Florida ED % Advantage drops below 20%

Your fake concerned conservative post is noted. We will be with you shortly.

Prepareth for the downvotes

Another alter

There are multiple threads about this already,

The panhandle ALWAYS gives Republicans a late boost in Florida.

Above 20 or below 20 is meaningless - depends where batches come in from. Broward will make it close eventually. Wait for exit polls and see what independents do.

quote:

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Besides, if I remember correctly it said that 15% indicates Trump has a good chance and 20% indicates Trump has a great chance.

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Right. I had also heard that mid day is worse for republicans and could rebound in afternoon. Still a touch worrisome.

Just wait for the panhandle numbers to come in. That is a red of an area as it gets.

I think some are being way to literal about that post.

The idea is AROUND a 20% ED advantage could be a great sign for R turnout throughout the swing states.

It also clearly says that "Projecting Florida's R turnout onto other states is of limited use"

I would also say that it seems pretty important to me that the fact that R's had already turned out more than 90% of the state's total D registration before noon means that D's are likely to gain some ground through the afternoon, but the R's have absolutely mobilized their electorate, which is the most important thing by far.

If the D's swarm through the day and it gets below 15% ED advantage their might be a reason to worry, but 16-17+ should be a solid sign overall especially with the huge overall turnout by Rs