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Early voting in Florida looks great
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:17 pm
In 2016, the Ds had a 155k advantage in early voting. Trump won the state of Florida by 1.2%
Today, the Ds only have an 87k advantage in early voting
Today, the Ds only have an 87k advantage in early voting
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 12:18 pm
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:19 pm to joshnorris14
I’m sure there was a lot higher total turnout in 2016 too though that needs to be taken into account
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:21 pm to joshnorris14
How does this compare to 2014 though?
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:26 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
I’m sure there was a lot higher total turnout in 2016 too though that needs to be taken into account
Not as big of a difference as you'd expect. There have already been 5.1M votes cast in Florida.
In 2016, there were 6.5M early votes cast
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 12:27 pm
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:34 pm to joshnorris14
Big unanswered question is how the independents vote. I think Scott eeks it out by a point or two but I'm afraid Gillum is going to win the governorship.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:39 pm to GeneralLee
I'm curious how Hurricane Michael is affecting voter turnout in SW Florida? Hope all those folks have been accommodated and were or are able to vote. Lots of red in those areas.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:46 pm to BeYou
quote:
How does this compare to 2014 though?
As you might imagine, turnout (early voting) is in between the two. Turnout FAR exceeds 2014, but is less than 2016.
The wildcard is who are the independents voting for?
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:49 pm to GeneralLee
why in the unholy hell would independents want to turn the retirement State into New York taxes?
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:50 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
why in the unholy hell would independents want to turn the retirement State into New York taxes?
I'm not saying it makes sense but voters are not rational lots of the time. DeSantis has run a terrible campaign. Could see some suburban women voting for Scott and Gillum on a split ticket.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:56 pm to GeneralLee
If Gollum wins how will the media cover for theitter stupidity of his policies?
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:02 pm to gthog61
His policies don’t mean shite if the GOP controls the state houses.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:09 pm to MizzouBS
Unfortunately that's not true. He can appoint Florida SOS, Florida Supreme Court judges, veto the congressional redistricting after the 2020 census, etc.
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 1:17 pm
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:14 pm to MizzouBS
Actually I am thinking Gollum winning sees up Florida for trump in 2020
No way they can cover for that idiot for 2 full years
No way they can cover for that idiot for 2 full years
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:16 pm to gthog61
Gillum will win based on Puerto Rican voters. They will not support Trump in 2020.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:33 pm to joshnorris14
Where are you getting those numbers? I have heard the republicans are leading by about 60,000 votes on the early voting.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:51 pm to Palmetto08
quote:
I'm curious how Hurricane Michael is affecting voter turnout in SW Florida?
Michael hit NW Florida, not SW...
As I stated in the other thread, the heavily red rural panhandle counties were devastated and there are many still displaced. Vast majority of polling places are not going to open so residents have to travel further to vote. But, anecdotally, people know it's an important elecyand are making an effort. But I do think we will see much lower turnout in the panhandle than in 2016.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:52 pm to joshnorris14
Do dead people usually vote early or late?
Posted on 11/5/18 at 1:54 pm to shell01
quote:
Michael hit NW Florida, not SW... As I stated in the other thread, the heavily red rural panhandle counties were devastated and there are many still displaced. Vast majority of polling places are not going to open so residents have to travel further to vote. But, anecdotally, people know it's an important elecyand are making an effort. But I do think we will see much lower turnout in the panhandle than in 2016.
Mistyped thanks for correcting. Need panhandle to come through. Maybe the blue voters won't go to the efforts to get out due to circumstances you mentioned
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