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The people that come out the woodwork on the downside of the crypto cycle...

Posted on 2/9/26 at 12:33 pm
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
19339 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 12:33 pm


Everyone knows crypto has a 4 year cycle at this point... yet here you are with your arguments from 2016.

"magic internet money"

While BTC crashes to *checks notes*... $70,000 per coin.

Seriously though, I'm honestly impressed at how long yall can hold a grudge.
Posted by FnTigers
Member since Sep 2021
2744 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 1:04 pm to
It'll continue on. They beg for dips so they can talk trash.
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
3060 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 1:07 pm to
Hopefully it goes down further so I can accumulate more
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25309 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

The people that come out the woodwork on the downside of the ANY cycle


Update that just a bit.

There are several here that get the jollies off negative news, especially if the person they did not vote for is in the Oval Office. That goes both ways as well.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82139 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 1:54 pm to
One day bitcoin will crash from $500k down to $350k and the same people will be saying I told you so
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
32055 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

One day bitcoin will crash from $500k down to $350k and the same people will be saying I told you so

I wouldn't, but I would be sitting there in utter disbelief that so many people apparently think a single BTC truly has a value of $350k. Then again, I feel the same way about it at $70k
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25309 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 2:53 pm to
One man knew



Comments from thread

quote:

you just drop that question here as if it were gold or some commodity...


quote:

I see it going to zero. What's the best way to short Bitcoins?


quote:

I tried to figure it out but it's beyond me. It defies logic because there's nothing insuring it and mining it kind of blows my mind. I can't even understand how to so it or what exactly it is.


quote:

After reading all of your links on bitcoin, my brain still doesn't understand any of it. So, yes, the feeling is mutual!


quote:

Just FYI though, Bitcoin is at $13.71 right now.


Just think, if you were brave to get 1000 BTC when it was $13.71, that $13,710 would be worth $70,800,000. It is nuts to think of the wealth BTC has probably created.
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
7045 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:05 pm to
Bitcoin fans are entertaining. The goal is to convince you that the coin is valuable and will be long term but there isn't really any tangible value behind it. It's purely speculation. They spend a lot of time trying to convince the masses it's going to be worth something. Almost as if they're sales reps for Bitcoin and that the more speculation they get involved the more valuable it will be.

It's still a relatively recent asset class. There's no way to determine if it's going to a million a coin or 0. And there are people on both sides of that equation claiming their side is right. Plenty of compelling arguments on both sides.
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
19339 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

but there isn't really any tangible value behind it.


I bet you think gold is $5000 an ounce because its used in electronics...
Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1746 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:36 pm to
Gold has a track record spanning back thousands of years. It's engrained into the human psyche and culture.

That's why it's $5k.. because it's one of the few things that the broader world actually trusts.

It's eternal.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39082 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Everyone knows crypto has a 4 year cycle at this point.


quote:

The people that come out the woodwork on the downside of the crypto cycle...
I say the same thing no matter what the price is.

And I certainly always say the same thing about how useless blockchain tech has proven to be vs all the promises made. To repeat: the 2010s vintage venture funds focused on blockchain represent possibly the single worst vintage of venture funds ever. Median fund probably going to lose 80%.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39082 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

One day bitcoin will crash from $500k down to $350k
It's interesting that - with the wind entirely at its back:

--POTUS focused on it
--massive inflation
--multiple major sovereign conflicts

...bitcoin is only at $70K. If we had given the bros these facts as a given several years ago, $500K would have been the MINIMUM price they would have predicted we'd be at.

Instead, the bros now seem to actually argue that these factors are HEADWINDS. lol
This post was edited on 2/9/26 at 4:26 pm
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
22313 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

It's interesting that - with the wind entirely at its back:

--POTUS focused on it
--massive inflation
--multiple major sovereign conflicts

...bitcoin is only at $70K. If we had given the bros these facts as a given several years ago, $500K would have been the MINIMUM price they would have predicted we'd be at.

Instead, the bros now seem to actually argue that these factors are TAILWINDS. lol

The spike in inflation started with Covid. Right before Covid hit, BTC was selling at less than $10K and gold was at about $1500.

Today BTC is at 70K, so up about 7x.

Gold is up to about $5K, so up about 3.5x.

I don't see the embarrassment for Bitcoin.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
470638 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:18 pm to
After the initial CV19 crash you could get BTC in the 5ks, as I bought some to play online poker at that time.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39082 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

The spike in inflation started with Covid. Right before Covid hit, BTC was selling at less than $10K and gold was at about $1500.

Today BTC is at 70K, so up about 7x.

Gold is up to about $5K, so up about 3.5x.
I don't see the embarrassment for Bitcoin.


Inflation started in mid-2021 when Bitcoin was already in the 50s and 60s. For a large part of the worst inflationary period, it traded lower than that - and is only modestly higher than that now.

Russia invaded Ukraine in Feb 2022 - and bitcoin proceeded to go straight down.
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
32055 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

Just think, if you were brave to get 1000 BTC when it was $13.71, that $13,710 would be worth $70,800,000. It is nuts to think of the wealth BTC has probably created.

Had I bought it at $13.71, I would have sold it for $50. Had I bought it at $25, I would have sold it at $100. I’m genuinely happy for the people who changed their lives by buying BTC. I was never, ever going to be one of them
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
22313 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Inflation started in mid-2021 when Bitcoin was already in the 50s and 60s. For a large part of the worst inflationary period, it traded lower than that - and is only modestly higher than that now

Depends on what's considered mid, and in this way this point of contention gets silly. BTC hit $60K in April but in June it was back down to $35K.

It's fair to say that BTC is volatile AF. I don't agree that a large portion of those buying/holding BTC expected it to be trading at $500K right now.
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
33684 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Gold has a track record spanning back thousands of years. It's engrained into the human psyche and culture. That's why it's $5k.. because it's one of the few things that the broader world actually trusts. It's eternal.

So you’re saying we’re still early in BTC?

I like it
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
39082 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 4:46 pm to
quote:


It's fair to say that BTC is volatile AF. I don't agree that a large portion of those buying/holding BTC expected it to be trading at $500K right now.
Certainly they didn't expect it to be DOWN roughly a year on from Trump's inauguration.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10712 posts
Posted on 2/9/26 at 5:34 pm to
You lost me at crypto…

But, Bitcoin. Sure. Accumulate away. But pretty much every other crypto has continued to trend to zero bs bitcoin.
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