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Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:27 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
Oh, shite. Here we go.
Chad got you with an Isaac map
but this is no Isaac
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:28 pm to TDsngumbo
What kind of bullshite is this? Posting a pic of TS Isaac from 2012?
You guys really really want a hurricane.
You guys really really want a hurricane.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:30 pm to CajunAlum Tiger Fan
quote:
What kind of bullshite is this? Posting a pic of TS Isaac from 2012?
I jumped the gun when Chad posted it. He got me and I didn't realize it was from Isaac.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:31 pm to TDsngumbo
Model ensembles this morning:
Model ensembles now:
It's not that we WANT a storm. It's that one is more and more possible next week.
Model ensembles now:
It's not that we WANT a storm. It's that one is more and more possible next week.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:31 pm to baytiger
The surprising thing is that Erika is actually pretty close to where it currently is. Thurs 8am is within a few miles it looks like, but the path is different obviously
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:31 pm to TDsngumbo
FRick this storm. Looks like I've got to go replace my old chain saw before the rush. 
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:31 pm to TDsngumbo
I have a meeting scheduled in Miami on Tuesday morning, so checked the thread and was thinking "Damn, that track sure has shifted West", better cancel my flight.
Nice move 504boy.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:33 pm to CajunAlum Tiger Fan
We'll have the latest track forecast around 3:45. Don't be surprised if it does move westward like that, though.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:39 pm to baytiger
quote:
but this is no Isaac
pffft
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:43 pm to TDsngumbo
That second one sure does put a bunch of pink lines towards La/Ms/Ala coast
It also has nothing directly over Fla
It also has nothing directly over Fla
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:48 pm to TDsngumbo
I like that line that brings it (well, it's remnants , by that time) right through Memphis. I want the rain.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:52 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
It also has nothing directly over Fla
Just goes to show the models are having a very tough time pinning this thing down.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:53 pm to TDsngumbo
Those second set of models. frick this gay earth
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:55 pm to Fun Bunch
From what I can gather reading baytiger's posts it doesn't sound like it'll strengthen much if it does get over this way
Posted on 8/27/15 at 2:58 pm to tracytiger
quote:you're from br?you don't leave for a hurricane
I was the smart and headed to Florida before it hit BR. After Gustav, I was not staying home.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:00 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
It's that one is more and more possible next week.
a relevant storm is no more likely now than it was 24 hours ago. we're just a day closer and no more certain
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:04 pm to baytiger
quote:
a relevant storm is no more likely now than it was 24 hours ago. we're just a day closer and no more certain
I know, I was speaking from the perspective that the models are shifting back to the west today. Also, her southern position compared to where the forecast had her right now will only serve to help push her into the Gulf. I know none of this is certain. Just speaking from observations and taking them for face value.
This post was edited on 8/27/15 at 3:05 pm
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:06 pm to TDsngumbo
So the latest models have Erika's chances of getting into the GoM even greater now?
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:08 pm to LSUvegasbombed
quote:
So the latest models have Erika's chances of getting into the GoM even greater now?
They're trending westward again today. I'd be shocked if the official forecast in 40 minutes still has the center going east of Florida.
Here are the ensembles from another model:
This post was edited on 8/27/15 at 3:11 pm
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