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Electoral Math... 270 wins, and this race is tight.

Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:43 pm
Posted by Back to Scat
Dry Prong
Member since Feb 2024
489 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:43 pm
National polls do not matter. There are only 6 to 8 states that really will decide who is the next POTUS.

WI, PA, MI, GA, NV, and AZ.

Right now, Harris has pulled ahead in the PA, MI, and WI. She has evened up or passed up Trump in NV and AZ.

GA is within 1 point

If TRUMP takes AZ, NV and GA, but Harris takes PA, MI, and WI...She wins by 2 EC votes....
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
79580 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:46 pm to

Take a breath.
Posted by Sneakerhead42
Davidson, NC
Member since Dec 2014
2256 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:50 pm to
If Republicans take the senate it doesn’t matter much anyways

That’s the bright side
Posted by AubieinNC2009
Mountain NC
Member since Dec 2018
7026 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Harris has pulled ahead in the PA


RCP still has Trump up in PA on average. This is all before the debates. Long time to go.
Posted by Back to Scat
Dry Prong
Member since Feb 2024
489 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:50 pm to
You can not like the MATH, but it is what it is. 270 wins.
Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
37695 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:51 pm to
Polls aren't accurate until September so yhere isn't a reason to even pay attention. As far as states, he needs georgia and Pennsylvania
Posted by Snipe
Member since Nov 2015
15536 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

Electoral Math... 270 wins, and this race is tight.




Election bots gonna election bot.
Posted by rpg37
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Sep 2008
53412 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:53 pm to
I still say the congressional district in NE is paramount. I could see 270-268 with them splitting ME and NE.
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
4561 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:54 pm to
GA, NV, and AZ go Trump

NH will go Trump as well

I feel people will be shocked at the black vote for Trump
Posted by Swamp Angel
Somewhere on a river
Member since Jul 2004
9530 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:58 pm to
Here's a recent grassroots poll for you:

We just surveyed our office and the employees of neighboring tenants in our building.

Our survey shows Trump leading Harris with 100% of those polled stating that they will be voting for Donald Trump in November. Sampling size of 41 individuals. Political affiliation was not asked of respondents.

I believe our poll has a higher degree of accuracy than yours.
This post was edited on 8/14/24 at 2:59 pm
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
17077 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 2:59 pm to
She's still well behind in PA, MI and GA.

AZ is a toss up, but the idiot does appear to be up in WI.

Not sure what polls you're pushing
Posted by YouKnowImRight
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2023
2787 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:00 pm to
If Trump wins PA and GA he wins. That's where the focus needs to be.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
17077 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:01 pm to
He'll win PA going away. GA
...not sure
Posted by Rex Feral
Member since Jan 2014
15785 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:02 pm to
The polls are bs.

He just needs PA and GA to win
Posted by Old1937
Member since Jun 2024
1161 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:03 pm to
The polls you are quoting are trash.
Posted by YouKnowImRight
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2023
2787 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:04 pm to
quote:


He'll win PA going away. GA
...not sure


He needs to start kissing some Kemp a$$.
Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22539 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

If TRUMP takes AZ, NV and GA, but Harris takes PA, MI, and WI...She wins by 2 EC votes....



ME-2 and NE-2 bring it to a tie fwiw. No one's even polling NE-2 which was a margin of 22k votes out of 339k and it had gone red in every other recent election
Posted by Summer of Jimbo
Amateur Statistician
Member since Oct 2022
3226 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:11 pm to
By most accounts right now she has to win every single battleground state. Trump is leading slightly in some and hugely in others. She’s leading in some. There is no way it’s tight.
Posted by LaMigra
Member since Nov 2022
2653 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:11 pm to
My god this country is full of idiots and pearl clutchers!

Anybody that thinks Kamala stands a chance is a moron

Period!!
Posted by Summer of Jimbo
Amateur Statistician
Member since Oct 2022
3226 posts
Posted on 8/14/24 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

She's still well behind in PA, MI and GA.


He’s way ahead in GA. He’ll win PA comfortably. She might take MI. It’s over.
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