- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
A 2.5 point Dog to Ole Miss?
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:37 pm
Can someone explain it to me? This looks like easy money.
Chambliss has only played Arkansas and Tulane, right? Shouldn't our secondary eat his arse up?
Chambliss has only played Arkansas and Tulane, right? Shouldn't our secondary eat his arse up?
14
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:39 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
On the road
Terrible oline
Can’t run the ball
= 2.5 dog
Terrible oline
Can’t run the ball
= 2.5 dog
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:40 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
Yes. Line has moved big time towards the Rebels since Sunday morning. Also keep in mind Clemson was a 4.5 favorite.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:41 pm to ipodking
quote:
Terrible oline
Terrible Oline in run blocking.
Pretty fricking good Oline in pass pro.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:41 pm to ipodking
We have not won a game in Oxford since 2019.
We have no running game.
Our O line is average.
We have no running game.
Our O line is average.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:41 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
at Ole Miss (Sept. 27) - 26.7 percent chance to win
South Carolina (Oct. 11) - 74.4 percent chance to win
at Vanderbilt (Oct. 18) - 34.7 percent chance to win
Texas A&M (Oct. 25) - 51.9 percent chance to win
at Alabama (Nov. 8) - 23.1 percent chance to win
Arkansas (Nov. 15) - 59.5 percent chance to win
Western Kentucky (Nov. 22) - 96.2 percent chance to win
at Oklahoma (Nov. 29) - 38.6 percent chance to win
LSU loses the 3 of the 4 away games. 9-3
South Carolina (Oct. 11) - 74.4 percent chance to win
at Vanderbilt (Oct. 18) - 34.7 percent chance to win
Texas A&M (Oct. 25) - 51.9 percent chance to win
at Alabama (Nov. 8) - 23.1 percent chance to win
Arkansas (Nov. 15) - 59.5 percent chance to win
Western Kentucky (Nov. 22) - 96.2 percent chance to win
at Oklahoma (Nov. 29) - 38.6 percent chance to win
LSU loses the 3 of the 4 away games. 9-3
This post was edited on 9/22/25 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:41 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
quote:
Can someone explain it to me? This looks like easy money.
That’s .5 less than the typical home field bump. Considering what we know about the teams after who they’ve played, it’s fair.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:42 pm to Riolobo
quote:
Yes. Line has moved big time towards the Rebels since Sunday morning. Also keep in mind Clemson was a 4.5 favorite.
Is this dumb money, or is there something we are missing?
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:42 pm to ipodking
quote:
Terrible oline
Can’t run the ball
The Ole Miss run defense might be just what we need. They have given up a ton of yards on the ground in every game and over 200 to Arkansas. Wanna say they've given up like 185 on average per game. If we were giving up 185 per game the rant would say we should be 10 poinit dogs.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:46 pm to GeorgeWest
quote:
Our O line is average.
Their run defense is 122nd in the nation. We do not have to be all that good to get some yards.
Their passing defense is pretty good, and they have only allowed three passing TDS this year. But surely we can overcome that with Nuss looking good.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:47 pm to redfishfan
quote:
Wanna say they've given up like 185 on average per game.
190. They are terrible at run defense.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:53 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
It'd be nice to win in Oxford to have another week in the top 10...
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:54 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
Go back and watch the throws he made against Tulane. Then come update your post.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 1:56 pm to WarBoudin
quote:
Go back and watch the throws he made against Tulane. Then come update your post.
He made several decent throws but it's clear Lane doesn't really trust him in the passing game. It's short quick throws or deep outside throws. Not reading the defense much. Tulane's DBs just couldn't match up with those Ole Miss WRs. I think our DBs are pretty dang good.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:00 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
quote:
They are terrible at run defense.
Running is not our strength.
Was watching highlights of the Arky game. Not sure what their base defense is, but they had a LOT of 3-man fronts on D and dropped a lot into coverage. Arky had success running on “passing downs” against the 3-man front.
Won’t this be the first true running QB we face? THAT is what could make the difference.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:02 pm to mikedatyger
quote:
Won’t this be the first true running QB we face? THAT is what could make the difference.
You could say that but Chambliss isn't some enigma. He's closer to the Clemson QB than he is to Sellers.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:05 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
If we can’t run, then they will just double up our receivers. You can’t be one dimensional in this league and our running game is garbage. One opens up the other.
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:09 pm to redfishfan
quote:
He's closer to the Clemson QB than he is to Sellers.
Oh wow. I disagree on that one. I have only just watched their highlights, but he has a decent arm and is very quick. He’s MUCH more athletic than Klubnik
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:14 pm to mikedatyger
quote:
Oh wow. I disagree on that one. I have only just watched their highlights, but he has a decent arm and is very quick. He’s MUCH more athletic than Klubnik
He's certainly quicker than Klubnik and has a better feel for running the ball but he's not some elite runner of the football. He's 6' 200 lbs which is why I said he's more Klubnik then Sellers. He's been feasting on extremely weak defenses. I'm not sure he can hold up getting hit over and over against LSU. We are a different animal than Kentucky and R Kansas.
Edited to add- I know he didn't really play against Kentucky. Should have said Tulane instead.
This post was edited on 9/22/25 at 2:16 pm
Posted on 9/22/25 at 2:19 pm to RanchoLaPuerto
quote:
easy money
Have you even watched the games? This could easily be a loss.
Page 1 of 3
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News