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Donald Trump inching closer to winning in Virginia
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:31 pm
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:31 pm
"Experts would expect to see Democrats have around a 30 percent advantage at this point, but they only hold an 11.3 percent lead."
Red State: Democrats Might Want to 'Assume Crash Positions' Right About Now Based on Numbers Out of Virginia
Red State: Democrats Might Want to 'Assume Crash Positions' Right About Now Based on Numbers Out of Virginia
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Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:36 pm to MrLSU
You can read a lot into early voting. Early voting numbers in 2020 indicated that Trump would win Florida. These are really good signs.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:37 pm to The Boat
Doesn't early voting typically lean way DEM? It does here.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:38 pm to The Boat
Part of me wonders if some of it is the GOP effort to get folks to vote early?
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:38 pm to BHTiger
quote:
Part of me wonders if some of it is the GOP effort to get folks to vote early?
This^
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:39 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Doesn't early voting typically lean way DEM? It does here.
Yes so they need to run it up in early voting or they’re in trouble. Republican voters have always dominated on Election Day.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:39 pm to MrLSU
I have not studied the VA early voting data enough to make heads or tails of it but the polling suggest Trump has a putchers chance in VA. I really hope he wins VA. What a Democrat Party rebuke that would be?
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:40 pm to MrLSU
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:41 pm to GumboPot
Youngkin tightening up the rules and cleaning the voting rolls gives Trump a chance.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:42 pm to MrLSU
You're leaving out the 4am vote. Strangely there are a lot of demoCrats that vote at 4am.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:44 pm to BuzzSaw 12
quote:
You're leaving out the 4am vote. Strangely there are a lot of demoCrats that vote at 4am.
we should have our own 4AM dumps ready in all swing states IF needed.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:48 pm to The Boat
quote:
Yes so they need to run it up in early voting or they’re in trouble. Republican voters have always dominated on Election Day.
Obviously Republicans are not going to dominate election day as much as they would have had they not encouraged early voting.
It’s still a good thing. If 100 R’s vote early that is worth probably four or five votes because not every one of those voters would have turned out on election day - one might die in the mean time, one might be sick, etc.
When Dems vote early it’s mainly people who would not have voted at all on election day, so their early votes are more impactful (harvested/stolen).
This post was edited on 10/14/24 at 7:49 pm
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:48 pm to MrLSU
1. I don’t really think anybody expected Democrats to have the same mail in voting advantage in 2024 that they had in 2020. In 2020, Democrats had an unusually high mail in advantage because Democrats were disproportionately more scared of COVID. COVID is gone now, so Democrats should be back to the mail in advantage they had in 2016.
2. I think that Trump will win. But Virginia is almost irrelevant, in the sense that if Trump wins Virginia he’ll win more than enough elsewhere to win the election.
2. I think that Trump will win. But Virginia is almost irrelevant, in the sense that if Trump wins Virginia he’ll win more than enough elsewhere to win the election.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:57 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Doesn't early voting typically lean way DEM? It does here.
Late voting certainly does.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:59 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Doesn't early voting typically lean way DEM? It does here.
it should be leaning way more left, which is the point of this thread.
Posted on 10/14/24 at 7:59 pm to Dawg7730
Posted on 10/14/24 at 8:00 pm to MrLSU
Look what daddy did
Posted on 10/14/24 at 8:03 pm to BuzzSaw 12
Posted on 10/14/24 at 8:37 pm to MrLSU
I don't understand how early voting helps or hurts a candidate.
If 100 people always vote on day of election decide to vote early...its still 100 votes.
I understand life can happen and let's say < 1% don't make it on day of election. I get that could sway it in an extremely tight race.
But if the same people who give Repubs a huge boost on election day, vote early...how does that push the needle?
If 100 people always vote on day of election decide to vote early...its still 100 votes.
I understand life can happen and let's say < 1% don't make it on day of election. I get that could sway it in an extremely tight race.
But if the same people who give Repubs a huge boost on election day, vote early...how does that push the needle?
Posted on 10/14/24 at 8:54 pm to JerseyTiger07
Have you been living under a rock?
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