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Message
Pennsylvania Final Early Vote Data
Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:54 am
Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:54 am
Mark Halperin said this morning that if Democrats are not above 500k he does not see how they win Pennsylvania
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Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:56 am to John Barron
For Peanut we ride!!!
Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:56 am to John Barron
From his lips to God's ears
Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:58 am to John Barron
Based Scotty P and the Amish gonna deliver PA
Posted on 11/4/24 at 8:58 am to John Barron
Strong arse numbers
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:00 am to John Barron
Oh no, you posted Eric Daugherty.
Anyway, the Democrat firewall in PA is ~90,000 votes short according to Halperin's magic number of 500K the Democrats need in early voting.
Anyway, the Democrat firewall in PA is ~90,000 votes short according to Halperin's magic number of 500K the Democrats need in early voting.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:00 am to John Barron
It all comes down to PA. I think Scott Pressler has done an amazing job registering new Republicans and just have to hope they all show up and stay in line.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:01 am to John Barron
I don’t see how they had a 1M vote firewall and barely won and yet now we think they only needed 500k
Did pay lose 500k people in 4 years?
Did pay lose 500k people in 4 years?
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:01 am to John Barron
I’m really curious about crossover votes for blue collar and/or union voters. These numbers assume 100% vote along party lines
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:01 am to GumboPot
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:02 am to John Barron
The Democrat firewall in early PA voting was 1.1 million in 2020.
Trump lost PA by ~80,000 votes in 2020.
The Democrat firewall in early PA voting is currently 410K.
Draw your own conclusions.
Trump lost PA by ~80,000 votes in 2020.
The Democrat firewall in early PA voting is currently 410K.
Draw your own conclusions.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:02 am to John Barron
quote:
Pennsylvania Final Early Vote Data
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:02 am to John Barron
Top Kek!
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:03 am to JoylessMurderball
Pressure doing yeomans work
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:03 am to SaintInBham
A lot of moving parts in PA.
The Amish voting, unions where people aren’t likely to switch registration yet but would jump sides.
The Amish voting, unions where people aren’t likely to switch registration yet but would jump sides.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:03 am to Big4SALTbro
quote:
I don’t see how they had a 1M vote firewall and barely won and yet now we think they only needed 500k
Did pay lose 500k people in 4 years?
Good question. I'm just trusting Mark Halperin on his 500K Democrat PA firewall number. I'm sure he's explained it but I have not heard it.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:04 am to GumboPot
quote:
Draw your own conclusions.
The Dems will need to manufacture 700K or so "votes" in order for Kamala to win PA...
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:04 am to GumboPot
I’d like to know the true number of Amish that are voting for the first time.
That has a big swing to Trump at basically a 100 percent rate.
I can see unions switching back to Trump from Biden. Biden is a far more union likely president than Kamala
That has a big swing to Trump at basically a 100 percent rate.
I can see unions switching back to Trump from Biden. Biden is a far more union likely president than Kamala
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:06 am to Big4SALTbro
I think Halperin was saying if Nov. 5 voting is extremely soft, and dems had 500,000 lead they had a shot. If you have a normal election day or strong day 500,000 would not be enough.
Posted on 11/4/24 at 9:06 am to Big4SALTbro
quote:
I don’t see how they had a 1M vote firewall and barely won and yet now we think they only needed 500k
The prevailing theory is that more Dems will vote on election day than they did in 2020. But, the prevailing theory is that they need 600,000+ to be comfortable, 500,000 to have a puncher's chance.
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