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Nate Silver: Harris is favored in the popular vote but still an electoral college underdog
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:43 pm
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:43 pm
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:44 pm to stout
Thanks California and New York
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:46 pm to stout
Weird


This post was edited on 7/30/24 at 1:48 pm
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:46 pm to Nonetheless
exactly but don't forget the mail in ballots they will stuff by 600,000 in PA overnight.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:47 pm to stout
Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:53 pm to stout
They need PA bad. Nate Silver (538) had Biden winning election and PA up until a couple days before Biden resigned once they lost PA.
All eyes on them this election. Dems won’t win without PA given the AZ, GA, NV polling. Would pull it off by the skin of their teeth if they are able to pull the assassination state.
All eyes on them this election. Dems won’t win without PA given the AZ, GA, NV polling. Would pull it off by the skin of their teeth if they are able to pull the assassination state.
quote:
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:55 pm to stout
20mil mail ins for CA and ppl will eat that up on here
Despite her getting less that 1% in CA in 2020
Despite her getting less that 1% in CA in 2020
Posted on 7/30/24 at 1:58 pm to stout
It's going to be close. It's what happens when we select the wrong candidate. But, there are many people on here who love Trump, Kari Lake, and others who make winning harder than it could be.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:01 pm to rpg37
Without Trump, the GOPe would lose all the midwest states period and the Dems would not even have to cheat...
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:01 pm to rpg37
Who wins again if its 269-269?
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:03 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
If the DEMs can pull off PA, WI, and MI, then picking Vance will go down as historically stupid.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:05 pm to rpg37
quote:
It's what happens when we select the wrong candidate
Life was pretty damn good in 2019. Sorry if mean tweets hurt your feelings.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:07 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
Would pull it off by the skin of their teeth if they are able to pull the assassination state.
In that scenario, I would be rooting hard for NE-2 to go for Trump and throw the election to the House.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:08 pm to rpg37
quote:
But, there are many people on here who love Trump, Kari Lake, and others who make winning harder than it could be.
That’s like saying the over confidence of the fans may be the downfall of the LSU football team
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:08 pm to SuckerPunch
quote:
Who wins again if its 269-269?
Almost certainly Trump, as the GOP will have the advantage in state delegations in the House.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:08 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Thinks it's possible to saw CA off into the pacific like bugs bunny did?
That would tank our economy.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:09 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
If the DEMs can pull off PA, WI, and MI, then picking Vance will go down as historically stupid.
Meh. Vance isn't going to swing any state, and neither would anyone else.
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:09 pm to stout
quote:
Harris is now favored in the popular vote but still an electoral college underdog.
This will be glorious if it happens!!
Posted on 7/30/24 at 2:15 pm to bamalee
quote:
Without Trump, the GOPe would lose all the midwest states period and the Dems would not even have to cheat...
I don't believe Ron DeSantis would have any trouble winning the popular vote and over 300 EVs vs. Harris.
And my Midwest, do you include Ohio, Indiana, and Iowa in that coalition as well? Or just the blue wall states?
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