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What did we really learn from week 1?

Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:41 am
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17270 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:41 am
Every year, fantasy managers overreact to good/bad performances in week 1. Looking beyond the "Alec Pierce is the man in Indy" and "Joe Burrow is a terrible QB" crap, what can we take away from week 1 that may have an impact moving forward?

I'll start with a few and probably add more as my memory is jogged by some of your comments:

1. Despite the coaches comments and actions in preseason, Kyren is still the workhorse in LA, at least for now. We heard a lot about Kyren playing on special teams and Blake Corum being the more talented back, but for now, Kyren is still dominating the touch % in the backfield.

2. Sticking with the Rams, and as many of us expected, Cooper Kupp is still a PPR machine. With Puka, he's really good and both could be WR1s. Without Puka, he's still a top tier WR, possibly a top 5 guy.

3. While we shouldn't overreact to week 1, Isaiah Likely is the real deal. Even in weeks where the defense doesn't focus on Andrews so much, they could both be viable starting TEs.

4. We learned a lot about backfield splits. David Montgomery is not an afterthought. He's still a viable RB2 or flex play. JK Dobbins is not a has been. He had a burst through the line, even if he couldn't maintain it for long runs .

5. Saquon Barkley is scary in that Eagles offense, finally playing behind a good O-line. Obviously, Hurts will not have zero rushing TDs every week, but the thing most don't realize is that Swift was 9th last year in carries inside the 10, he just wasn't able to finish like Saquon.

6. Brian Robinson seems to be a true #1 RB in Washington. It's no surprise that he had a 12-2 edge over Ekeler in carries, but was a bit of surprise that he equaled Ekeler in targets.

What do y'all have?
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
103339 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 9:47 am to
Justin Jefferson will be fine

Rashee Rice is a top 10 WR going forward

IF Anthony Richardson can stay healthy he will be the QB1

Mike Evans will once again prove me wrong since I've never drafted him once. He's in for another good year.

Xavier Worthy will be a great bye week filler or flex for am injured player

James Conner and Rhamondre Stevenson will be top 15 backs

Cheetah still gonna Cheetah
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17270 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:10 am to
quote:

IF Anthony Richardson can stay healthy he will be the QB1


The QB1 or a QB1? I don't think I can agree with the former.
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
18771 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:10 am to
quote:

JK Dobbins is not a has been. He had a burst through the line, even if he couldn't maintain it for long run


So much worthless Gus Edwards stock
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17270 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:12 am to
quote:

So much worthless Gus Edwards stock


I think both can be viable, and with JK's injury history, you're always a play away from Gus dominating the backfield.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
103339 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:19 am to
THE QB1 ... sorry thought this was the hot takes thread
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17270 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 10:23 am to
Most of those I agreed with as things we learned. That one was definitely more of a hot take.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
50252 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 11:21 am to
quote:

IF Anthony Richardson can stay healthy he will be the QB1


I disagree here. He completed 9 passes and only attempted 19.

He’s going to have dud weeks if he doesn’t get more volume.
Posted by High Life
Member since Dec 2014
3633 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

Every year, fantasy managers overreact to good/bad performances in week 1


*proceeds to overreact anyway*
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36219 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:01 pm to
Rashee Rice is a top 12 receiver in PPR formats

Mostert doubters will probably be proven right

Mixon is going to be a top 12 RB due to volume



Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
23232 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 1:29 pm to
Chris Godwin is still a must start WR
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
39497 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:24 pm to
Could be considered an overreaction and not a "what we learned" but I think Jameson Williams is going to be a thing this year. I see his floor as 2023 Tank Dell with the huge caveat of him staying healthy. There are plenty of skinny dudes playing receiver but Jameson doesn't really know how to get tackled and lands awkwardly a lot. I don't expect 9 targets per game but I expect a lot of yards per touch and he'll continue to get rushing looks on reverses
Posted by SouthPlains
Member since Jul 2023
1041 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

Brian Robinson seems to be a true #1 RB in Washington


Caveat being that Jayden Daniels looked like Washington’s most legit rushing threat.

My Week 1 takeaway is that Breece Hall was heavily overvalued and Travis Etienne is a lower end RB2
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
85918 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

My Week 1 takeaway is that Breece Hall was heavily overvalued
in what sense ?
The Jets ran 48 plays and he carried or was targeted on 22 of them. You take out the mop up duty from the last drive and that's to 50% of all their plays. That's crazy volume.
If you're concern was lack of efficiency, consider the defense they were playing
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:49 pm
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
50252 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:50 pm to
Jameson is definitely a thing. He will do this every week if teams don’t bracket him with a safety over the top.

If they do that though then the Lions are going to run it down their throat and carve them up in the middle with Amon-Ra and LaPorta.

The Lions are legit.
Posted by EagleEye99
Member since Dec 2017
3173 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

The Lions are legit.

Very...
Posted by cfish140
BR
Member since Aug 2007
8644 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:58 pm to
Week 1 over reactions:

Wrong takes:

-I have to eat crow on Mixon, Kamara, and Achane. Theyre going to be legit

- taking Mark Andrews looks like a whiff

-wrong about Mostert being the biggest late round steal of the draft

-Caleb Williams is not, in fact, a starting caliber fantasy qb lol

-didn’t draft him but bought into the Harrison hype. Would have drafted him round 2 if he fell


Right takes:

-Drafting Kupp round 2 looks like a league winning move after week 1

- was right about London and Pittman still being trash cans no matter who the qb is. Wanted no part of either

-right about Moss dominating Carries over brown. Looks like I got a 10th round starter

-right on passing on kelce and laporta no matter how far they fell

-right on passing on nabers no matter what because daniel jones is arse cheeks and the giants are a dumpster fire
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
103339 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

in what sense ?
The Jets ran 48 plays and he carried or was targeted on 22 of them. You take out the mop up duty from the last drive and that's to 50% of all their plays. That's crazy volume.
If you're concern was lack of efficiency, consider the defense they were playing

Yeah if anything I am more encouraged by Hall after that game than the other way around.
Posted by RobNation
Dallas, TX
Member since Sep 2011
914 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 6:37 pm to
Just based purely on my Best Ball drafts on DK

- I'm happy I avoided Puka and went heavy on Kupp
- Barkley & Taylor were basically at the same draft spot and I think I picked right with Barkley
- Very concerned about Luke Musgraves role in the GB passing game
- Thinking the NYG RB's Tracy & Gray might end up being good late round flyers for later in the season
- Praying JD & Terry Mcclaurin get on the same page.
- Having Josh Palmer rated over Mcconkey might've been a mistake
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22378 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:59 am to
Those feel solid.

I think the ravens even with lack of volume could sustain 2 tight ends that are playable. Their wrs suck though and aren’t playable.

I’m curious if qb play will improve over the year. Week 1 was straight trash from almost all of them which then lead to down weeks for the receivers. I’m betting it improves as we go but there are a lot of terrible qbs in the nfl

Picking puka early was a mistake in a 14 team league

I want to see how the cards use Marvin going forward. I’ve got him and Kyler in both leagues as a stack. If they don’t get it together I’m have to go to my deep bench in one league and likely break up the stack in my other
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