Vegas sports books - with exact time and date
LINK
This post was edited on 10/4/19 at 12:19 am
Posted on 10/4/19 at 4:13 am to greasegrease
Auburn is highly overrated by the rant and the “expert” talking heads right now but Vegas cannot be fooled.
Auburn has a great d line. That’s it. Their secondary is ok and they have a true freshman QB. They are getting a lot of love for beating A&M which at the time was an upset but A&M isn’t very good and as the season goes on that win will not look as good. They do have the best resume in the country right now because of the Oregon and A&M wins but I think they are going to come back to earth when they play LSU/Georgia/Bama.
Auburn has a great d line. That’s it. Their secondary is ok and they have a true freshman QB. They are getting a lot of love for beating A&M which at the time was an upset but A&M isn’t very good and as the season goes on that win will not look as good. They do have the best resume in the country right now because of the Oregon and A&M wins but I think they are going to come back to earth when they play LSU/Georgia/Bama.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 5:26 am to greasegrease
Oh look, another “I told you so” thread. How refreshing.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 6:02 am to greasegrease
I got Florida winning tomorrow.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 6:19 am to greasegrease
We needed this thread because.......?
Posted on 10/4/19 at 6:22 am to J2thaROC
Auburn is extremely good this year
Posted on 10/4/19 at 7:20 am to greasegrease
Congratulations about being right! What are you doing to celebrate?
Posted on 10/4/19 at 7:25 am to tigertex1992
quote:
Congratulations about being right! What are you doing to celebrate?
Where did he say he was right about anything?
Posted on 10/4/19 at 7:28 am to Bayou
quote:
Auburn is extremely good this year
quote:
Bayou
Not extremely, you are absolutely incorrect in that statement.
They are a 9-3 type team.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:17 am to greasegrease
The issue is that both QBs have a sub 10 QBR when pressured. And both teams have outstanding front 7's.
Could be a competition on which an could be less terrible when rushed.
Could be a competition on which an could be less terrible when rushed.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:42 am to greasegrease
IMO:
Florida edge rushers will make the freshman QB's life miserable tomorrow. If there's one thing the Gators are REALLY good at it's pressuring a QB. They might be the best in the SEC. That's a recipe for a tough game in the swamp for Malzahn's offense, and I think Auburn is a press clippings type of team that will get punched in the mouth tomorrow. Once they start doubting how good they thought they were in the swamp, they may get beat like LSU did last year despite maybe being the better team on paper. If Auburn wins, it'll be close, and likely low scoring unless defense/special teams touchdowns happen.
I think Florida covers at home if given more than 3 points, and that's probably why Vegas has them there.
Florida edge rushers will make the freshman QB's life miserable tomorrow. If there's one thing the Gators are REALLY good at it's pressuring a QB. They might be the best in the SEC. That's a recipe for a tough game in the swamp for Malzahn's offense, and I think Auburn is a press clippings type of team that will get punched in the mouth tomorrow. Once they start doubting how good they thought they were in the swamp, they may get beat like LSU did last year despite maybe being the better team on paper. If Auburn wins, it'll be close, and likely low scoring unless defense/special teams touchdowns happen.
I think Florida covers at home if given more than 3 points, and that's probably why Vegas has them there.
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:43 am to greasegrease
Nobody cares
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:46 am to Jrv2damac
Who cares! 
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:47 am to geauxtigers33
quote:
Auburn is highly overrated by the rant and the “expert” talking heads right now but Vegas cannot be fooled.
Auburn has a great d line. That’s it. Their secondary is ok and they have a true freshman QB. They are getting a lot of love for beating A&M which at the time was an upset but A&M isn’t very good and as the season goes on that win will not look as good. They do have the best resume in the country right now because of the Oregon and A&M wins but I think they are going to come back to earth when they play LSU/Georgia/Bama.
I completely agree with this. IMO Flordia and Auburn are very similar to each other. Because of this I think florida will actually come out on top just because they are at home. People are putting way too much into the beating that Auburn gave Mississippi state last week as well
This post was edited on 10/4/19 at 8:48 am
Posted on 10/4/19 at 8:53 am to greasegrease
A wise gambler told me that whenever a line doesn't make sense (ex close line while everyone is picking 1 team) there's always a reason
To me auburn looks much better but Vegas likes a matchup somewhere for Florida ..at least seen as a close game
To me auburn looks much better but Vegas likes a matchup somewhere for Florida ..at least seen as a close game
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