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What’s the off-ramp in Iran?
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:40 am
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:40 am
Revolution is not happening. The Islamic regime doesn’t look to be going anywhere, whether it’s Mojtaba or his eventual successor(s).
Sure, their military has/will be completely decimated. Is that enough for Trump to claim victory and pack it up? I hope so, but his comments about wanting to pick the successor worries me.
Without a full-on revolution, you’re left with a beaten down Iran still led by radical muslims. 10 years from now, when they have rebuilt some of their military capabilities, we’ll be back to square one. I’m not sure this will go down as the success Trump was looking for, but I hope I’m wrong.
side note - what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not? if they miss this opportunity, then I never want to hear about liberating them ever again.
Sure, their military has/will be completely decimated. Is that enough for Trump to claim victory and pack it up? I hope so, but his comments about wanting to pick the successor worries me.
Without a full-on revolution, you’re left with a beaten down Iran still led by radical muslims. 10 years from now, when they have rebuilt some of their military capabilities, we’ll be back to square one. I’m not sure this will go down as the success Trump was looking for, but I hope I’m wrong.
side note - what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not? if they miss this opportunity, then I never want to hear about liberating them ever again.
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Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:40 am to geauxEdO
quote:
Revolution is not happening. The Islamic regime doesn’t look to be going anywhere, whether it’s Mojtaba or his eventual successor(s).
It's been a little over a week...
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:41 am to geauxEdO
quote:
side note - what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not? if they miss this opportunity, then I never want to hear about liberating them ever again.
I mean, we aren't done bombing yet. I wouldn't go outside if I were them either.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:43 am to geauxEdO
quote:
side note - what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not? if they miss this opportunity, then I never want to hear about liberating them ever again.
Some do and some don’t. Even if about 40% support it, I’m not sure that’s sufficient when roughly 30% of the country are very devout Muslims who support Sharia law.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:44 am to geauxEdO
quote:
what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not?
Why do people keep asking this same ridiculous question. Bombs are still falling and they have been advised to stay out of the streets until it is safe to do so.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:45 am to geauxEdO
I bet you are fun to watch football games with
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:45 am to cssamerican
quote:
Some do and some don’t. Even if about 40% support it, I’m not sure that’s sufficient when roughly 30% of the country are very devout Muslims who support Sharia law.
Let’s be honest, until the bombing is complete, the best we can do is speculate. We’ll see how things shake out once people start coming back out of their homes.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:46 am to cssamerican
quote:
Even if about 40% support it, I’m not sure that’s sufficient when roughly 30% of the country are very devout Muslims who support Sharia law.
Even if you had 80% support a new/secular regime, 20% of a population being hardcore, extremist Muslims is going to derail that plan, and that's ignoring how the struggle will become the beacon for all Shia jihadists globally to come in and cause chaos
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:46 am to geauxEdO
quote:
Sure, their military has/will be completely decimated.
Based on how things are going this doesn't seem to be happening soon either.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:47 am to LARancher1991
quote:
Based on how things are going this doesn't seem to be happening soon either.
What do you mean?
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:48 am to geauxEdO
Kegsbreath has promised 3-4 more weeks of bombing, so in about another month we'll see who's left to fight over the rubble in Tehran.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:50 am to geauxEdO
The best possible outcome is that Trump gets tired of it and stops it and claims victory no matter what the conditions on the ground are actually like. Actual regime change is a minuscule possibility. If we’re gonna do this we better seriously destroy any ability to create a nuclear weapon because clearly that’s the only way to stop this from happening.
If we send troops to Iran things are going to get filthy, for us and for them.
If we send troops to Iran things are going to get filthy, for us and for them.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:50 am to geauxEdO
quote:
What’s the off-ramp in Iran?
I don't think anyone knows.
Trump had an opportunity when he killed the Ayatollah but obviously decided to continue to bomb Iran.
The off-ramp will eventually present itself.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:51 am to SlowFlowPro
(no message)
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:53 am to geauxEdO
Let's just hope there is an off-ramp and not a cliff. The ME has a way of shitting on any plan that anybody comes up with.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:53 am to geauxEdO
quote:
Revolution is not happening. The Islamic regime doesn’t look to be going anywhere, whether it’s Mojtaba or his eventual successor(s).
It has been less than 10 days.
quote:
side note - what’s the deal with the Iranian people? do they want regime change or not? if they miss this opportunity, then I never want to hear about liberating them ever again.
Yes they want change but the USA is telling them to stay home for now.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:53 am to Hangover Haven
That isnt how revolutions happen. They dont "wait" 
its been 9 days.
Where is the civilian uprising to defeat a 40 year regime? This will require hundreds of thousands, possibly millions of people.
Where are they?
its been 9 days.
Where is the civilian uprising to defeat a 40 year regime? This will require hundreds of thousands, possibly millions of people.
Where are they?
This post was edited on 3/9/26 at 8:54 am
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:53 am to geauxEdO
Listen to what this lady is saying the Iranians are telling each other. Then ask why you don't think they're in the streets yet.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:54 am to JiminyCricket
Well with the amount of missiles and drones Iran still has at it's disposal seems like we underestimated their stockpile and ability to use them. Combine that with the trouble we are having intercepting drones I don't see them running out soon. Especially when this 1 Million plus to produce an interceptor and 100k to produce the drone. Will it eventually happen? Yes, just might take longer than people thought.
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:54 am to geauxEdO
quote:
10 years from now, when they have rebuilt some of their military capabilities, we’ll be back to square one.
This is always going to be the case…. In perpetuity.
Just pray that in 10 years you have a President willing to knock them back to no-nukes square one.
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