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Michael Burry goes short on $PLTR and $NVDA in his latest 13F filing

Posted on 11/3/25 at 8:57 pm
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
12982 posts
Posted on 11/3/25 at 8:57 pm
Michael Burry goes short on $PLTR and $NVDA in his latest 13F filing

Scion Capital just bought put options on 1M Nvidia shares and 5M Palantir shares ??

The Big Short is feeling bearish on AI



Going hard against the big AI circle jerk.



https://x.com/MichaelJBurry__

Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
4219 posts
Posted on 11/3/25 at 9:19 pm to
He's drawing some questionable conclusions regarding CAPEX investment. There are clear differences between the dot com era and what we are seeing today. And while his mind map is not wrong, it still doesn't equal a problem. If AI increases productivity, then value is still created.
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
8817 posts
Posted on 11/3/25 at 10:13 pm to
Side question: if AI’s big benefit is productivity gains, does there come a point where all these companies engage in a price war to the bottom? Prices aren’t dropping yet. But if sales fall off, will they start giving up their obscene margins for “pretty good” margins to grow/defend market share?
Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
4219 posts
Posted on 11/3/25 at 10:30 pm to
I think that depends on what companies do with the productivity gains. Increased efficiency doesn’t automatically trigger a race to the bottom — that’s a business strategy question, not a law of economics.

Firms can take those savings and choose to maintain prices (and expand margins), reinvest in innovation, or build new revenue streams. Only in highly commoditized markets do productivity gains reliably translate into price wars.

Companies like Nvidia or Palantir aren’t selling interchangeable widgets — they have ecosystems, switching costs, and intellectual property that give them pricing power. In that context, higher productivity can actually strengthen profitability, not erode it.

So while price competition is one possible outcome, it’s hardly inevitable. It really comes down to management decisions and market structure, not productivity alone.
Posted by T-Jon
Member since Jan 2012
90 posts
Posted on 11/3/25 at 10:38 pm to
Looks like his short position on NVDA was established in Q1. So he bought puts when the price per share was between $100 and $150.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32619 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 5:18 am to
Didn’t Burry take a big L earlier this year?
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
870 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 5:26 am to
Maybe he’s right. Maybe he’s wrong.

I don’t plan to retire until about 10 years out so we can ride out the waves.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32619 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 5:47 am to
That’s cool but some people try to win in the market instead of just existing
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4871 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 6:06 am to
He’s taken quite a few big L’s lately.
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
9391 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 6:20 am to
quote:

The Big Short is feeling bearish on AI



the Big Short is feeling bearish about the global, macro economy…. and rightfully so

This post was edited on 11/4/25 at 6:34 am
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4871 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 6:28 am to
When has that guy ever been bullish though? In the past 5 years I feel like he’s constantly been trying to find the next short on AI
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32619 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 7:14 am to
“He’s predicted 10 of the last 2 recessions”

I doubt he’s putting up a ton of leverage on any of these bets. He’s already set for life
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
870 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 7:25 am to
I want people to earn as much as they can.

I don’t stress over market swings. things go on sale…..
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
50324 posts
Posted on 11/4/25 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Companies like Nvidia or Palantir aren’t selling interchangeable widgets — they have ecosystems, switching costs, and intellectual property that give them pricing power. In that context, higher productivity can actually strengthen profitability, not erode it.


CUDA is the moat of the Nvidia business, and because performance is king and advancing quickly. Writing any sort of wrapper around CUDA for broader chip support was not a worthwhile investment.

However, the chips are "fast enough" for some of the workloads we had in house and have definitely taken notice that their are are some CUDA wrappers starting to pop up allowing you to run on other hardware without much changes to the existing software.

Its only a matter of time, but CUDA will be the standard for a while.
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
12982 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 11:18 am to
Is it too early to ping this post back to the front page?
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
12982 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 7:57 pm to
Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
4219 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 8:42 pm to
The market is sometimes irrational and is impossible to predict. I still stand by my statements regarding AI and the dot com era.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35298 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 10:41 pm to
Going from short position to short position these days is insanity unless your primary thesis is macro driven.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35298 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 10:45 pm to
quote:

There are clear differences between the dot com era and what we are seeing today.
dot com stocks were essentially the first meme stocks. In most cases it was obvious there was nothing there at the time. Quantum computing is a better analog.
Posted by Dig Deep
North Shore
Member since May 2022
180 posts
Posted on 11/6/25 at 10:47 pm to
Sooo my my new shite is better than your old shite? Got it
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