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If the election were held today: Trump 325, Biden 213

Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:50 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
45634 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:50 pm


This map is based upon state polls as of today. Of course, this would change a bit if Harris or someone else ends up being the nominee but as of today, this is Trump's election to lose.

Virginia LEANS red but could easily go blue. Even if it does, no big deal with this kind of lead.
This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 2:05 pm
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
130505 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:51 pm to
How is he still losing penn?
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
1253 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:52 pm to
There is less than a zero percent chance Trump wins Virginia, Nevada, and Michigan. I have heard that before during previous presidential cycles
Posted by Paddyshack
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2015
10733 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:52 pm to
It’s actually alarming that Biden would still potentially get that many EVs
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
13415 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:52 pm to
PA is +4.5% Trump in RCP average...
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
117998 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:53 pm to
Trump is winning Pennsylvania especially after being shot there. I also think Minnesota is a pretty safe bet for Trump at this point.
This post was edited on 7/19/24 at 1:54 pm
Posted by Tigercowboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
4503 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:53 pm to
I think it could be a little more lopsided than that with Pennsylvania being projected blue
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
19680 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:53 pm to
Dems always pull out PA.

“somehow”
Posted by Bourre
Da Parish
Member since Nov 2012
21938 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:53 pm to
Trump will win NJ.

Bookmark it
Posted by Paddyshack
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2015
10733 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

There is less than a zero percent chance Trump wins Virginia, Nevada, and Michigan

Bookmarked.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
117998 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

There is less than a zero percent chance Trump wins Virginia, Nevada, and Michigan. I have heard that before during previous presidential cycles


Trump won Michigan before.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
43878 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:54 pm to
How is Biden getting within 40 votes of the WH?

He’s universally accepted as cognitively impaired and feeble. His running mate is a widely disrespected token. His policies have been a disaster, and his own party leaders are calling for him to be dumped. This is the question we should be asking.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
33523 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Dems always pull out PA.

Excerpt for, you know, the election before last.
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
32401 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

There is less than a zero percent chance Trump wins Virginia, Nevada, and Michigan. I have heard that before during previous presidential cycles
Even if he were to lose those 3 states, he still wins with 272 electoral votes.
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
43878 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:56 pm to
I haven’t followed MIV and drop boxes changes since 2020 very closely.

Has much changed in PA?
Posted by Rex Feral
Member since Jan 2014
14750 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

How is he still losing penn?


Yeah, I’d swap Michigan for Penn
Posted by Red Stick Rambler
Member since Jun 2011
2047 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:57 pm to
RCP Electorial College Map: No Toss-Ups

Electorial count as of today is 325-213 according to Real Clear Politics
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
9889 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

It’s actually alarming that Biden would still potentially get that many EVs


Very sobering to think about. Speaks to how awful a candidate Trump really is.
Posted by hatevolstiger
Nashville
Member since Jun 2008
185 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:02 pm to
If biden stays in it will be can't wait
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
58530 posts
Posted on 7/19/24 at 2:03 pm to
Pathetic that it would be that close.
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