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Spread dropping like a rock. Thoughts on why?

Posted on 9/10/25 at 6:56 am
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 6:56 am
In the last day or so it’s gone from -9.5 to -7.5. ML -370 to -260.

Pretty big movement considering I read most money is on LSU
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
9632 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 6:57 am to
Money obviously coming in on Florida.
Posted by fischd1
Mandeville
Member since Dec 2007
3342 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 6:59 am to
Have you seen our offence?
Posted by jacksajester
Metry
Member since Jun 2014
2189 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:00 am to
Because it’s LSU vs Florida and 9.5 points is insane no matter how good or bad either team is.

Also, Florida isn’t as bad as people think they are, & LSU isn’t as good.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:02 am to
quote:

Have you seen our offence?


Are you posting from the UK?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:03 am to
I would still take Florida and the points.

LSU 20

Florida 13
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:05 am to
quote:

Have you seen our offence?


We broke the law?
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3679 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:07 am to
Well we’re 108 in the nation in offense. Thats with a Heisman candidate QB and one team being Tech.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
41759 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:13 am to
quote:

Because it’s LSU vs Florida and 9.5 points is insane no matter how good or bad either team is.



Is it? There have been more than a few blowouts in recent years.

quote:

Also, Florida isn’t as bad as people think they are,


This is true, at least from a talent perspective.

quote:

& LSU isn’t as good.



I disagree, though they could be better on offense, for sure.

Posted by LSUFanMizeWay
Picayune MS
Member since Sep 2014
6497 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:17 am to
Have you seen their offense
Posted by Tarpon08
Cut Off, LA
Member since Dec 2014
7776 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:19 am to
I love it! Hell I hope I can get us at 6.5 by tomorrow!
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
55713 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:19 am to
quote:

Have you seen their offense


and have your seen our Defense? Bad combo for UF

I like LSU a lot in this game

Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
15403 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:24 am to
Not as significant as Clemson dropping from -7.5 to -3.5 vs GA Tech.

7.5/6.5 is the key number for LSU-UF & it won’t drop to that. Doesn’t really mean much other than more money for Vegas.

The total dropping to 48.5 is more noteworthy. I think it goes under & we win if we score 20+
Posted by Bring Da Wood
Texas
Member since Dec 2006
2119 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:24 am to
It’s almost always a close one score game. That’s way too many points. Even in 2019 it was back and forth all game. FL and AU were two of the closest games we played in 2019 and both were at home. We’re a better team and should win but I’d still be surprised if it isn’t somewhat close like the Clemson game.
Posted by 225Tyga
Member since Oct 2013
19337 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:25 am to
Need it to get down to around LSU -4
This post was edited on 9/10/25 at 7:26 am
Posted by Reagan80
Earth
Member since Feb 2023
1684 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:28 am to
The game will be close and could go either way. Fl is better than the team showed last week. LSU will have to play better than ut did last week. If the Tigers can’t run the ball, they could be in trouble.
Posted by covlatiger
Member since Feb 2006
2406 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:37 am to
quote:

Have you seen our offence?


I take offence to your comment about our offense.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
56549 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:45 am to
quote:

I read most money is on LSU


Right now it appears that some places are reporting the public money is heavy on LSU but the drop indicates that sharp money has either come in or will come in heavy on UF. Other places I have seen HEAVY public money on UF. The line stinks to high heaven.

Posted by Doby
Lafayette
Member since Sep 2014
2109 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:46 am to
Not sure how lines are established but seems like the following…

-Trying to pull more UF $$ in
-TG & BM are likely out against UF, dropping the spread keeps the money in Vegas
-LSU’s offense is unpredictable
-Ramos has a leg injury (rumor) and has not been automatic
Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
55713 posts
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:50 am to
Money coming in on Florida for their do or die game
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