Was Saban's retirement an open secret in coaching circles?

Nahhh. In this day and age, any smoke at all would have been all over social media in a heartbeat. While rumored the last few years in general, this came out of nowhere.

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He had recently bought a $17M mansion in Jupiter Island. That should have made it obvious, but I guess most people were in denial.

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That made it obvious it was coming soon. Not necessarily now.

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He had recently bought a $17M mansion in Jupiter Island. That should have made it obvious, but I guess most people were in denial.

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And the budding dealership empire

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That made it obvious it was coming soon. Not necessarily now.

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Well, also his age. Most people figured within 5 years, but I bet he kept it close enough that no one knew the date but his wife.