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How to play oil under Trump

Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:18 pm
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13497 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:18 pm
Trying to figure out how to play this energy movement.

I heard it a lot-
Drill baby drill
Liquid gold beneath our feet

Oil majors really not doing much though.


If we drill more then the market will have more supply. There’s no indication that more supply is needed though.

With more supply, and not an equal of more increase in demand, the price of oil is likely to drop.

What’s the play?
Posted by cornerstore
Member since Jul 2024
927 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:18 pm to
Oil pipelines. Duh.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
14547 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:20 pm to
Produce all of the oil you want. With limited refinery capacity, gas prices will always remain above $1.00.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13497 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:21 pm to
Yeah, I think there’s going to be some money flowing (pun intended) into pipelines

Looking at kinder Morgan but I owned it already and sold it. Still own center coast and it’s doing very well.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
18995 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:21 pm to
Exports?
Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
16275 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:22 pm to
Export
Posted by SaturatedPhat
Member since Jul 2024
1180 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:22 pm to
Install your truck nuts. Profit.
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
25440 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:23 pm to
Is Keystone still off the list?
Posted by Cheese Grits
Wherever I lay my hat is my home
Member since Apr 2012
58718 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

How to play oil under Trump




M is for the mud flaps she gave me for my pickup truck
O is for the oil I put in my pickup truck, drain it out, and dip my sheep
T is for Dolly Parton
H is for Haggard
E is for Eggs
R is for Redneck
Posted by trader_tiger83
Member since Dec 2012
1355 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:29 pm to
If Trump ushers in world peace and oil production spikes, won’t this drive down the price per barrel? I’d short E&P companies with high cost structures and buy those with good B/S and cost controls.

That said, oil projects take years to get to production so who knows when that supply overwhelms demand.
Posted by Enfuego
Uptown
Member since Mar 2009
9921 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:30 pm to
Put options. More drilling = lower prices
Posted by Louisianalabguy
Member since Jul 2017
987 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:33 pm to
The play is cheap energy with an explosive infrastructure investment coming from foreign interests. That combined with reduced internal taxation and government efficiency will propel us into a new Era of prosperity.
BOOM MAGA MAGA MAGA BOOM!!

MAGA supporter to Rachel Madcow:

"How ya like us nowww!"

Rachael Madcow to MAGA supporter:

"I didn't get a pardon!" (Crying uncontrollably)
Posted by Tomatocantender
Boot
Member since Jun 2021
5263 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

Put options. More drilling = lower prices


Put options with the SPR at its lowest levels in decades thanks to Potato? Okay, good luck with that I guess.
Posted by graves1
Birmingham, Alabama
Member since Mar 2011
2154 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:38 pm to
The US imports about the same amount of oil it exports daily. Stop importing foreign oil.
Posted by IamNotaRobot
OKC
Member since Nov 2021
926 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:38 pm to
Trump is going to sanction the shite out of Iran and Venezuela. He’ll also force Russia to stop the war by telling China and India the loopholes to circumvent sanctions are now closed. Putin probably stands pat at least initially and that would cause prices to soar. Be good for a little while but idk if the American wallet could survive an extended energy crunch especially if we are already dealing with tariffs.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
39689 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:39 pm to
I work for a small independent consulting company and we went from 1 client the last 2 years to 3 new clients in the last 3 weeks.

The wheels are turning and I'm getting pulled in different directions already. Starting to hire warm bodies now.

quote:

What’s the play?


Can you run title?

Are you interested in buying any working interest in a well?
Posted by MrMojoRisin
Udûn
Member since May 2014
7435 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Produce all of the oil you want. With limited refinery capacity, gas prices will always remain above $1.00.


This.

But becoming O&G self reliant would be a good thing.
This post was edited on 1/21/25 at 3:44 pm
Posted by cornerstore
Member since Jul 2024
927 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:44 pm to
Plains
Ticker: PAA
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2884 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:46 pm to
Took a position in LPG today, hoping the export ban goes away quickly.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
24780 posts
Posted on 1/21/25 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

The US imports about the same amount of oil it exports daily. Stop importing foreign oil.


I don't know hardly anything about downstream operations, but those that do have said that we import heavier oil because that's the stuff our major refineries are built to handle. We export the lighter stuff that we produce in places like Permian.

So if that's the case, "Stop importing foreign oil" doesn't quite work.
This post was edited on 1/21/25 at 3:49 pm
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