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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 8/22/15 at 10:45 am to Kickadawgitfeelsgood
quote:
Jindal issued a State of Emergency yet?
For Iowa?
Posted on 8/22/15 at 11:21 am to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:I doubt it lasts long enough to hit hispaniola much less curve anywhere
Then curves and goes out to the Atlantic
Posted on 8/22/15 at 11:53 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
For Iowa?
Posted on 8/22/15 at 11:57 am to Kickadawgitfeelsgood
quote:
Waves up 2 ft..... Jindal issued a State of Emergency yet?
Ooooo, sick burn, bro. Sick.
This post was edited on 8/22/15 at 11:59 am
Posted on 8/22/15 at 12:12 pm to baytiger
quote:
baytiger
Is there anything to that system coming off Africa right now?
Posted on 8/22/15 at 1:08 pm to rbWarEagle
it'll probably develop and then get destroyed much like Danny. It's way too early to tell though.
as for Danny, I have my doubts he's even a hurricane anymore.
as for Danny, I have my doubts he's even a hurricane anymore.
This post was edited on 8/22/15 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 8/22/15 at 1:14 pm to baytiger
Good to hear. 
I love watching these storms develop, it's fascinating. As long as they develop into monsters out in open water and get sheered to death before they hit land... win-win.
I love watching these storms develop, it's fascinating. As long as they develop into monsters out in open water and get sheered to death before they hit land... win-win.
Posted on 8/22/15 at 1:44 pm to baytiger
I'm glad Danny is getting blasted. I fly into Orlando Friday afternoon. We'd get there around the same time.
Posted on 8/22/15 at 1:45 pm to The Boat
You going to Disney world?
Posted on 8/22/15 at 2:43 pm to baytiger
quote:
as for Danny, I have my doubts he's even a hurricane anymore.
Recon is pretty much confirming what was indicated by satellite this morning. Danny made the most of his time but it has been all downhill since about 50W. Danny has maintained some robust downshear conviction. Luckily for Danny, the downshear right inflow (typically this is some of the deepest inflow in sheared systems) is feeding from some of the only moist air in the area.
It will be interesting to see if it can fight back or will recon document the demise of Danny this afternoon.
quote:
it'll probably develop and then get destroyed much like Danny. It's way too early to tell though.
98L could be more interesting but who knows at this point
Posted on 8/22/15 at 2:46 pm to Walt OReilly
Nah
Posted on 8/22/15 at 2:50 pm to rds dc
Radar looks nothing like yesterday 
Posted on 8/22/15 at 3:15 pm to rds dc
quote:I talked to one of our tropical guys about it this afternoon and he's pretty bearish on it. He has serious doubts on the shear dying down anytime soon.
98L could be more interesting but who knows at this point
Posted on 8/22/15 at 7:16 pm to rds dc
quote:
robust downshear conviction
I hope to use this in casual conversation someday.
Posted on 8/22/15 at 8:38 pm to baytiger
quote:
I talked to one of our tropical guys about it this afternoon and he's pretty bearish on it. He has serious doubts on the shear dying down anytime soon.
Pattern persistence is usually a good early bet:
* ATLANTIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA PROXY USED, OHC AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL982015 08/23/15 00 UTC *
TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 25 29 33 37 42 50 57 61 63 63 64 66 68
V (KT) LAND 25 29 33 37 42 50 57 61 63 63 64 66 68
V (KT) LGE mod 25 28 31 34 38 46 54 61 65 65 65 66 69
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP
SHEAR (KT) 13 12 11 11 9 13 9 19 23 29 22 25 17
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -4 -2 -1 -1 0 3 1 1 3 0 0 -4 -2
SHEAR DIR 82 66 62 34 358 348 314 289 275 297 303 314 311
SST (C) 28.4 27.7 27.2 26.9 26.8 26.8 26.7 26.9 27.2 27.7 28.1 28.4 28.6
POT. INT. (KT) 146 135 129 126 125 125 124 125 128 134 139 143 146
ADJ. POT. INT. 153 139 131 128 127 126 123 122 124 129 134 137 139
200 MB T (C) -52.4 -52.7 -52.9 -52.7 -52.9 -53.3 -53.1 -53.5 -53.5 -53.8 -53.7 -53.7 -53.5
TH_E DEV (C) 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 10 11 11 12 12 13
700-500 MB RH 61 61 62 64 65 60 60 58 56 56 53 54 50
Posted on 8/22/15 at 8:40 pm to rds dc
Punta Cana is saved! 
Posted on 8/22/15 at 10:17 pm to Jim Rockford
Can any smart weather people describe what Danny did here? It looks like it collapsed on itself and shot out. Weather is so cool.
Posted on 8/22/15 at 11:13 pm to rmnldr
Burst of convection around his center. He is not ready to give up yet. Impressive!
Posted on 8/22/15 at 11:16 pm to Mini
Awesome. Dude is still fighting
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