re: CFB Betting Thread Week 13

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This is the reason some often shy away from rivalry games. And it's the same reason that I actually love playing rivalry games.

You know both teams are coming to play, so you can toss any "situational analysis" out the window as being irrelevant. Which focuses the analysis to "who is better at football, and how much better are we talking here."

I believe the notion that rivalry games tend to produce upsets is a myth and that if someone took the time and energy to actually crunch those numbers -- something which I will not be doing, to be clear -- I would be willing to wager that upset rates in games that we can predefine and set-aside as "rivalry games' are less than the average rate of occurrence across the board.

Hmmm...I wonder if somebody ever has done such an analysis?

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Maryland +13.5

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