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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/8/12 at 4:44 pm to Htown Tiger
Posted on 10/8/12 at 4:44 pm to Htown Tiger
quote:
OU was the first to expose it last week, and WV will do the same this week.
Not gonna argue with you there. I didn't bet Tech against Iowa St for that reason and they came out an played a decent game on the road, for that reason I bet them against OU and got burnt.
I think the only thing they can hang their hat on for Tech is looking at the model Maryland provided, Tech seems to have a similar style defense, and a much better offense.
Like I said I doubt I play either side, I just wanted to give reasons why the so called "sharps" may like Tech. Because to the average bettor, this game is an absolute no brainer.
Just shocks me that Vegas gets so cocky in these spots, I guess they really fear they would get pounded by the wise guys, but still 85% of the money is going to come in on WVU.
This post was edited on 10/8/12 at 4:47 pm
0
Posted on 10/8/12 at 4:59 pm to dgtiger3
You're obviously more experienced at this than I am (so I say this reluctantly), but considering Oklahoma is the first legitimate non middle school team Texas Tech has played, their stats almost mean zero to me.
Opponents
NW State
Texas State
New Mexico
Iowa State
Oklahoma (Lost by 3 TD's)
Again, I am a novice at this sports betting thing, but I can't take any defensive stat from Texas Tech seriously with those opponents.
Not to mention their only legit competition, OU, smashed them on their own field. As square as it sounds, I can't in good conscience take Tech to stop an offense like WVU's. I just can't.
ETA: Posted this before I saw your response above.
Opponents
NW State
Texas State
New Mexico
Iowa State
Oklahoma (Lost by 3 TD's)
Again, I am a novice at this sports betting thing, but I can't take any defensive stat from Texas Tech seriously with those opponents.
Not to mention their only legit competition, OU, smashed them on their own field. As square as it sounds, I can't in good conscience take Tech to stop an offense like WVU's. I just can't.
ETA: Posted this before I saw your response above.
This post was edited on 10/8/12 at 5:00 pm
Posted on 10/8/12 at 5:31 pm to dcrews
quote:
You're obviously more experienced at this than I am (so I say this reluctantly)
Your good people dcrews,
and everyone is only as good as their next bet.
But in all honesty I just like to throw my two cents in the forum. The bet thread has been real strong the last few weeks and we have a ton of posters in here with some real knowledge.
Tots, Tebow, rocket, Hole, avatiger, bamafan, ChemE, all come to mind (I know I am leaving people out so spare me).
The people who just pop in this thread have a few winning weeks in a row now which is great.
This post was edited on 10/8/12 at 6:19 pm
Posted on 10/8/12 at 6:26 pm to dgtiger3
At first glance here are some plays that I really like this week...
In order of how strongly my early numbers feel about them.
North Carolina -6.5
Navy +2.5
Maryland +2.5
Kansas State -6.5
Indiana +17
Duke +9.5
Texas +3
In order of how strongly my early numbers feel about them.
North Carolina -6.5
Navy +2.5
Maryland +2.5
Kansas State -6.5
Indiana +17
Duke +9.5
Texas +3
Posted on 10/8/12 at 6:31 pm to dgtiger3
quote:Like that play
Maryland +2.5
Posted on 10/8/12 at 7:38 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Yeah, RAS has had some bad weeks this year. Still tailing but my confidence is gone in him. Hoping this week turns it around. Luckily, my own picks have keep me afloat.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 8:48 pm to carmenjello
Totals are released.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 8:50 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
North Carolina -6.5
Good luck buddy! They are 0-2 on the road this year.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 9:06 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Good luck buddy! They are 0-2 on the road this year.
Lol maybe I'll tune it back a bit on the Heels, but they pulled through for me last week, in a big way.
Then again I have bet against Va Tech every week, and only Bowling Green has failed me so far.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 9:12 pm to carmenjello
I will never understand just blindly following people
La tech A&M OVER 80
WV over 73
WV -4.5
Leaning towards Baylor and over in OU tex game also
La tech A&M OVER 80
WV over 73
WV -4.5
Leaning towards Baylor and over in OU tex game also
Posted on 10/8/12 at 9:19 pm to TigerTatorTots
USC @ LSU O/U 40.5
Surprised it's that high
Surprised it's that high
Posted on 10/8/12 at 9:19 pm to Louie T
I thought it would be 38. I lean under probably probably won't bet it.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 11:07 pm to Broseph Barksdale
No need for the points in this one. I'm taking the the Texas Tech ML. I've been waiting for the perfect time to fade WVU all year and this is it. Should be easy $.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 11:11 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
No need for the points in this one. I'm taking the the Texas Tech ML. I've been waiting for the perfect time to fade WVU all year and this is it. Should be easy $.
Lol. This board is gonna be split this week it seems. If we have learned anything about this season, it's that no team is really good, except maybe Alabama.
Posted on 10/8/12 at 11:12 pm to Louie T
under on that for sure if anything
These are two very strong defenses
These are two very strong defenses
Posted on 10/8/12 at 11:43 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
No need for the points in this one. I'm taking the the Texas Tech ML. I've been waiting for the perfect time to fade WVU all year and this is it. Should be easy $.
even if that does hit, it wont be easy i promise you that
Posted on 10/9/12 at 7:53 am to wish i was tebow
Mizzous starting QB is out.... thoughts on Bama-21
Posted on 10/9/12 at 8:19 am to dgtiger3
quote:
Kansas State -6.5
Really like this play. Vegas must be expecting a look ahead to WV. But I'll bite- Kansas St still seems quite underrated to me right now.
Posted on 10/9/12 at 8:20 am to HoLeInOnEr05
Some plays I'm looking at
Stanford +9
This on seems like a no brainer.. Stanford plays good D and will slow down ND.. Expect a low scoring game where a FG may be the difference
Duke +10.5
VT is bad... Duke is playing well this year and will become bowl eligible with a win
Ole Miss -4.5
Seems too low.. Playing at home with a decent offense against an Auburn offense that cannot score
La Tech +8
Home crowd will be rocking! Texas A&M is solid, I'm just not sold that they can stop anyone. Expect a shoot out with the winner being the last team with the ball
Kentucky +17
I know Kentucky is bad and Arkansas won last week but this seems like way too many points to me. Kentucky will be able to score some and let's face it, it's still Arkansas
Stanford +9
This on seems like a no brainer.. Stanford plays good D and will slow down ND.. Expect a low scoring game where a FG may be the difference
Duke +10.5
VT is bad... Duke is playing well this year and will become bowl eligible with a win
Ole Miss -4.5
Seems too low.. Playing at home with a decent offense against an Auburn offense that cannot score
La Tech +8
Home crowd will be rocking! Texas A&M is solid, I'm just not sold that they can stop anyone. Expect a shoot out with the winner being the last team with the ball
Kentucky +17
I know Kentucky is bad and Arkansas won last week but this seems like way too many points to me. Kentucky will be able to score some and let's face it, it's still Arkansas
Posted on 10/9/12 at 8:27 am to AZTiger7072
I like the Kentucky play. I've actually been fading them most of the year, but 17 is too many points, even on the road.
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