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Don’t understand why Trump’s odds have dropped today

Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:31 pm
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13946 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:31 pm
Biden saying Trump supporters are garbage should have locked this up, but Trump is down big on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predictit today. Is the market really moving that much off two BS CNN polls in WI and MI?
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Biden saying Trump supporters are garbage should have locked this up, but Trump is down big on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predictit today. Is the market really moving that much off two BS CNN polls in WI and MI?
DJT stock down 20% also.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
107115 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:32 pm to
Probably all the news of fraud.
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
15242 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:32 pm to
As it gets closer everything will tighten up

People are hedging their bets
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:32 pm to
Because they are rigging this thing
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12811 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:33 pm to
The betting odds really got ahead of themselves. There is no way Trump is a lock.
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
12648 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:34 pm to
He’s still 65%
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

Trump is down big on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predictit today.


None of these sites know who will win and you’re basing it off of blind money. Again that’s why I wish it wasn’t posted here. It’s the week of the election it’s going to fluctuate more than ever.
Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
15242 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:34 pm to
And either we like it or having Tony was a big blunder
Posted by SalE
At the beach
Member since Jan 2020
2933 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:35 pm to
Suckers
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
141480 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Don’t understand why Trump’s odds have dropped today


what numbers? poll numbers or betting odds?

Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58910 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:36 pm to
Because it's 50/50. Anyone saying otherwise is lying to themselves
Posted by OWLFAN86
Erotic Novelist
Member since Jun 2004
194672 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:37 pm to
hedging

This is basically smart money buying insurance on their Trump bet


Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
12648 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:37 pm to
DJT jr said it best. Everything you hear negative is a psyop
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
20220 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:37 pm to
No, they are moving because of the obvious ballet dumps and cheating that no one is doing anything about. They arrested a non-native who voted and said “we can’t find their vote, it will count”. That is why.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78103 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:37 pm to
He is still up by 28.6 in the RCP average. The highest i saw was 28.9 or so.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12811 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

And either we like it or having Tony was a big blunder


Will change exactly zero votes. Biden’s gaffe probably has zero effect too.
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
4319 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:38 pm to
I mean dropped from 67 to 65, that's hardly earth shattering.
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
68798 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:39 pm to
All the fraud they’ve been blasting over X by the democrats in PA MI and CO.
Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24702 posts
Posted on 10/30/24 at 7:39 pm to
I think the early voting numbers got closer which likely caused that
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