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Started By
Message
Early Florida betting line is way off IMO
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:13 am
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:13 am
LSU -6.5
O/U 54.5 pts
That O/U number is crazy. I see another 17-13 type game next week that we’ve played against Florida many times.
We put up a combined 40 pts so far through 2 games. Florida’s offense also only put up 55 against Long Island and 16 against USF. Based on the spread and O/U oddsmakers are expecting a 31-24 type game to LSU. No way after what I’ve seen so far am I confident we’ll put up that many points and our defense is stout enough, and Florida bad enough that they aren’t putting that much either. Just go 1-0 next week and I’m happy but anything more than 24 points and I’d be shocked
O/U 54.5 pts
That O/U number is crazy. I see another 17-13 type game next week that we’ve played against Florida many times.
We put up a combined 40 pts so far through 2 games. Florida’s offense also only put up 55 against Long Island and 16 against USF. Based on the spread and O/U oddsmakers are expecting a 31-24 type game to LSU. No way after what I’ve seen so far am I confident we’ll put up that many points and our defense is stout enough, and Florida bad enough that they aren’t putting that much either. Just go 1-0 next week and I’m happy but anything more than 24 points and I’d be shocked
7
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:15 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:17 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
General rule of thumb is if you see a “fishy” line that you don’t understand, lean into it. In other words, they’re seeing something you aren’t so bet it.
You’re not smarter than the people in the desert, none of us (individually) are.
You’re not smarter than the people in the desert, none of us (individually) are.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:19 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
I wouldn't bet on any LSU game when it comes to points. Straight up W or L.... yes, pts NO.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:21 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
This game is going to go 1 of 2 ways.
Either the offensive line and offensive coaching staff rise to the challenge and we blow Florida out 34-10
Or….
The don’t and we lose a low scoring defensive battle 10-6
Either the offensive line and offensive coaching staff rise to the challenge and we blow Florida out 34-10
Or….
The don’t and we lose a low scoring defensive battle 10-6
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:27 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
quote:
This game is going to go 1 of 2 ways.
Either the offensive line and offensive coaching staff rise to the challenge and we blow Florida out 34-10
Or….
The don’t and we lose a low scoring defensive battle 10-6
Or we win a low scoring defensive battle, LSU's defense is better than Florida's
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:30 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
quote:
This game is going to go 1 of 2 ways.
1. LSU wins
2. Florida wins
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:31 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
quote:
This game is going to go 1 of 2 ways.
We win or we lose?
Posted on 9/7/25 at 9:38 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
My gut says LaTech was the needed wake-up call after patting ourself on the back too much after Clemson.
LSU offense looks sharp and steamrolls Florida, sealing Napier’s fate.
LSU offense looks sharp and steamrolls Florida, sealing Napier’s fate.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:00 am to Draco Malfoy
Ramos is good for 3 FG's and our defense is good for a safety. That accounts for 11. If our CB Ashton Stamps learns how to catch he will get himself a pick 6. I can see us scoring 18-21. Florida might match this weeks total and score 16 again. I'll take the Under.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:01 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
Normally I’d look at UF losing to USF and say we are going to slam them.
But that LaTech game was a disaster on a lot of levels.
But that LaTech game was a disaster on a lot of levels.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:03 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
The offense is midling to below average. No aspect of its production is even good. O-line is positioned perfectly...again...to disappoint.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:04 am to Draco Malfoy
quote:I grabbed the line from ESPN Bet early this morning. Each books going to have slight variation with early movement. I would’ve been nervous betting us as 6.5 pt favorites though much less giving 9.5 pts… that’d be nice but don’t know what to expect from Florida next week. They might respond with their backs against the wall now. They want sun belt Billy’s head
We are 9.5 point favorites
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:04 am to Fun Bunch
Tech is a lot better then they get credit for that was ready to play and very well may be better then Clemson
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:12 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
There is no 6.5 line anywhere, what are you talking abiut?
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:16 am to beachtiger777
La Tech is not better than Clemson.
LSU didn’t come to play, had multiple key injuries, and the Offense just isn’t what we thought it would be.
LSU didn’t come to play, had multiple key injuries, and the Offense just isn’t what we thought it would be.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:17 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
I give us the advantage only because its a home game.
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:17 am to Bigbro24
quote:
There is no 6.5 line anywhere, what are you talking abiut?
I mean idk what else to tell you. I grabbed it straight off ESPN
Posted on 9/7/25 at 10:20 am to Draco Malfoy
If their lines are way off seems like a great arbitrage opportunity. I use multiple books for that reason
What sites do you use to look at scores/matchups/schedules?
What sites do you use to look at scores/matchups/schedules?
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