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BigGorrila is quadrupling down LSU wins

Posted on 8/28/25 at 7:57 am
Posted by Big Gorilla
Bossier City
Member since Oct 2020
6197 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 7:57 am
I haven’t been confident in LSU last 4 years but this team has the players that can walk into that little stadium and whip some arse.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
2858 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 7:58 am to
Seems like 90% of experts are picking Clemson. Don’t get it based on the spread
Posted by Big Gorilla
Bossier City
Member since Oct 2020
6197 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:00 am to
They talk like Clemson defense is elite. I don’t think it is. Got ran over by teams with a pulse. Gave up over 200 yards rushing against sec teams.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Savannah, GA
Member since Mar 2014
11582 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:01 am to
I keep going back and forth. I think LSU covers (got in when it was still 4.5 points) but hard to be confident in a victory with the last several years. Still picking LSU but I will not be surprised or shocked to see Clemson pull out the victory 24-20.
Posted by Donkus
Shreveport
Member since Feb 2013
1424 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:02 am to
quote:

Seems like 90% of experts are picking Clemson. Don’t get it based on the spread


Home team. These are fairly even matched teams on paper, especially the offenses. When it's too close to call most go with the home team.
Posted by Big Gorilla
Bossier City
Member since Oct 2020
6197 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:03 am to
quote:

These are fairly even matched teams on paper, especially the offenses.


Agree but the difference is the LSU defense is drastically improved while theirs is not.
Posted by Papa Tigah
TIGER ISLAND, LA
Member since Sep 2007
19976 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:11 am to
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
107285 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:13 am to
I remember everyone quadrupling down on the bama game last year. Got butt raped at home.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
16369 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Home team. These are fairly even matched teams on paper, especially the offenses. When it's too close to call most go with the home team.

This. Home field advantage in CFB is pretty massive.
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
2946 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:20 am to
I remain cautiously optimistic.
I think we win, and I think we are due.

With that said I’m not so arrogant to think we can’t lose a close one in their house.

But it will be close. That I have no doubt.

This shite that we will be beat bad and BK firing talk will start blah blah is bullshite.
We got dogs this year and we aren’t lying down.
Posted by thejuiceisloose
Member since Nov 2018
5982 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:20 am to
quote:

Agree but the difference is the LSU defense is drastically improved while theirs is not


And we know this how?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
24473 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:21 am to
quote:

I keep going back and forth. I think LSU covers (got in when it was still 4.5 points) but hard to be confident in a victory with the last several years. Still picking LSU but I will not be surprised or shocked to see Clemson pull out the victory 24-20.

We’ve been the favorite for the last 5 years and lost all 5 openers. I’m just glad the focus is evidently there on the opener this go round like it hasn’t been since 2020 and being the underdog is definitely a mindset difference maker.

I believe we’re going to be ready and have the talent this time so getting blown out isn’t acceptable. If we don’t win it better be down to the wire and because Clemson really is elite, not because we weren’t prepared
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
33681 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:21 am to
quote:

Seems like 90% of experts are picking Clemson. Don’t get it based on the spread


The spread suggests the oddsmakers see this as an even matchup. Clemson is the favorite because of homefield advantage. If you are having to pick between what you think are two evenly matched teams it's pretty reasonable to pick the home team to win outright.

That's not exactly some wild logic.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
51461 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:21 am to
quote:

They talk like Clemson defense is elite. I don’t think it is. Got ran over by teams with a pulse. Gave up over 200 yards rushing against sec teams.

Yeah, but what was elite about LSU last season? You can say we picked up guys in the portal and all kinds of stuff, but then you should account for changes Clemson made. Last season Clemson had a poor defense even though they had super talent. Maybe it was the coordinator’s fault. Dabo has a new one. Maybe he’ll have them playing to their potential.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
16369 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:22 am to
quote:

Agree but the difference is the LSU defense is drastically improved while theirs is not.

It's hard to know in a game 1 scenario. I do think that LSU's defense will be improved dramatically but I also think that it's possible for Clemson's to as well. My simplistic way of looking at this game has been that LSU's "peak" is higher that Clemson's "peak" but I think Clemson is closer to their peak in this game than LSU is, due to their continuity.
This post was edited on 8/28/25 at 8:25 am
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
7431 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:25 am to
No RB, no RG, no depth. It's going to be a long day for them. They scored 3 on UGA and 14 on the cocks. New DC - they might have it together by game 5, but we are game 1. Their FPI is a joke - 20ish and blue chip ratio is even funnier. But the media loves them - whatever that's worth. We are no longer playing with butter.
Posted by Big Gorilla
Bossier City
Member since Oct 2020
6197 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:28 am to
quote:

And we know this how?


The dbs are much more talented than last year. Especially at safety. Perkins is healthy and so is gulliory.
Posted by Tic44
Neville
Member since May 2015
1821 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:39 am to
who cares. I love the underdog perception. Makes the players try to prove people wrong
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
33681 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 8:45 am to
quote:

I believe we’re going to be ready and have the talent this time so getting blown out isn’t acceptable. If we don’t win it better be down to the wire and because Clemson really is elite, not because we weren’t prepared


To be fair, the only "blowout" in a season opener in the last 3 seasons was the 2023 game vs. FSU. Even then, that was a 7 point game in the 4th quarter. To me, 3 plays in a 6:00 span lost that game for LSU

1. 17-17 midway through the 3rd. Daniels hits Lacy right in his hands for on 3rd down for what would have been a 1st down. Lacy drops it. LSU punts. FSU scores a TD on the next drive to take the lead 24-17

2. 24-17. Final play of the 3rd quarter. BTJ drops a wide open pass that would have put LSU inside the FSU 15

3. THE VERY NEXT PLAY Nabers slips on a comback route, allowing FSU to get the int. FSU scores a TD to go up 31-17 and the game was essentially over.

If either play 1 or 2 is made, the outcome may be VASTLY different

It's not like LSU has been totally outclassed in the openers under BK. It's that they have made a few critical mistakes that cost them the game: Blocked XP (2022), the plays mentioned above (2023). Nuss throws his only really bad pass of the game to a wide open Anderson that would have given LSU a 1st down inside the USC 10 under 2:00 down 3
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Savannah, GA
Member since Mar 2014
11582 posts
Posted on 8/28/25 at 9:03 am to
I am glad we aren't the favorite either but still got to show me they can actually show up and win an opening game before I will feel confident in them.
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