My Ole Miss observations

I believe that Chambliss is going to give the Tiger D trouble but will be contained. The Tiger running game gets its act together and controls the game tempo. This one will be fairly low scoring LSU 24-17.

I think the key in this game for us is Time of Possession. The longer you give Lane the ball eventually he’s going to figure out a way to score. We need to find a run play that works for us and keep going back to it. Attack the middle of the field. We are more talented than them. Full stop. Wear them down.

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but their interior D Line gets pushed around

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hopefully LSU comes out under center a bit and tests this out. no zone blocking. just go forward. this is what that oline of LSU needs to do.

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I feel like Zavion is due to return a punt for a TD,

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agreed. he has been close multiple times.

I think it will be mostly Perkins spying. Imo Weeks brothers effectiveness is actually reduced sideline to sideline. They will be more tasked with stopping Kewan Lacy.

Couple thoughts. I've watched a lot of discussion and breakdowns on the game.

-LSU hasn't won in Oxford since Burrow was QB

-Ole Miss is dead last in rush D and we are last in rush O in the SEC

-Chambliss has done well passing, but has had minimal pressure and against poor coverage. He has a nice touch on passes, but an average at best arm

-Playing gap sound is key to negate his running. Ole Miss averages 200+ a game running. That's their strength. We are a vastly improved run defense and need to play the run and let the DB stay in man.

-Defensively Ole miss safety play is poor and we need to attack the middle of the D

-Most of the national media is breaking towards Ole Miss

-LSU media seems much less impressed with Ole Miss. Even the more negative ones. Despite our known weaknesses they sound confident LSU will do well

-I was less confident earlier in the week, but I'm much more optimistic now. I just wish Durham was 100%.

If we can play man well, their QB will be on his back most of the game.

LSU offense has to take advantage of the Ole Miss safeties.

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Imo Weeks brothers effectiveness is actually reduced sideline to sideline. They will be more tasked with stopping Kewan Lacy.

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With Whit, I'd disagree. He has good-great sideline to sideline speed for an ILB. West, though, is much better between the tackles. I'd be concerned if we were relying on his speed to stop big plays on the outside on 3rd down. This game comes down to Perk/Whit containing Chambliss.

If they're able to, I don't see him being able to carve up our DBs like he did the last 2 weeks.

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If we can play man well, their QB will be on his back most of the game.

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I agree. We have to be careful and disguise things well. I don't think their receivers are man beaters, but Lane can absolutely scheme up man beaters.

Those deep shots will not work on this secondary. They haven't worked once in 4 games. Their TE isn't mobile enough to be a true mismatch from a speed prospective, and Haulcey/Perk are plenty strong enough to guard him from a size prospective, whereas Spears won't get beat on height.

After doing a little more digging, I think it's also imperative that Cooley/Spears plays disciplined on Saturday, which they have thus far. Like I said, Lane will try and create mismatches and Chambliss will try and take shots. Wouldn't be surprised if we get 2 picks from the safety position.

They may bust a run or 2, but I don’t see them being able to run the ball on us consistently. Nobody has. That’s not just because of the DL getting penetration and the LBs cleaning up, it’s guys like Haulcy, Cooley, and Woodland coming up and making plays in the running game. And the whole defense is great at tackling, the 1st guys almost always never miss. And if they do, they at least hold them up or slow them down, allowing for other guys to come clean up/finish off. The defense is super fast, and they all fly to the ball. They are great at team tackling.

So I think Chambliss is 2nd and 3rd and longs most of the day, and Baker will have some shite for him he’s not only never seen before, but can’t even comprehend. We’re gonna bait him into throwing a couple picks and probably a sack/fumble or 2. I think we have 3-4 turnovers, and a couple will be late when Ole Miss is down and pressing. It will be something like 20-10 going into the 4th, and a couple late turnovers will turn into points and a 27-10, 30-13 type final score.

Only thing that keeps Ole Miss in it is if we don’t set the edge and allow Chambliss to make some plays with his legs outside of the pocket (but we’ve been great at being disciplined and setting the edge, sometimes with our DEs, but also with LBs and DTs). Or if for whatever reason, our DBs get beat consistently in man. Which again, they haven’t yet. No reason to believe that will magically happen starting Saturday.

On offense, we need probably won’t be able to run the ball, so I expect long drives with a lot of short passes. We somehow had a 13 play 45 yard drive Saturday. That’s insane. Nuss just needs to take what they give him and be willing to punt and not press into turning the ball over, and we’ll eventually break a few with Brown and/or Anderson.

Tl;dr—turnovers will be the key, and I trust our defense and 5th-year QB to win that battle significantly.