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Trump internal polls show him up big

Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:31 am
Posted by Clemsontigers02
Member since Sep 2020
1067 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:31 am
Posted by burger bearcat
Member since Oct 2020
10327 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:32 am to
I wish NC was higher.
Posted by BMTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2021
1330 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:35 am to
Love those numbers, but internal polling is always skewed to show good news for the candidate, and almost always released with FOR INTERNAL USE only. It's a political marketing tactic.
Posted by Jspaspa3303
Member since Jun 2020
2933 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:35 am to
Attempt number 3 coming soon . I hate to say that , but if the last 10 years have not taught you anything about the democrats then there is no hope for you.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:40 am to
Incorrect. Internal polling is usually more accurate because they cost more. Higher sample size of likely voters instead of registered cost more money. The campaigns pay the higher cost to get a accurate view of the election to make adjustments with their campaign. Kamala's campaign Internal polling is not good compared to the public polling
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22855 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:53 am to
quote:

I wish NC was higher.

Registered Republicans are requesting, and returning, mail-in ballots at a much higher rate than they did in 2020. For requested ballots Democrats are 10.38% below their total share in 2020 while Republicans are up 5.34%.

For returned ballots so far the Democrat share of the total is 7.04% lower than 2020 with Republicans up 5.93%.


Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3567 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:54 am to
For the love of God..."to: Team Trump"

Why are people this gullible?
Posted by BMTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2021
1330 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:55 am to
So you are telling me a campaign has never fudged numbers on an "internal use only" doc that's sent to the masses? I really hope those numbers are true, but any poll, especially those internal should be taken with a grain of salt.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
44890 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:55 am to
quote:

wish NC was higher.


Biggest issue will be getting NC to the poll.
Posted by TTOWN RONMON
Member since Oct 2023
1531 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Love those numbers, but internal polling is always skewed to show good news for the candidate, and almost always released with FOR INTERNAL USE only. It's a political marketing tactic.



That is simply not true, as a candidate you have to have REAL NUMBERS in order to know what you need to do to win. The bad numbers are always put forth by the media liars who have always sought to manipulate these elections.

Posted by BMTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2021
1330 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

as a candidate you have to have REAL NUMBERS in order to know what you need to do to win


Absolutely correct. They have the real numbers and I hope those are the same as portrayed in the memo, because it signals a path to victory for Trump. However, having worked several campaigns, I can tell you the fudge the numbers to tell the story they want. They know the numbers, and we know the numbers they want us to know. Its really simple.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:12 pm to
Correct. Mark Halperin explains this. Private polling is more accurate than public polling because it cost more money and time. The campaigns want the most accurate data to make adjustments with the campaign.
Posted by The Scofflaw
Metairie, LA
Member since Sep 2014
1914 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:23 pm to
Not to play devil's advocate, but I remember the same articles from 2020.
Posted by Tuscaloosa
13x Award Winning SECRant user
Member since Dec 2011
50473 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

Not to play devil's advocate, but I remember the same articles from 2020.


They were correct in 2020, too.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
16225 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:26 pm to
quote:


Not to play devil's advocate, but I remember the same articles from 2020.

Not from the dem side and the public polls. In 2020 the dem side wasn't leaking how worried they were about their polls. And the public polling sure as heck didn't resemble was it does now.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
25119 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 12:26 pm to
No.

They pay millions of dollars for the most accurate polling out there. Your comment is 100% completely false.
Posted by BluegrassCardinal
Kentucky
Member since Nov 2022
1746 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:01 pm to
I thought internal polling for the Harris campaign was showing +3 in PA and Michigan? I'm thinking he wins by 2 in NC and closer to 4 in Georgia.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112713 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:17 pm to
It ain't over until Stacy Abrams sings
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
11689 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:32 pm to
Those are terrible internals for him. He’s in trouble.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
25778 posts
Posted on 10/10/24 at 1:40 pm to
How did this compare to his 2020 internals?
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