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Kamala leads in 3 of the last 4 North Carolina Polls

Posted on 10/22/24 at 3:59 pm
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
8743 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 3:59 pm
She is tied in the other one. This one might be going blue, especially with all the damage to the heavy red western part of the state.

RCP
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
37808 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:01 pm to
I don't buy it but NC is not critical for Trump if the other state polling is correct
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
8743 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:01 pm to
If North Carolina goes blue Trump will have to win Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and then one of Nevada, Wisconsin, or Michigan.
Posted by JasonMason
Memphis
Member since Jun 2009
4859 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
Only 2 of those are within the last week. Let's see some current polls.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15065 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
You are so bad at this. Trump leads by 2 in this poll with likely voters.

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Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
8743 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

I don't buy it but NC is not critical for Trump if the other state polling is correct


Losing North Carolina would make his path to 270 narrow.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3219 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
Could happen but they weren't exactly correct in 2020

RCP NC 2020
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26444 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
I do think Kamala is REALLY focusing on NC but the RCP still has Trump slightly ahead.

Going to be interesting to see if the normal polling error that undersells Trump is the same or close to it this year.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
51492 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:02 pm to
Looks like the American people have spoken, they prefer a career plastic politician who is bound and determined to see the completion of the Fundamental Transformation of America into a Cultural Marxist dystopian nightmare.
Posted by Potchafa
Avoyelles
Member since Jul 2016
3829 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:04 pm to
No she doesnt
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15065 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Losing North Carolina would make his path to 270 narrow.


He is not losing NC. This poll has him up by 2 with likely voters which is the standard this close to the election, not registered voters
This post was edited on 10/22/24 at 4:06 pm
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
29506 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:05 pm to
NC deserves what they vote for. If they don’t get fired up by the federal government’s response to the hurricane than they deserve whatever the results are. Hawaii still blue after the fires is another prime example.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
37808 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Losing North Carolina would make his path to 270 narrow.

It always was going to be narrow but based on other state polling the path without NC is still readily available
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
49815 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:06 pm to
You are becoming our Debbie Downer lol, annoying people.

I still like you though. A critical eye is necessary sometimes.
Posted by XenScott
Pensacola
Member since Oct 2016
3689 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:07 pm to
He will win by 5+. Listen to Sean Spicer. He is the most data driven pundit there is. Polls this late don't matter as much as voter analytics.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
88094 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:07 pm to
You really hope it goes blue
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16137 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:09 pm to
Keep in mind how hard it is to poll those Western red counties. The early voting numbers are a far better indicator of where things currently stand.
Posted by Harlan County USA
Member since Sep 2021
682 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:10 pm to
I live in AL but have a company phone from NC where the office is located and have been getting texts lately about the election. Here's a few screenshots. My name is not Mayra.





This post was edited on 10/22/24 at 4:13 pm
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
87083 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

You really hope it goes blue


It’s noticeably anti Trump posts lately
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
26444 posts
Posted on 10/22/24 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

his poll has him up by 2 with likely voters which is the standard this close to the election, not registered voters


Depends on how good the ballot harvesting is. Can turn everyone into a likely voter whether they know it or not.
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