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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season - July - TS Emily
Posted on 7/3/17 at 10:04 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 7/3/17 at 10:04 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
NHC 70%
I just cashed out my 401K. I won't be alive to pay the penalty taxes.
IRS. Thanks for the heads up! 
0
Posted on 7/4/17 at 9:34 am to rds dc
Hopefully this isn't a threat to the mainland
Posted on 7/4/17 at 9:48 am to Chad504boy
Looks like it may loop around the high in the Atlantic and go back out to sea. Let's hope that's what happens
Posted on 7/4/17 at 9:52 am to ForeverLSU02
8-10 day Euro model depicted strong upper level 500 mb ridge over Missouri/ Kansas. 6000 meters. Downstream trough almost certainly would recurve 94L. Hot temps likely over central US next week if euro verifies next Wednesday.
This post was edited on 7/4/17 at 9:53 am
Posted on 7/5/17 at 11:39 am to MottLaneKid
Any update on 94L? Family and I are going on vacation next week to Destin. Should I bring my raincoat?
Posted on 7/5/17 at 11:43 am to Kcrad
quote:
I think this will be an active hurricane season. This is not based on science, just my crappy opinion.
Can we get PJ to weigh in on this and give us his interpretation of someone else's opinion?
Posted on 7/5/17 at 11:43 am to GeauxMatt624
Most indications are that it's a fish. Still too early to be sure though
This post was edited on 7/5/17 at 11:48 am
Posted on 7/5/17 at 12:39 pm to rds dc
I'm trying to figure out why you posted this for your 10,000th post?
quote:
I'm pretty sure you mean "Come on." Also, have you ever traveled with the President? I'll hang up and listen to your vast understanding of the logistics of Presidential travel.
Posted on 7/5/17 at 12:55 pm to Catman88
Down to 60% chance of formation in 5 days per the 1pm advisory
Posted on 7/5/17 at 10:19 pm to ForeverLSU02
TD 4 has formed in the MDR but isn't forecast to strengthen too much more. This system formed despite a somewhat unfavorable large scale background state and some decent SAL. The system had very good structure from the start with a deep concentrated vorticity within a very moist pouch (pocket of air the wave was traveling in) and benefited from fairly light wind shear.
I don't know if this a bad omen or not
But some seasons systems seem to struggle no matter what and other seasons systems seem to spin up with ease.
Also, CSU issued a new outlook today going with 135 ACE which would be above normal.
I don't know if this a bad omen or not
But some seasons systems seem to struggle no matter what and other seasons systems seem to spin up with ease. Also, CSU issued a new outlook today going with 135 ACE which would be above normal.
This post was edited on 7/5/17 at 10:21 pm
Posted on 7/5/17 at 10:23 pm to rds dc
Up next, the Euro with some support from the Euro EPS is showing a low riding 95L moving westward in about 10 days
Posted on 7/6/17 at 9:41 am to rds dc
TD4 struggling this morning, took advantage of a small window of opportunity but that seems to be closing
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
GFS Model has a strong storm hitting Florida 2 weeks from today
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:12 pm to ForeverLSU02
ruh roh, that thing moving north or west hitting FL coast?
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:14 pm to Chad504boy
Northwest
This post was edited on 7/6/17 at 4:21 pm
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:23 pm to ForeverLSU02
man that thing is so far out, one little tweak of a degree... ruh roh.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 4:46 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
man that thing is so far out, one little tweak of a degree... ruh roh.
Over the past couple of days the signal has been growing in the ensemble models for something approaching the Islands in about a week. Hard to talk about track beyond that but typically early season shear keeps the eastern and central Caribbean closed for business.
Posted on 7/6/17 at 5:54 pm to ForeverLSU02
Two weeks? Wtf? NHC has that thing off coast of Florida next tuesday. Is that a diff storm?
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