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Would it be possible for the USA to trade oil & gas futures on what is found here only?

Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:32 pm
Posted by PaulDrake
L.A. & Bayou Pa Pon
Member since Feb 2023
750 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:32 pm
If we disconnected from the international markets on oil we would not be vulnerable to what we see now.

We have all we need here so what`s the point of being in the international market.

Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
172381 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:33 pm to
If that's how any of this works we would have already done this years ago
Posted by PaulDrake
L.A. & Bayou Pa Pon
Member since Feb 2023
750 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

If that's how any of this works we would have already done this years ago


We were not in position to do that years ago.

We seem to be now though.

Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46810 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

If we disconnected from the international markets on oil we would not be vulnerable to what we see now.

We have all we need here so what`s the point of being in the international market.



If you are ok with significant inflation, this is an acceptable idea
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
172381 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:48 pm to
quote:



We were not in position to do that years ago.

We seem to be now though.

Sure. If you don't know how anything works.

Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181315 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 12:54 pm to
We have a daily shortfall of around 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) between oil production vs what we consume.

We make up that shortfall mostly with oil from Canada and hopefully more from Venezuela as time goes on

We could survive but would give Canada some real power over us until Venezuela is better suited to meet that need
Posted by CharlesUFarley
Daphne, AL
Member since Jan 2022
1007 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 1:17 pm to
I think our refining capacity is not aligned with our oil resources. We need to import some heavy, sour crude to match our refinery capacity. The lighter crude that results from fracking is not ideal for some significant portion of our refineries.

Seems like a fixable situation, but I don't work in the oil industry, so...
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

If that's how any of this works we would have already done this years ago




It was not done years ago due to our domestic production. WE WERE HOSTAGE TO OPEC!! I guess no one told you about the growth of domestic production during these POTUS Trump years. Oh, did you hear Venezuela has a new sheriff and a pipeline called Keystone is getting in on the delivery action as well.

Have you seen pics of that new sheriff?

Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
36934 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 1:51 pm to
You have NO idea of how the oil markets work. If you decided to decouple from world markets you would have incredibly unstable and unreliable pricing not to mention periodic supply shocks. The futures market operates as a governor on the whole system. You'd have farmers ( and not just them) for example artificially pricing their product higher because of the uncertainty.

You really should rethink your proposal.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

You really should rethink your proposal.


I say, "Let's Get it On"!!
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54494 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

We have a daily shortfall of around 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) between oil production vs what we consume.

We make up that shortfall mostly with oil from Canada and hopefully more from Venezuela as time goes on

This is not true. We make more oil than we use, however our refineries are not geared to refine that oil, so we import suitable oil and export even more West Texas oil.

Idiotically, we maintain, at great expense, a Strategic Petroleum Reserve. My guess is that we do that because politicians have mastered stealing from the fill and sell contracts. If we really wanted to insure ourselves from worldwide energy shocks - the supposed purpose of the SPR - we would sell all the SPR oil, shut down the SPR, and subsidize the retooling of American refineries to handle WTI (or build new ones). This would be far cheaper than having an SPR, which is for nations that are net importers.
Posted by PaulDrake
L.A. & Bayou Pa Pon
Member since Feb 2023
750 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

We have a daily shortfall of around 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) between oil production vs what we consume.

We make up that shortfall mostly with oil from Canada and hopefully more from Venezuela as time goes on


This is not true. We make more oil than we use, however our refineries are not geared to refine that oil, so we import suitable oil and export even more West Texas oil.

Idiotically, we maintain, at great expense, a Strategic Petroleum Reserve. My guess is that we do that because politicians have mastered stealing from the fill and sell contracts. If we really wanted to insure ourselves from worldwide energy shocks - the supposed purpose of the SPR - we would sell all the SPR oil, shut down the SPR, and
quote:

subsidize the retooling of American refineries to handle WTI (or build new




Refineries that are "alloyed up" (with stainless steel) on the internals of critical equipment can handle sweet crude or heavy sour.

This post was edited on 3/22/26 at 2:22 pm
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
36934 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 2:21 pm to
Stupid is a choice.....and this would be a stupid choice.
Posted by dickkellog
little rock
Member since Dec 2024
2613 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 4:27 pm to
what do you think WTI and the BRENT and WCS are?

west texas intermediate is american , BRENT that's the sissified oil the european's and western canadian select is canadaian and they're many other bench mark crude's as well. all three trade a various premiums and discounts. brent trades at an 8% premium to the WTI which trades at a 23% premium to WCS. here's the thing, they're two markets for oil the physical market for oil (that's real oil, in the pipe line, in reserves, in tankers at sea) that's the oil that's to be delivered and refined. then there's the futures market for oil these are securities tied to the price of multiple bench marks.

typically the futures market is a reflection of the physical market but when the futures market reacts to speculation of oil shortages in the physical market then the physical market reacts.futures drive the physical market rather than reflect it.

that's what happened in 2008 when the futures contract in one bench mark (the WTI) got pushed to $147 a barrel by lehman brothers it crashed and bankrupted lehman. crashing the stock market.

the reason gasoline goes up is because it's priced in it's replacement cost in crude. the gallon of gasoline you buy today will be replace by crude bought in the future.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
28879 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

WE WERE HOSTAGE TO OPEC!! I guess no one told you about the growth of domestic production during these POTUS Trump years.


Interestingly enough, since about the 40s, the greatest percent increase in U.S. oil production happened under Barack Hussein Obama. When he took office, the we were producing 5.5 million barrels a day. The highest producing month of his Presidency, April 2015, we were producing 9.6 million barrels a day.

Thats a 74.5% increase in domestic oil production during his tenure. Granted, he was in office for 8 years, but even when his 2nd term began, we were still averaging only 6.1 million barrels a day. The oil shale revolution in the Permian coupled with eventually allowed unrefined crude oil to be sold on the global market allowed for that huge acceleration.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Stupid is a choice.....and this would be a stupid choice.


I guess I am stupid.

Posted by back9Tiger
Island Coconut Salesman
Member since Nov 2005
17871 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 4:52 pm to
Build refineries that can handle our sweeter crude and this is all a non issue.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
28879 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

We make more oil than we use, however our refineries are not geared to refine that oil, so we import suitable oil and export even more West Texas oil.


I thought we were still a net importer of crude oil, while being a net exporter of total petroleum production?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
181315 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

I thought we were still a net importer of crude oil, while being a net exporter of total petroleum production?


We are. Penn is wrong and is adding in NG with crude. In crude only we still use more per day than we produce.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54494 posts
Posted on 3/22/26 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

I thought we were still a net importer of crude oil, while being a net exporter of total petroleum production?

You are correct. But if you count the crude oil that goes into the refined products we export, then we are a net exporter. The point is that if we could not import a barrel we’d have plenty enough oil if we purposed our refining capacity to US needs.

Our position is even stronger than that, though, because most of the oil we import comes from Mexico and Canada, so strategically speaking (not economically) it might as well be US production because it can’t be choked off by an enemy.
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