Started By
Message
locked post

Over/under for Bear this baseball season?

Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:03 pm
Posted by gasmonky
St. George
Member since Oct 2024
40 posts
Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:03 pm
Over under on Bear Jones home run total without tanks in the lineup?

Over/under 30. I think he smashes 37 if they make a good postseason run. anybody think he could threaten Brandon Larson?
Posted by jrobic4
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
11919 posts
Posted on 1/6/25 at 11:04 pm to
25. Not coming close to Larson
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
42166 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:46 am to
quote:

Over under on Bear Jones home run total without tanks in the lineup?



It will depend on the OBP of the guys who hit ahead of him and how well he has picked up his performance against breaking/off-speed pitches. He was coming around on the pitches in the second half of the season last year. I would say over but 37 seems like a lot. Maybe 33. I would love 40 though
Posted by rattlebucket
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
12542 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:54 am to
Who is going to pitch to him? 30 seems high
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
81791 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 6:23 am to
Ill take the under on 37. 30 seems about right. I think yall overrate how the lineup does around him. The lineup wont be that bad, and protection is overrated, especially in college. Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
46077 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 6:25 am to
quote:

Bear Jones



He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.

IYKYK
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
19640 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:01 am to
quote:

He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.


Don't piss off ell, he played JUCO
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71331 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:10 am to
quote:

Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level


Teams were still pitching to Charlie Condon in the NCAA Tournament with nobody on
Posted by Brian Wilson
Member since Mar 2012
2358 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:14 am to
If he can continue to improve his plate discipline just like he did last year, I can see him falling around the 25-30 range with a much higher OBP/OPS. I don't think 30+ is out of the question at all. He really started to mature as a hitter last year and now has the attention and respect of other teams.

There's still time for it to develop, but I worry he'll be pitched around unless someone else equally as scary steps up.
This post was edited on 1/7/25 at 7:15 am
Posted by sportsfan
Member since Feb 2011
3987 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 7:37 am to
quote:

Very few guys have ever been pitched around alot at this level


If by "pitch around", we are talking about intentionally not throwing strikes to a batter, then I agree with this statement.

But at this level, a lot of guys like Jared Jones won't see a lot fastballs in fastball counts.
Posted by Jay Quest
Once removed from Massachusetts
Member since Nov 2009
10681 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:09 pm to
30 is a lot of long balls in a 56-game season. Even with a post-season continuity, that is a lot of home runs.

I'd take the under.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
53713 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:16 pm to
under

also depends on how other players protect him hitting before and after him

With Tommy Tanks gone, that's a big ask for him to go over
Posted by Relham10
Ridge
Member since Jan 2013
19809 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:26 pm to
If we are more of a contact team than a power team like was reported a few days ago, I don't think many teams will be pitching to him.
Posted by BadaBingBadaBoom
Lafourche Parish
Member since Mar 2022
2500 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

25. Not coming close to Larson


He hit 28 last year without making the CWS. I know we won't have Tanks but we will have a lot of very capable batters I think in the lineup. Condon hit 37. I'm not saying he will get to 37, but he sure has the capabilities of doing it. I'll take the under at 33.
Posted by Classy Doge
Member since Nov 2021
4504 posts
Posted on 1/7/25 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

He's going to hit 80. One for every number of total power he has.

IYKYK
Posted by ChiefCornerstone
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2022
486 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 12:58 am to
quote:

It will depend on the OBP of the guys who hit ahead of him and how well he has picked up his performance against breaking/off-speed pitches. He was coming around on the pitches in the second half of the season last year.

Based on the few times I saw him in Fall Scrimmages, he still has some learning to do regarding pitchers who have a good delta velocity with their pitches and can throw strikes. But, he did seem to improve last year as the season went on.
Posted by N2daWild
Member since Jul 2019
10285 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:01 am to
According to a scouting report on Bear before the draft. "His approach improved his sophomore year and is pretty good. It's the swing and miss that he needs to work on his Junior year. "
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
56321 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 5:29 am to
Over 30.. hope they poke the bear & try to quick pitch him again

This post was edited on 1/8/25 at 7:58 am
Posted by ChiefCornerstone
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2022
486 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 6:30 am to
And that sounds fair. He didn’t get many at bats in the scrimmages I attended primarily because Johnson was giving other players reps.

I believe he will go higher in the Draft than most Tiger fans believe due to his potential. But that’s just me.
Posted by SlippinJimmy
Member since Jan 2024
331 posts
Posted on 1/8/25 at 7:54 am to
I think it will come down to how the lineup comes together around him. Similar to everyone pitching around Tanks last year, but had to pitch to him in 23.

My prediction would be 25 for him this year
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram