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Defensive HAVOC rate

Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:15 pm
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
78564 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:15 pm
In 2023, LSUs defensive HAVOC rate was 15.6%.

In game 1 under Baker, our rate was 44.8%.

This is something I’d like to track throughout the season.
Posted by CheeseTiger251
Member since Jun 2011
372 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:18 pm to
Interesting. Out of curiosity how is this calculated? And where are you getting this data from?
Posted by DrewSimp82
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2007
1649 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:18 pm to
Thank you for bringing new information to the board for discussion. No sarcasm. Thank you.
Posted by TopWaterTiger
Lake Charles, LA
Member since May 2006
12006 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:20 pm to
quote:

Interesting. Out of curiosity how is this calculated? And where are you getting this data from?


And I'm assuming the higher the % the better?

Never ever heard of this "stat" before. Appreciate the info!

My own eyes told me the defense was already better than last year 1 game in.
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
6851 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:20 pm to
Anyone paying attention at all could see a big change in defense.

Unfortunately some of the same issues are still there - we will see how they improve but they may be more personnel limitations than scheme issues. Key will be How baker adjusts to limitations.
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
78564 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:20 pm to
Interceptions + PBU + TFLs + Fumbles + Sacks + QB Hits + Failed 3rd Downs + Failed 4th Downs divided by Total Plays

Just skimmed the box score
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
19731 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

In 2023, LSUs defensive HAVOC rate was 15.6%.

In game 1 under Baker, our rate was 44.8%.

This is something I’d like to track throughout the season.
not trying to be dick, but even if this new HAVOC stat is a meaningful metric, we still gave up 7.7 yards per play, and 139 yards on 11 plays and 2 TDs on USC's last 2 possessions.

Now yes, I realize USC probably has a very good offense, but those defensive stats I mentioned aren't good at all.
Posted by NorthTxLSU
Dallas to Austin to Houston
Member since Nov 2018
14015 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

not trying to be dick, but even if this new HAVOC stat is a meaningful metric, we still gave up 7.7 yards per play, and 139 yards on 11 plays and 2 TDs on USC's last 2 possessions. Now yes, I realize USC probably has a very good offense, but those defensive stats I mentioned aren't good at all.


Hey numb nuts, we had the worst defense in school history last season and had games where we literally didn’t make a stop in the second half of games.


This defense gave you 2 stops in a row WITH A LEAD and the offense couldn’t put the game away.


This unit will only get better as well, relax.

Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
44825 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Interceptions + PBU + TFLs + Fumbles + Sacks + QB Hits + Failed 3rd Downs + Failed 4th Downs divided by Total Plays
Too bad it’s not divided by zero. We’d be infinitely better.
Posted by iamandykeim
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
3659 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:35 pm to
I remember hearing TBob and Hester discussing this last week. Baker said his goal for the team for the year would be 25%. He had about a 20% rate at Missouri.
Posted by inadaze
Member since Aug 2010
5175 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:36 pm to
Getting possession on one or some of those potential turnovers would've had an impact on the game, despite the yards.
An honest assessment of personnel on defense indicates that there are going to be games in which a lot of yards will be gained. That's able to be made up for to some degree with havoc plays and turnovers.
Posted by Loup
Ferriday
Member since Apr 2019
15625 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:44 pm to


eta: my b I think that's at halftime
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 2:53 pm
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
78564 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:56 pm to
No it’s the full game, they just have LSU’s pass breakups as zero and don’t have QB hits in the equation
This post was edited on 9/5/24 at 2:58 pm
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
24717 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 2:59 pm to
You could absolutely tell the the difference in HOW the defense was playing. Guys were getting after it, I just wonder where the missing link is.
Posted by BigBinBR
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2023
9218 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Anyone paying attention at all could see a big change in defense.
Yep. Actual pressure on be QB. And then the PI calls out DBs were where they were supposed to be, they just need to turn around. Last year they wouldn’t have been called for PI because they wouldnt have known where they needed to be and would have been 10 yards away from the receiver.
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
30445 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

but even if this new HAVOC stat is a meaningful metric,
It isn’t new.
Posted by TigerLifer18
Member since May 2023
3343 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

In 2023, LSUs defensive HAVOC rate was 15.6%. In game 1 under Baker, our rate was 44.8%.


This is huge, and I agree with your post.

Blake Baker is a very aggressive DC, and has been since his time at LA Tech. He allows his players to play fast and loose.

It took us all of 6 months to turn around the defense, and it directly relates to the coaches we have on that side of the ball now. I believe LSU has a staff on defense capable of winning a Championship now.
Posted by TeachemMeachem17
Tallahassee, FL
Member since Jan 2010
927 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:08 pm to
We were so close to having 3-4 turnovers caused in the USC game
Posted by BumKnee
Member since Oct 2021
216 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:08 pm to
THE LIMIT DOES NOT EXIST
Posted by Peterson Was In
best monroe
Member since Sep 2021
361 posts
Posted on 9/5/24 at 3:16 pm to
If only 1/4 of those bounce our way we win despite the flaccid playcalling and USC firing on all cylinders, it's sickening how close we really were.
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