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If a player gets drafted tonight, he is 99.999999% gone

Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:26 pm
Posted by Cryin Kelly
Member since Dec 2023
323 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:26 pm
Just saving the need for annoying threads...

The numbers are being negotiated before the draft starts. You don't want to waste a pick on someone you can't sign.

Frey is gone, Eyanson is gone, all of the high schoolers are gone who have been picked so far.

Carry on...
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
78284 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:27 pm to
short of a failed physical
Posted by gumbeaux
Member since Jun 2004
4995 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:27 pm to
So you’re saying there is a chance.
Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
11446 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:28 pm to
So does this mean we are getting Sine and McKenzie since they weren’t drafted tonight?
Posted by mikejsjr0912
Member since Jun 2024
604 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:29 pm to
Hoping a couple guys drop out of the draft since they didn’t go in the first three rounds. Last year Arambide dropped out after day 1.
Posted by Cryin Kelly
Member since Dec 2023
323 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:29 pm to
Gotta dodge some more rounds.

Also, it's more about money than rounds. Its far more likely for a late-round pick to sign if a team saved enough money than an early-round pick not to sign.
Posted by mikejsjr0912
Member since Jun 2024
604 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:31 pm to
Not really. Once the team picks a guy, regardless of a physical, if he doesn’t sign, they lose that slot value from their signing pool. They get it added back next year, but no team is forfeiting 800-850K in pool money on a chance.
Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
11446 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

Also, it's more about money than rounds. Its far more likely for a late-round pick to sign if a team saved enough money than an early-round pick not to sign.


I don’t really understand how the money works. Can teams just pay a crap ton over slot or short a player at will? What are the limitations?
Posted by Cryin Kelly
Member since Dec 2023
323 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:37 pm to
Every pick has a value associated with it. Add all of your picks, and that is your budget. If you save money on one pick, you can use it on another.
Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
11446 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:38 pm to
Thanks. So the Mariners saved 700k on Anderson and they can use that 700k for another player/players? Makes sense
This post was edited on 7/13/25 at 9:41 pm
Posted by Skenes
Member since Mar 2025
412 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

according to MLB.com, four players in the top 10 rounds did not sign after the 2024 MLB draft, including three from the first three rounds: supplemental second-round picks Tyler Bell (Tampa Bay Rays) and Chris Levonas (Milwaukee Brewers), and third-round pick Ryan Prager (Los Angeles Angels). These were the only top-3 round picks to not sign in the 2024 MLB Draft.
Historically, this number has been quite low:
2023: 1 player from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2022: 3 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2021: 3 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2020: 0 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign (this was a 5-round draft due to COVID-19).
2019: 2 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2018: 4 players did not sign, all were either first-round or supplemental first-round picks.
2017: 3 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2016: 2 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2015: 6 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2014: 6 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2013: 8 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
2012: 8 players from the top 10 rounds did not sign.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
19496 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Every pick has a value associated with it. Add all of your picks, and that is your budget. If you save money on one pick, you can use it on another.

I remembered the Nationals drafted all seniors rounds #6-10 two years ago. Gavin Dugas was one of them. They paid all of them $20,000 bonuses and saved a bunch of money on them. They paid their 3rd round pick 2.6 million which was double his slot value. Pretty smart decision by them if you want to save money. From about rounds #12-18 all of those guys got $150K bonuses.
This post was edited on 7/13/25 at 9:52 pm
Posted by Jeff Goldblum
Gardner, LA
Member since Nov 2004
1088 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:56 pm to
All of that was before college players could get paid + NIL money. I wouldnt be surprised if 15 or more draftees did not sign this year.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
30513 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

I wouldnt be surprised if 15 or more draftees did not sign this year.
You should be.
Posted by cajuntiger85
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2017
470 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 10:02 pm to
If prager was a 3rd rounder last year, boy did he bet on himself and lose.
Posted by MakeMoney
Guck Foodell
Member since Aug 2008
4318 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 10:05 pm to
That shouldn't be allowed , should protect the kids with some percentage below slot threshold allowed
Posted by Skenes
Member since Mar 2025
412 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 10:14 pm to
Baseball players make about 25-100k, and your elites (Skenes/Crews) make closer to 500k. It isn't football with many making millions.
Posted by mtb010
San Antonio
Member since Sep 2009
6132 posts
Posted on 7/13/25 at 11:02 pm to
Yes, this has been the case always.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
30513 posts
Posted on 7/14/25 at 5:47 am to
quote:

Yes, this has been the case always.
Not really, this format has only been in place since 2012.
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