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Buying up Take-Two stock before GTA 6 releases in November?
Posted on 4/12/26 at 11:17 pm
Posted on 4/12/26 at 11:17 pm
Market analysts predict Take Two’s stock to soar after GTA 6’s release. It’s estimated that GTA 6 could make close to $2 billion within the first week of launch
Anyone thought about buying up some Take Two shares possibly before the release (it actually releases this time)?
Anyone thought about buying up some Take Two shares possibly before the release (it actually releases this time)?
8
Posted on 4/12/26 at 11:46 pm to JasonDBlaha
Why would it not already be priced into the stock? It's not like the release of GTA6 is clandestine.
Posted on 4/12/26 at 11:56 pm to LemmyLives
Oftentimes stocks pump on hype. Probably a worthy buy.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:18 am to LemmyLives
quote:
Why would it not already be priced into the stock? It's not like the release of GTA6 is clandestine.
You don’t think the colossal amount of sales that GTA 6 will bring to Take-Two will massively pump up their stock?
I read somewhere that GTA 6 will be estimated to have $1 billion alone in pre-order sales, not even including the post-launch sales. It’s going to be historic and will make a shite ton of money for people who have bought up Take Two’s shares possibly shares. The going rate for price per share is like $190 I believe
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 12:26 am
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:18 am to FnTigers
quote:
Oftentimes stocks pump on hype. Probably a worthy buy.
Momentum investing is what it’s called
Posted on 4/13/26 at 7:07 am to JasonDBlaha
I’m in on it. Slowly amassing a large position in it. We’ve gotten a pullback because of the software sell off so it’s a good time to add IMO. The stock will pump as soon as the marketing campaign kicks off and the pre orders go live. This will shatter all entertainment industry records. Also don’t discount the fact that they are supposedly going to start making TV shows, I believe RDR is first.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 7:16 am to JasonDBlaha
they spent a quarter billion to make the water look right.
1-2 billion cost estimate.
they have to sell 2 billion on release to even TOUCH green.
That being said, id prob be net free shares by release to de risk and play a few hundred shares.
1-2 billion cost estimate.
they have to sell 2 billion on release to even TOUCH green.
That being said, id prob be net free shares by release to de risk and play a few hundred shares.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 7:18 am to LemmyLives
quote:
Why would it not already be priced into the stock? It's not like the release of GTA6 is clandestine.
Would imagine it is already priced in, however guessing most believe it will not release this year and will be delayed.
Like a pharma company if you wait until everyone knows its a blockbuster its too late to invest for the pump.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 7:49 am to JasonDBlaha
quote:
You don’t think the colossal amount of sales that GTA 6 will bring to Take-Two will massively pump up their stock?
The issue is that this isn't a novel idea. Every hedge fund manager, family fund manager, stock trading bro and Robinhood teeny bopper knows GTA 6 is coming out. As the other poster said, things like this get priced in very quickly.
That being said, you should be able to test it out pretty easily. Just plot each new release on Take-Two's chart and see what happens post release. This is prob a 2 minute exercise for something like Claude.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 8:07 am to JasonDBlaha
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:04 am to LemmyLives
quote:way to show up on a Monday morning and ruin the vibe with common sense…. Sheeesh
Why would it not already be priced into the stock? It's not like the release of GTA6 is clandestine.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:04 am to JasonDBlaha
quote:lol
GTA 6 releases in November
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:05 am to Fat Bastard
quote:solid nickname for Fareplay
double bottom
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:14 am to JasonDBlaha
GTA 5 did not have a smooth release.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:23 am to JasonDBlaha
It's gonna be woke, I would do the opposite
Posted on 4/13/26 at 9:58 am to SuperSaint
quote:
quote:
double bottom
solid nickname for Fareplay
that poor guy. ole foreplay. has he gotten anything right?
Posted on 4/13/26 at 10:26 am to JasonDBlaha
TTWO
Historically, the correlation between Take-Two Interactive’s stock price (TTWO) and major Grand Theft Auto releases has followed a highly recognizable, three-phase cycle. Rather than skyrocketing exactly on release day, the stock's movements are typically defined by anticipation, a brief reality check, and long-term monetization.
Here is the general pattern TTWO has followed during the launches of its biggest franchise:
Phase 1: The Pre-Release Run-Up
In the months and years leading up to a new mainline GTA game, TTWO stock generally experiences a steady climb. This is driven by marketing cycles, investor hype, and analysts upgrading their earnings forecasts in anticipation of a massive influx of cash. The market is essentially "pricing in" the game's success long before it hits the shelves.
Phase 2: The "Sell the News" Launch Window
Despite Grand Theft Auto games consistently breaking global entertainment sales records in their first week, the actual release date rarely triggers a massive spike in the stock price. In fact, TTWO stock often plateaus or even dips slightly right around the launch. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" phenomenon in the stock market—once the game is out, the speculative hype is over, and investors look to lock in their profits.
Phase 3: The Post-Release Long Tail (The Real Value)
Historically, the massive, astronomical gains for TTWO haven't come from the initial game sales alone, but from the recurrent consumer spending in the months and years that follow. The sustained monetization of the player base is what ultimately drives the stock to new all-time highs.
Historically, the correlation between Take-Two Interactive’s stock price (TTWO) and major Grand Theft Auto releases has followed a highly recognizable, three-phase cycle. Rather than skyrocketing exactly on release day, the stock's movements are typically defined by anticipation, a brief reality check, and long-term monetization.
Here is the general pattern TTWO has followed during the launches of its biggest franchise:
Phase 1: The Pre-Release Run-Up
In the months and years leading up to a new mainline GTA game, TTWO stock generally experiences a steady climb. This is driven by marketing cycles, investor hype, and analysts upgrading their earnings forecasts in anticipation of a massive influx of cash. The market is essentially "pricing in" the game's success long before it hits the shelves.
Phase 2: The "Sell the News" Launch Window
Despite Grand Theft Auto games consistently breaking global entertainment sales records in their first week, the actual release date rarely triggers a massive spike in the stock price. In fact, TTWO stock often plateaus or even dips slightly right around the launch. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" phenomenon in the stock market—once the game is out, the speculative hype is over, and investors look to lock in their profits.
Phase 3: The Post-Release Long Tail (The Real Value)
Historically, the massive, astronomical gains for TTWO haven't come from the initial game sales alone, but from the recurrent consumer spending in the months and years that follow. The sustained monetization of the player base is what ultimately drives the stock to new all-time highs.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 10:27 am to bayoubengals88
What This Means for GTA VI
With GTA VI slated for November 2026, the market is currently in Phase 1. The stock has already seen a significant run-up since the game's initial announcement in late 2023. While the launch window will likely see immense sales figures, history suggests that the ultimate trajectory of TTWO stock will depend entirely on how effectively Rockstar transitions the massive GTA VI player base into a new era of recurring GTA Online revenue.
With GTA VI slated for November 2026, the market is currently in Phase 1. The stock has already seen a significant run-up since the game's initial announcement in late 2023. While the launch window will likely see immense sales figures, history suggests that the ultimate trajectory of TTWO stock will depend entirely on how effectively Rockstar transitions the massive GTA VI player base into a new era of recurring GTA Online revenue.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:20 pm to j1897
quote:
It's gonna be woke
Doesn’t matter if it’s woke or not. It will be the best selling entertainment product in modern history. And it will make a shite ton of money for a lot of people who are smart enough to buy Take-Two shares right now.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:22 pm to FredsGotSlacks
quote:
The stock will pump as soon as the marketing campaign kicks off and the pre orders go live. This will shatter all entertainment industry records
It will revolutionize the video game industry in a way that no one has ever seen. You can take that to the bank.
Rockstar doesn’t follow trends, they create trends. That’s been their business model since day one.
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 2:29 pm
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