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How LSU makes the CFB Playoff (Very Real Scenarios)

Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:41 pm
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12290 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:41 pm
Current CFB Rankings Teams in BOLD are Locks for CFP Top 4
1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Ohio State
4. Notre Dame
5. Iowa
6. Baylor
7. Stanford
8. Oklahoma State
9. LSU
10. Utah

How does LSU get in?

#2 - Alabama - @ 17 Mississippi State, vs. Charleston Southern, @ Auburn

Alabama's weakness is their Pass Defense (25th) which gives up 189.6 ypg. Ole Miss beat them by throwing 33 times for 341 yards and 3 scores. Yes, mistakes also aided in their win but doesn't that happen to everyone?

Mississippi State has 2 losses (LSU and Texas A&M). Dak Prescott has a TD/INT ratio of 18-1 and has thrown for 2,351 yards (300+ each of the past 3 games) while also being able to run. (418 yards, 7 TDs)

And anything can happen in Aub-Ala games, this one just so happens to be at Auburn.

#3 - Ohio State - @ Illinois, vs. 13 Michigan State, @ 14 Michigan

Ohio State struggled against Northern Illinois (20-13), Indiana (34-27), Minnesota (28-14). They cannot beat the Spartans and the Wolverines Defense's in consecutive weeks, it will not happen. They might lose both but we will settle for one.

#4 - Notre Dame - vs. Wake Forest, vs. Boston College, @ 7 Stanford

They lost to Clemson by 2 after failing to score on a game tying 2pt conversion and the committee just loves to hear about them playing without all these injured starters including their QB, RB, and TE. Notre Dame might lose to Stanford but it will only help LSU if Alabama loses another game.

#5 - Iowa - vs. Minnesota, vs. Purdue, @ Nebraska

Assuming they win out, Iowa could make things very interesting as they just do not seem to be that great to be that high. Regardless, they will have to play OSU, MSU, or Mich and they will not win that game so forget about them.

#6 - Baylor - vs. 12 Oklahoma, @ 8 Oklahoma St., @ 15 TCU, vs. Texas

If they win all those games, then they will have knocked out the 8th spot and LSU will move up once again. But they will more than likely lose two of the next three. They lose to OU, upset State, and lose to TCU. (2 birds, one stone)

#7 - Stanford - vs. Oregon, vs. Cal, vs. 4 Notre Dame

Oregon beats them this weekend without a doubt and Cal upsets them the following week forcing them out of the top ten before they get Notre Dame to end the year. The likelihood of Stanford over Notre Dame is really high.

#8 - Oklahoma State - @ Iowa St, vs. 6 Baylor, vs. 12 Oklahoma

See Baylor above. They will play each other and start knocking themselves out of contention anyways.

#9 - LSU - They have to win out.

All of the above scenarios are not far fetched are even unreal, they are legit scenarios.

Ohio State, Iowa, Baylor, Stanford, and Oklahoma State can all lose 1-2 games before it is said and done. Notre Dame might drop one too. That leaves LSU has the highest ranking 1 loss team thanks to good timing.

CFB Playoff Final Four

1. Clemson
2. Notre Dame
3. LSU
4. TBD
This post was edited on 11/11/15 at 2:43 pm
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59505 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:42 pm to
I think Powerman's thread was better.
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:47 pm to
Here's the flaw in your logic. If Michigan State, Oklahoma, or TCU pulls off one of these upsets and emerges as a 1-loss conference champion, I can almost guarantee they will jump LSU in the standings.
Posted by Geaux8686
Location Location
Member since Oct 2014
2617 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:49 pm to
No SEC championship, no playoffs.
Posted by Shadowlink
The Shadows
Member since Apr 2014
1434 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

1. Clemson
If they lose to UNC in the championship game they won't make the CFP top 4.
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3263 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 2:55 pm to
don't see Oregon beating Stanford
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18194 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

No SEC championship, no playoffs.


This is absolutely true. Without a doubt.
Posted by ps101
Shreveport
Member since Aug 2005
2194 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:03 pm to
The only team in the recent past and forever future that has/will get a Mulligan is Alabama.
Posted by JScoop8
Member since Oct 2014
1035 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

#7 - Stanford - vs. Oregon, vs. Cal, vs. 4 Notre Dame

Oregon beats them this weekend without a doubt


There is plenty to doubt here. Stanford is favored by 10.
Posted by TigerCliff777
Member since Feb 2013
4664 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:06 pm to
core to this topic

someone else has to beat Bama - total BS

Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23168 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

#3 - Ohio State - @ Illinois, vs. 13 Michigan State, @ 14 Michigan Ohio State struggled against Northern Illinois (20-13), Indiana (34-27), Minnesota (28-14). They cannot beat the Spartans and the Wolverines Defense's in consecutive weeks, it will not happen. They might lose both but we will settle for one.


All 3 of those games were with jones at QB. Barrett has played 3 complete halves, and OSU has been a totally different team in those halves. Can they do it against good teams, we will see, but there is just a different feel with Barrett

Sparty's defense isn't as good as years past, but Michigan is for real
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83694 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

No SEC championship, no playoffs.


not necessarily

if FSU beat UF and then UF beats Bama and a bunch of other teams lose LSU could get into the playoffs as a 1 loss non SEC champion

its not likely, but it could happen
This post was edited on 11/11/15 at 3:10 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

f FSU beat UF and then UF beats Bama and a bunch of other teams lose LSU could get into the playoffs as a 1 loss non SEC champion


The SEC would have a better shot at being shut out of the playoffs than LSU making it in that scenario.

Ohio St.
Clemson
Big 12
Stanford/ND
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83694 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

The SEC would have a better shot at being shut out of the playoffs than LSU making it in that scenario.

Ohio St.
Clemson
Big 12
Stanford/ND


I said a bunch of the other teams had to lose...like all the Big 12, tOSU, etc

Posted by Saintsntigers04
Member since Jun 2015
497 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:21 pm to
If this happens with Bama losing one more game and lsu wins out that means they will play in the sec championship game
Posted by rmcc316
Here
Member since Feb 2004
44424 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:46 pm to
maybe cal then?
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
69375 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 3:54 pm to
Don't have to win conference to get in.

Just need two of the power 5 conferences to have 2 loss champion.
Posted by TigerHemi
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Nov 2006
605 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 4:13 pm to
We won't pass the eye test in any senario because we were dominated. We dropped to 9 which shows what the committee thought. Squeaking by Arky and ole miss will not be enough. Hope I am wrong.
Posted by JScoop8
Member since Oct 2014
1035 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

Squeaking by Arky and ole miss will not be enough.


I agree, we need some convincing wins going forward.
Posted by jeff70121
Metairie
Member since Dec 2011
4313 posts
Posted on 11/11/15 at 4:34 pm to
And I was just about to post this same exact thread!

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