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New Nevada numbers out minutes ago: GOP lead jumps big

Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:07 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73251 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:07 pm



Dem lead in Clark county is at 3k

In 2020, the lead was over 60k for them in Clark county

Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:10 pm to
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
19696 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:11 pm to
Didn’t the Nevada Supreme Court say Democrats could vote as long as they wanted to? LOL
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
20804 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:12 pm to
quote:

Didn’t the Nevada Supreme Court say Democrats could vote as long as they wanted to? LOL


This is untrue and unfair.

They said the voting must stop as soon as Harris takes the lead.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:12 pm to
Lol, you can see these updates are sucking his soul out

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Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:15 pm to
Posted by PrattvilleTiger
Prattville Al
Member since May 2020
2588 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:17 pm to
How do they know who's voting R and D from the ballots?
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
25257 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:18 pm to
What a great Twitter to follow!!!
Posted by UncleLester
West of the Mississippi
Member since Aug 2008
9137 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:20 pm to
There were 1,374,000 votes for POTUS in NV in 2020.

This data shows just under 698k votes have been cast already. That's almost 51% of the entire turnout last time.

Posted by Albasha225
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2024
4 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:24 pm to
I actually prefer to follow Ralston for these Nevada updates. Because as a liberal, when he starts to capitulate, you know it carries way more weight than some Republican cheerleader who was always going to put a positive spin on things anyway.

People are piling on him, but I’ve read his blog posts since day 1 and he’s been spelling trouble for Dems basically from the get go. I also like the way he tracks the whole “Dems are going to have to win Indies by x% which is will be increasingly difficult”. I really have no problem with his EV reporting (other than him being a huge lib)
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78304 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:25 pm to
What does say vote really portend?

We know that the dems were scared to go out in public in 2020 so the massively voted early. They aren't as scared so they aren't going to vote early in those same numbers.

Republicans were told to wait for election day because their votes might be stolen or not counted so they avoided early voting. This year they're being told to early vote.

Are comparisons to 2020 really of much value with regards to early voting?
This post was edited on 10/28/24 at 11:26 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:27 pm to
My big problem with him is when he trashed the Nevada University Women's team for not playing against the team with the Tranny. Come to find out, his son is a Tranny
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
101809 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:28 pm to
LHG!
Posted by Albasha225
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2024
4 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:28 pm to
quote:

My big problem with him is when he trashed the Nevada University Women's team for not playing against the team with the Tranny. Come to find out, his son is a Tranny


No yeah, I get it. He’s a shite lib tried and true. I don’t think he’s holding back or being dishonest about the early vote. He’s been very clear for weeks now that Dems are increasingly in trouble.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175923 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:30 pm to
It should be repeated that R early voting is even with 2020 what we’ve seen from Nevada, Arizona, and North Carolina. The Rs aren’t cannibalizing their Election Day votes. It’s that the Dems have zero enthusiasm compared to 2020. Meaning there will still be the usual GOP voter surge on Election Day. The Dems are Right Honourably fricked.
Posted by StansberryRules
Member since Aug 2024
4474 posts
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

The Rs aren’t cannibalizing their Election Day votes. It’s that the Dems have zero enthusiasm compared to 2020.


This is the key takeaway. It's repeated in all the numbers across all the states. Republicans big edge isn't so much coming from Republicans showing up in larger numbers than previously. Basically Republicans have slightly improved from their 2020 #'s but Democrats have completely fallen off the map. They don't like their candidate that much and it's translating into low Dem turnout.
This post was edited on 10/28/24 at 11:34 pm
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6780 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:39 am to
I think the mail-in voting numbers could be deceptive. We don’t know how many of the mail-in ballots were from voters that voted on Election Day.

There is a big increase in the amount of registered Republicans that are voting by mail, but most of these voters will be people who voted on Election Day in 2020. There will be registered Democrats and Independents voting by mail in ballots that voted in person in 2020 too.
This post was edited on 10/29/24 at 1:40 am
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
9065 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 5:27 am to
quote:

quote:
The Rs aren’t cannibalizing their Election Day votes. It’s that the Dems have zero enthusiasm compared to 2020.


This is the key takeaway


“Hand me the list”
“What list”
“The list of people registered but who haven’t recorded a vote yet. We have ballots filled out for them”
“We can’t drop those. It’s too late”
“ Sure we can. They’ll count them up until Friday. And if those people DID vote R today, his can cancel that vote. Just drop them in the fricking mail and get back to work. Postmark will do all the work”

The other key takeaway.
Posted by Crowley Cajun
Member since Sep 2004
452 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 5:45 am to
quote:

It’s that the Dems have zero enthusiasm compared to 2020


I tried to find a comparison to 2020 but couldn't. If that is the case, do you think that they are voting for the 3rd party candidate vs not voting? I know that when RFK Jr. dropped out, he wanted his name removed because there was this theory that he could hurt Trump's chances for undecided or unhappy "R" voters. But maybe the opposite is happening to the Dems.
Posted by Tesla
the Laurentian Abyss
Member since Dec 2011
9138 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 5:54 am to
quote:

How do they know who's voting R and D from the ballots?


The ballots are tallied from how the voter is registered. What they don’t know is that a shitload of people re-registered as No Party Affiliation (Independent) after the 2020 steal and are absolutely voting Trump.
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