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So how many spots are still up for grabs in the playoffs?

Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:17 pm
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38112 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:17 pm
You have to figure Oregon Texas Georgia Tennessee Indiana notre dame and probably penn state and Ohio state are pretty safe. Is there anyone else that really doesn’t have anything to worry about next week? There’s 3 conference champs not accounted for in that list so really just leaves one open spot for the committee to decide on right?
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22545 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:18 pm to
Feel like it’s probably only one or two really up for grabs
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29564 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:20 pm to
If SMU wins then there’s one spot to decide on.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
38472 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:21 pm to
Big12 is win and in
Mountain West is win and in most likely
ACC is where things could still get funky if Clemson wins. Then you have the question of what happens with SMU.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38112 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:23 pm to
I feel like a Clemson win may make the committees job pretty easy honestly. Put Clemson in as the 5th conference champ at 11 and give SMU the 12 under the guise of “not wanting to punish them for an extra game”
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
78945 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:23 pm to
Think of it as 7 at large.

ND is in. Loser of the SECCG is in. Ohio State is in. Tennessee is in.

The committee might leave Indiana out if they want to make room for Bama. Or punish Penn State if they don't beat Oregon
Posted by LSUguy2023
St. George
Member since Oct 2021
2956 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:23 pm to
Absolute locks:

Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State
Indiana
Georgia
Texas
Tennessee
Notre Dame
ACC Champ
BIG 12 Champ
G5 rep

So 1 spot up for grabs. The pecking order will be

1st choice) SMU if they lose
2nd choice) Alabama/Ole Miss/Miami if SMU wins
Posted by LSUguy2023
St. George
Member since Oct 2021
2956 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:25 pm to
I won’t be surprised to see a lot of calls go in favor of Clemson in the ACC CG so they get two teams in the CFP
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38112 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:29 pm to
I think the committee can’t leave out the big ten/sec title game participants if you want the championship games to stick around. If you punish Penn state for losing to Oregon by leaving them out then there’s zero incentive for any team to want to play in that game.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22545 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 2:29 pm to
As much as pedo state should be punished, I doubt they punish them unless Oregon wins by 42 or something.

If you start to punish teams for the extra game then conferences would be pushed to remove it.

With a 12 team play off I don’t see a need for a conference title game other than money
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
53549 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

I think the committee can’t leave out the big ten/sec title game participants if you want the championship games to stick around


If you want them to stick around reward the winners and punish the losers… otherwise they’ll be treated like they’re meaningless if both teams are in anyway
Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
1016 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 3:18 pm to
quote:


Absolute locks:

Oregon
Ohio State
Penn State
Indiana
Georgia
Texas
Tennessee
Notre Dame
ACC Champ
BIG 12 Champ
G5 rep

So 1 spot up for grabs. The pecking order will be

1st choice) SMU if they lose
2nd choice) Alabama/Ole Miss/Miami if SMU wins

This!

If SMU wins, I would take one of the 9-3 SEC teams over Miami. Personally, I would go with Ole Miss. I think they have the highest ceiling of those three teams. I know that's not a way the committee necessarily grades teams, but that's just me. I also understand that since Bama was ranked ahead of Ole Miss last week, the odds of Ole Miss making it are slim to none.
This post was edited on 12/1/24 at 3:20 pm
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
38976 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 3:42 pm to
Oregon should play scrubs and roll over to Penn State....
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
41238 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

I feel like a Clemson win may make the committees job pretty easy honestly. Put Clemson in as the 5th conference champ at 11 and give SMU the 12 under the guise of “not wanting to punish them for an extra game”


This. SMU is currently ranked in a position to make the playoffs. They shouldn’t be penalized for having to play a 13th game.
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38112 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

you want them to stick around reward the winners and punish the losers… otherwise they’ll be treated like they’re meaningless if both teams are in anyway
what’s more likely to happen in your scenario is conferences get rid of title games so there’s a better likelihood of getting more teams in.
Posted by TX Tiger
at home
Member since Jan 2004
37612 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

I won’t be surprised to see a lot of calls go in favor of Clemson in the ACC CG so they get two teams in the CFP
I disagree. I believe SMU will get every call to assure that Alabama is the last team in.
Posted by chinese58
NELA. after 30 years in Dallas.
Member since Jun 2004
33149 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 7:01 pm to
quote:

Mountain West is win and in most likely
If Boise doesn't win they should not get in. Frick a two loss MW team.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
38472 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

If Boise doesn't win they should not get in. Frick a two loss MW team.



A G5 team has to get in

The only other option viable option is Army if they beat Tulane, but getting over UNLV would be highly unlikely.

Posted by Civildawg
Member since May 2012
10194 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 7:13 pm to
If SMU keeps it close in a loss, they will be in. Hopefully they don't get blown out
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38112 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 7:58 pm to
Why would the acc refs give two shits about bama?
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