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Nevada is basically irrelevant at this point
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:54 pm
If you believe that Trump will win Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina, then the whole game comes down to the rustbelt states. Harris has to run the table in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
I feel like this election is ultimately going to hinge on North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Those are the three states that I can see going either way.
I feel like Harris probably gets over the top in Michigan. I feel pretty good about Trump in Georgia and Arizona.
I feel like this election is ultimately going to hinge on North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Those are the three states that I can see going either way.
I feel like Harris probably gets over the top in Michigan. I feel pretty good about Trump in Georgia and Arizona.
12
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:55 pm to mule74
It's not irrelevant, but even a knife edge Harris win like Ralston projects means a shift toward Rs that isn't occurring in a vacuum.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:55 pm to mule74
None of these states go "either way" without fraud and rigging the ballots/ counting.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:56 pm to mule74
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:56 pm to mule74
Drove through NC this past weekend. It’s sad that it’s a swing state. Trump signs everywhere. Stopped in Raleigh Durham for gas and Harris/Walz signs everywhere. shite hole cities and college kids ruin America.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:56 pm to mule74
It only realistically comes into play if Trump wins NH. Then he doesn't need a blue wall state.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:58 pm to mule74
not if he flips NH, which the data looks good on and was the closest state in 2016 by 3k votes I think
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:58 pm to mule74
Bottoming yes but flipping a state infected with cali transplants sends a major message
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:58 pm to mule74
Wouldn’t Nevada + New Hampshire still win it for Trump even if she swept the rust belt but he still gets NC/Georgia?
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:59 pm to mule74
NV won't be irrelevant if Trump somehow pulls NH. With NH & NV then he doesn't need any of the blue wall states if he takes AZ, GA & NC to go along with them.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 2:59 pm to mule74
The only way it is not irrelevant is if Kamala sweeps the blue wall but Trump takes NH or if Kamala takes NC, MI. WI and NH, but Trump takes Pennsylvania (this could happen).
Posted on 11/4/24 at 3:01 pm to Lou Pai
quote:
It only realistically comes into play if Trump wins NH. Then he doesn't need a blue wall state.
This, if trump wins NH then it’s gonna be a tough to recover from that for Harris. And NH results will come in earlier than most states.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 6:00 pm to mule74
It’s not irrelevant if Trump flips New Hampshire
Posted on 11/4/24 at 6:03 pm to Gings5
quote:
Drove through NC this past weekend. It’s sad that it’s a swing state. Trump signs everywhere. Stopped in Raleigh Durham for gas and Harris/Walz signs everywhere. shite hole cities and college kids ruin America.
I was shocked they have 16 electoral votes. I guess I never paid it much attention since it usually goes red.
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