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Why is Trump trending so badly in the betting odds?

Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:52 pm
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1685 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:52 pm
I keep seeing all this positive news on here yet he keeps falling in the odds

Realclearpolling
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
51363 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:53 pm to
Because the oddsmakers know that there are ways of finding the votes for Harris.

Could take a couple of weeks to find them, but, find them they will.

Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
8668 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:55 pm to
He’s net negative 8-9% in the odds since the debate. He was leading before it. It hurt him, no doubt. We’ll see how long that lasts. The odds should tighten again.
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1685 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:56 pm to
I hope but they keep getting worse
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
12891 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:56 pm to
This place is in a bubble. Positive Kamala news isn’t posted here often. She has been rising in the polls.

I wouldn’t say that’s “trending badly”. It’s basically been a coin flip since her manufactured surge.
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
8668 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

This place is in a bubble. Positive Kamala news isn’t posted here often. She has been rising in the polls.


Agreed. A lot on here refuse to believe the debate hurt Trump.
Posted by Gifman
Member since Jan 2021
14836 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:59 pm to
Attack of the “centrists”
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
20953 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

I hope


No you don't.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21153 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:00 pm to
Illegals are voting
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1685 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:01 pm to
quote:

No you don't.


Why? I’m a huge Trump guy and have been since 2015
Posted by TigerVespamon
Member since Dec 2010
6911 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:01 pm to
What were the odds when he beat Hillary Clinton?
Posted by Nosevens
Member since Apr 2019
14447 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:01 pm to
There’s that outside influence of assassins involved
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
75037 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

A lot on here refuse to believe the debate hurt Trump
I thought it would but the polls I've seen since on RCP haven't shown that.
Posted by Old1937
Member since Jun 2024
998 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:04 pm to
Duh, it isn't hard, look at RCP and you will see when the real polls shows tightening a paid for poll will come out with Harris up 5 or 6
Posted by SWINC
Member since Sep 2022
392 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:05 pm to
I see many still dont understand how Vegas works
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
12891 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

A lot on here refuse to believe the debate hurt Trump.

I don’t think it matters much in the end
Posted by sabanisarustedspoke
Member since Jan 2007
5437 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:05 pm to
Because betting odds have nothing to do with accuracy and everything to do with the money. And in something as subjective for odds makers as a political election, the key is to be in the middle of the "emotional interest". The house makes their 10 points on all the bets so how do I get the most total bets is their philosophy.
Posted by ninthward
Boston, MA
Member since May 2007
21292 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

Because the oddsmakers know how to make money.
This post was edited on 9/20/24 at 8:06 pm
Posted by Rohan Gravy
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2017
19421 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:05 pm to

How many people actually win at gambling
Posted by Draco Malfoy
Member since Mar 2024
1685 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 8:06 pm to
Then why not have them both at even odds? I don’t get the process
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