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New Trafalgar AZ Poll

Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:27 pm
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
1066 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:27 pm
Posted by Bamafan24
Huntsville
Member since Oct 2014
8986 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:28 pm to
I dont understand how the polls for down ballots can be that much different.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
20794 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:28 pm to
New York Times headline:

"Trump Narrows the Gap in Arizona"
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26047 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

I dont understand how the polls for down ballots can be that much different.



If Kari Lake's name was Katrina Lago, she'd be in better shape

The hispanic voters, specifically female hispanics, that like Trump are backing Gallego because of his last name.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93171 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:30 pm to
Shannon Bream of Fox has already called AZ for Harris
Posted by Dawg7730
Member since Mar 2021
2893 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:33 pm to
As long as they keep the “other and undecided” in range they can arrange the cheat. Deep state will decide for them.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3553 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:37 pm to
Actually Kari in that range is pretty good. Shes been down 10 at times.
Posted by prouddawg
Member since Sep 2024
7071 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:43 pm to
Nothing that some printer failures in red precincts can’t remedy for the cheaters
This post was edited on 10/14/24 at 4:45 pm
Posted by 1999
Where I be
Member since Oct 2009
33026 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:44 pm to
the kari lake effect.
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
1066 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 4:56 pm to
I'm hoping that Trump voters also vote Lake. We'll see to the extent that happens but I'd guess it'll be close. And hopefully Trump wins by more than 1.5.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135445 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:00 pm to
Not great.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
79912 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Actually Kari in that range is pretty good.


Yes and the divorce files are just now being released.
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
100626 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:18 pm to
I was just in Phoenix / Glendale last week for work and I asked lots of people who they were voting for.

Most people said Trump but I talked to two Hispanics (one older woman and one younger bah) and they're both voting Trump / Gallego (or at least leaning Gallego).
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
13370 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

they're both voting Trump / Gallego

It’s kind of amazing how many people do this. I don’t get it at all
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16225 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:20 pm to
quote:


Actually Kari in that range is pretty good. Shes been down 10 at times.

Yep, hopefully she continues to trend upwards. Three weeks left with 5.6% still undecided hopefully will be enough to pull her into the MOE range, and then hopefully she can ride Trump's coattails to the end.
Posted by Mobile Patriot
Mobile
Member since Aug 2024
763 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:23 pm to
That's your typical public school educated voter. We want Trump to Make America Great Again, but we will stick him with a Marxist Senator who's going to hamstring everything he tries to do.
Posted by TTOWN RONMON
Member since Oct 2023
1504 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:38 pm to
This guy is considered a "conservative pollster" so I have heard both him and the guy for Rassumen say they try to edge slightly towards Dems in their poll make ups from what they feel the make up of the election should be. Add onto that this election according to Gallup has a 48-45 Republican advantage on party affiliation, and they are polling by the 2020 RECALL MODELS, when we all know many of those votes were Fake & Illegal.

If the party affiliation is 48-45 Republicans (and Gallup has always been uncanny good on this) then those polls are going to be way off and not only will Trump win, but he will win the popular vote, I see the House going from a slim lead up to 240-250 and Republicans trouncing the Dems in the Senate.

BOOK MARK THIS
This post was edited on 10/14/24 at 6:01 pm
Posted by LSU0358
Member since Jan 2005
8086 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

Kari Lake'


She is just that horrible of a candidate. Without Trumps support a loud mouth moron like Lake wouldn't have a shot at winning a primary.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16225 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

If the party affiliation is 48-45 Republicans (and Gallup has always been uncanny good on this) then those polls are going to be way off and not only will Trump win, but he will win the popular vote, I see the House going from a slim lead up to 240-250 and Republican trouncing the Dems in the Senate.

BOOK MARK THIS

From your mouth (or fingertips in this case) to God's ears!
Posted by Northshoretiger87
Member since Apr 2016
4954 posts
Posted on 10/14/24 at 5:58 pm to
Still plenty of time for Fox to call Arizona with only 1% of precincts returned.
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