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Over/under for Bear this baseball season?
Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:03 pm
Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:03 pm
Over under on Bear Jones home run total without tanks in the lineup?
Over/under 30. I think he smashes 37 if they make a good postseason run. anybody think he could threaten Brandon Larson?
Over/under 30. I think he smashes 37 if they make a good postseason run. anybody think he could threaten Brandon Larson?
Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:04 pm to gasmonky
25. Not coming close to Larson
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:46 am to gasmonky
quote:
Over under on Bear Jones home run total without tanks in the lineup?
It will depend on the OBP of the guys who hit ahead of him and how well he has picked up his performance against breaking/off-speed pitches. He was coming around on the pitches in the second half of the season last year. I would say over but 37 seems like a lot. Maybe 33. I would love 40 though
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:54 am to gasmonky
Who is going to pitch to him? 30 seems high
Posted on 1/7/25 at 6:23 am to gasmonky
Ill take the under on 37. 30 seems about right. I think yall overrate how the lineup does around him. The lineup wont be that bad, and protection is overrated, especially in college. Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level
Posted on 1/7/25 at 6:25 am to gasmonky
quote:
Bear Jones
He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.
IYKYK
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:01 am to saint tiger225
quote:
He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.
Don't piss off ell, he played JUCO
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:10 am to josh336
quote:
Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level
Teams were still pitching to Charlie Condon in the NCAA Tournament with nobody on
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:14 am to gasmonky
If he can continue to improve his plate discipline just like he did last year, I can see him falling around the 25-30 range with a much higher OBP/OPS. I don't think 30+ is out of the question at all. He really started to mature as a hitter last year and now has the attention and respect of other teams.
There's still time for it to develop, but I worry he'll be pitched around unless someone else equally as scary steps up.
There's still time for it to develop, but I worry he'll be pitched around unless someone else equally as scary steps up.
This post was edited on 1/7/25 at 7:15 am
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:37 am to josh336
quote:
Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level
If by "pitch around", we are talking about intentionally not throwing strikes to a batter, then I agree with this statement.
But at this level, a lot of guys like Jared Jones won't see a lot fastballs in fastball counts.
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:09 pm to gasmonky
30 is a lot of long balls in a 56-game season. Even with a post-season continuity, that is a lot of home runs.
I'd take the under.
I'd take the under.
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:16 pm to gasmonky
under
also depends on how other players protect him hitting before and after him
With Tommy Tanks gone, that's a big ask for him to go over
also depends on how other players protect him hitting before and after him
With Tommy Tanks gone, that's a big ask for him to go over
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:26 pm to gasmonky
If we are more of a contact team than a power team like was reported a few days ago, I don't think many teams will be pitching to him.
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:27 pm to jrobic4
quote:
25. Not coming close to Larson
He hit 28 last year without making the CWS. I know we won't have Tanks but we will have a lot of very capable batters I think in the lineup. Condon hit 37. I'm not saying he will get to 37, but he sure has the capabilities of doing it. I'll take the under at 33.
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:34 pm to saint tiger225
quote:
He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.
IYKYK

Posted on 1/8/25 at 12:58 am to mdomingue
quote:
It will depend on the OBP of the guys who hit ahead of him and how well he has picked up his performance against breaking/off-speed pitches. He was coming around on the pitches in the second half of the season last year.
Based on the few times I saw him in Fall Scrimmages, he still has some learning to do regarding pitchers who have a good delta velocity with their pitches and can throw strikes. But, he did seem to improve last year as the season went on.
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:01 am to ChiefCornerstone
According to a scouting report on Bear before the draft. "His approach improved his sophomore year and is pretty good. It's the swing and miss that he needs to work on his Junior year. "
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:29 am to gasmonky
Over 30.. hope they poke the bear & try to quick pitch him again


This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 7:58 am
Posted on 1/8/25 at 6:30 am to N2daWild
And that sounds fair. He didn’t get many at bats in the scrimmages I attended primarily because Johnson was giving other players reps.
I believe he will go higher in the Draft than most Tiger fans believe due to his potential. But that’s just me.
I believe he will go higher in the Draft than most Tiger fans believe due to his potential. But that’s just me.
Posted on 1/8/25 at 7:54 am to gasmonky
I think it will come down to how the lineup comes together around him. Similar to everyone pitching around Tanks last year, but had to pitch to him in 23.
My prediction would be 25 for him this year
My prediction would be 25 for him this year
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